Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 18, 2025
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: Kauffman Stadium
Game Overview
The Kansas City Royals host the St. Louis Cardinals in a matchup where the Cardinals have already won the first two games of the series. The Cardinals' strong performance in the series so far, highlighted by IvΓ‘n Herrera's 4 RBIs and Jordan Walker's home run, sets them up for a potential sweep.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals have shown superior performance in the series, with strong pitching and hitting. The Royals have struggled to score, managing only three runs in the first two games.
- The recent head-to-head has been dominated by the Cardinals, winning both games in the series so far.
- No significant injury updates have been reported for either team that would impact the game.
- Home field advantage might boost the Royals' chances, but the Cardinals' momentum could be a significant counter.
- The Royals are highly motivated to avoid a sweep, while the Cardinals aim to complete a dominating series win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas City Royals: -116, St. Louis Cardinals: -102 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Kansas City Royals: +1.5 -200, St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 164 | Kansas City Royals +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 8 -122, Under: 8 100 | Under | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Cardinals are likely to win, given their recent performance, but the Royals might push for a closer game to avoid a sweep.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, Kansas City Royals 3