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Atalanta BC vs. Lecce Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New Balance Stadium, Bergamo, Italy

Game Overview

Atalanta BC hosts Lecce in a Serie A Round 3 clash. Atalanta sits 11th in the league, showing moderate form with recent goal scoring but defensive lapses, while Lecce ranks 17th, struggling for consistency and goal production. The match features contrasting motivations with Atalanta seeking to climb the table and Lecce fighting to avoid the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches but has failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 games. Gianluca Scamacca leads the attack with 2.6 shots on target per match. Lecce has scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches but has failed to score in their last 2 fixtures. Lameck Banda is Lecce's key creative player, generating the most big chances.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have favored Atalanta, with 2 Serie A matches last season seeing Atalanta generally outperform Lecce. Historically, Atalanta's home advantage at the New Balance Stadium gives them a strong edge.
  • No specific injury updates are detailed in available data, suggesting relatively stable squads for both teams ahead of this fixture.
  • The match is played at the New Balance Stadium in Bergamo, which benefits Atalanta. Weather and other external factors are not reported to have any significant impact.
  • Atalanta aims to improve their mid-table standing and build early season momentum, whereas Lecce is motivated to avoid relegation threats and secure crucial points away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta BC: -250, Lecce: 625, Draw: 395 Atalanta BC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Atalanta BC: -1.25 -112, Lecce: +1.25 -108 Atalanta BC -1.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta BC is expected to win owing to superior squad quality, home advantage, and better recent form. Lecce may struggle to score but could keep the scoreline close, indicating a moderately confident home win prediction.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Parma vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Parma vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ennio Tardini, Parma, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A Round 2 match features Parma hosting Atalanta BC at Ennio Tardini. Historically, Atalanta has a superior record in head-to-head clashes (10 wins to Parma's 5 out of 17 games) and holds a higher league position (Atalanta 8th vs Parma 18th). Both teams have had recent mixed form, with Atalanta scoring more but also conceding goals, while Parma struggles defensively, evident from not keeping a clean sheet in 7 matches and scoring 6 goals in the last five. The match could be competitive but favors Atalanta given their stronger form and more consistent scoring threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parma ranks low in the league (18th) with defensive weaknesses (no clean sheets in 7 matches) and modest scoring (6 goals in last 5 games). Atalanta, ranked 8th, averages more goals (2.4 per recent match) and has a better attacking output but also concedes similarly (1.4 goals per match). Parma’s goalkeeper Zion Suzuki is noted for high saves per match, providing some defensive resistance.
  • Out of 17 matches, Atalanta leads with 10 wins and Parma has 5, with 2 draws. Recent history shows no draws in the last 9 encounters. Average goals per game is 3.6, indicating a relatively high-scoring fixture. Atalanta’s win rate and goal output have historically been stronger in this matchup.
  • No explicit injury data available from sources; therefore, assume normal squad availability but note importance of monitoring lineups close to match time.
  • The venue is Parma’s home ground, Ennio Tardini, which may provide some advantage to Parma despite their underdog status. Weather and other external factors were not detailed in data, so presumed neutral.
  • As a lower-table team, Parma may be highly motivated to claim points early in the season to avoid relegation scraps. Atalanta, aiming for European qualification, will seek to maintain form and capitalize on offensive strength.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta BC: 100, Parma: 275, Draw: 250 Atalanta BC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Atalanta BC -0.5: -102, Parma +50: -118 Atalanta -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is favored to win due to superior recent form, stronger historical head-to-head stats, and more effective attack. Expect a competitive match with Atalanta likely edging a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 2 – 1 Parma


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Atalanta BC vs. Pisa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Pisa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A opening round match features Atalanta BC hosting newly promoted Pisa. Atalanta finished 3rd last season with Champions League qualification and have a new head coach, Ivan Juric, after a strong pre-season showing. Pisa returns to Serie A after decades, coming off a solid 76-point campaign in Serie B. The clash pits a top-tier team with European ambitions against a team aiming to establish itself in Italy's top flight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta ended last season strongly, finishing third with 74 points and qualified for the Champions League. Under new head coach Ivan Juric, they have won half their pre-season matches but lost 2-1 to Juventus in their last friendly. Pisa, promoted for the first time since 1990-91, obtained 76 points in Serie B last season and recently advanced in the Coppa Italia on penalties after a goalless draw, signaling readiness though some competitive rust.
  • There is no recent direct Serie A head-to-head between Atalanta and Pisa as Pisa has just returned to the top tier after many years. Historical meetings are scarce, so Atalanta holds a clear advantage in experience and quality. The home advantage at Gewiss Stadium also factors strongly in Atalanta's favor.
  • No explicit injuries reported for either side in available current data; no major absences expected to impact either team's starting XI significantly.
  • Atalanta's managerial change could affect team dynamics early in the season, but their home stadium advantage and established stronger squad provide stability. Pisa's return to Serie A after a long absence entails motivation but risks being outmatched by elite talent and game intensity.
  • Atalanta aims to start their Champions League qualifying domestic season positively under new management, maintaining momentum and asserting dominance early. Pisa is highly motivated to prove themselves in Italy's top league after promotion and to avoid immediate relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta BC: -240, Pisa: 640, Draw: 379 Atalanta BC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Atalanta BC: -1.25 -115, Pisa: +1.25 -105 Atalanta BC -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -121, Under: 2.75 101 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is strongly favored to win, leveraging home advantage, superior squad quality, and Serie A experience. Pisa may struggle but could keep the scoreline respectable, potentially earning a draw if Atalanta underestimates them.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Atalanta BC vs. Pisa Prediction Atalanta BC -1.25 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction Charlotte FC Win -119 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Juventude vs. Botafogo Prediction Botafogo -0.5 -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +572

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $134.35

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Atalanta BC vs. Parma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Parma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Atalanta BC Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Serie A match between Atalanta BC and Parma sees Atalanta as the favorites due to their higher standing in the league and past performances. Atalanta ranks 3rd while Parma is 16th, indicating a significant gap in their league form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta has been performing well, scoring an average of 1.98 goals per match, while Parma averages 1.16 goals. Atalanta's home advantage is also a factor, as they have shown strong form at home.
  • Atalanta and Parma have a short recent head-to-head record, with Atalanta winning one and Parma winning one of their last two matches. Historically, Atalanta has been more dominant.
  • No specific information is available on injuries for this match.
  • The match's outcome might be influenced by factors such as team motivation and recent form rather than external factors like weather or crowd size.
  • Atalanta is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their league position, while Parma aims to improve their standing and avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -125 for Atalanta, 390 for Parma, 250 for Draw Atalanta to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread -0.75 for Atalanta at -102, 75 for Parma at -118 Atalanta to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 2.75 at -118, Under 2.75 at -102 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 243%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 243% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is likely to win, given their strong home form and higher league standing.

Predicted Score: Atalanta 2, Parma 0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 25, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Prediction Atalanta BC -125 243%
Vitoria vs. Santos Prediction Vitoria 120 39%
Palmeiras vs. Flamengo Prediction Palmeiras 135 36%

Combined Odds: +831 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $186.12

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Genoa vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Game Overview

The Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC features a side battling mid-table security against a top-tier team vying for Champions League qualification. Atalanta, currently 3rd, have shown strong away form and offensive firepower, while Genoa, positioned 13th, have struggled for consistent results but benefit from home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta averages 1.96 goals per match this season with an impressive 60.71% of their away matches exceeding 2.5 total goals. Genoa has a lower offensive output, averaging 1.37 goals per match at home with fewer games surpassing 2.5 goals. Atalanta's defensive solidity (1.05 goals allowed on average) contrasts with Genoa's higher goals conceded (1.43 per match). Atalanta also boasts a longer unbeaten run and fewer losses recently, indicating superior form.
  • Historically, Atalanta holds the upper hand with 15 wins out of 34 matches against Genoa's 8, and 11 draws. Recent meetings show Atalanta dominating with big scorelines such as 5-1 and 4-1 wins. Matches average 2.76 goals, with over 56.6% going over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurring in nearly half the encounters, pointing to open and attacking games.
  • No specific injury details are available for this fixture, but both teams are expected to field near full-strength squads given the match's importance and timing late in the season.
  • The match is at Genoa's home stadium, which typically sees an emphasis on defensive resilience and counter-attacks from the hosts. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to significantly impact play.
  • Atalanta is highly motivated to secure maximum points to solidify their 3rd place finish and Champions League qualification, while Genoa aims to avoid relegation battles and improve its standing. The disparity in stakes suggests Atalanta may push more aggressively for a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta BC: -150, Genoa: 400, Draw: 300 Atalanta BC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Atalanta BC: -0.75 -118, Genoa: 75 -102 Atalanta BC -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is favored to win, leveraging superior form, attacking quality, and motivation, while Genoa is expected to struggle to contain them despite home advantage. A high-scoring match with both teams scoring is likely.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs AS Roma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 12, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A match between Atalanta BC and AS Roma is crucial for both teams' top-four finish aspirations. Atalanta, ranking third, faces Roma, who are fifth but have shown impressive form lately. Roma's defensive solidity and Atalanta's recent home struggles set the stage for an intriguing contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta have been inconsistent at home, winning just eight points from nine games in Bergamo, while Roma are unbeaten in 19 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Roma haven't beaten Atalanta in three years, but Roma's current form could change this trend. The 'both teams to score' bet has succeeded in their last six meetings in Bergamo.
  • No specific injury updates are highlighted, but both teams are likely at full strength given no major reports.
  • Motivation is high for both teams as they chase European spots. Roma's form under Claudio Ranieri has been exceptional.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a top-four finish, but Roma's resurgence adds an extra layer of competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta: -105, Roma: 270, Draw: 265 Atalanta Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Atalanta: -0.5 100, Roma: 50 -120 Atalanta Cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 104%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 104% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Atalanta's home inconsistency and Roma's unbeaten streak, it will be a tight match. However, Atalanta are still favorites due to their historical edge over Roma.

Predicted Score: Atalanta 2, Roma 1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma Prediction Atalanta BC -105 104%
Venezia vs. Fiorentina Prediction Fiorentina 140 39%
Sheffield United vs. Bristol City Prediction Sheffield United -105 11%

Combined Odds: +815 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $182.97

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Monza vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Monza vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: U-Power Stadium

Game Overview

Monza, struggling at the bottom of Serie A, faces a tough challenge against third-placed Atalanta. The significant form difference and previous head-to-head results suggest Atalanta has a strong advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta is in mixed form but has been strong on the road, winning 11 away matches. Monza has struggled, losing 5 of their last 5 Serie A games.
  • Atalanta dominates the head-to-head, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings against Monza with no Monza wins.
  • Not specified, but typically, injuries could significantly impact team performance.
  • Home advantage for Monza might provide some motivation, but Atalanta's overall form and H2H makes them favorites.
  • Atalanta's motivation to maintain a top spot in Serie A is high, while Monza fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Monza: 1000, Atalanta BC: -435, Draw: 550 Atalanta BC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Atalanta BC: -1.75 -118, Monza: 1.75 -102 Atalanta BC to cover -1.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over: 3.25 102, Under: 3.25 -122 Under 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is likely to secure a convincing victory given their previous encounters and form.

Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 3, Monza 0


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