Match Analysis: Matthew Elliott vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle
Game Overview
Matthew Elliott and Alexis Tsarmantidis face off in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 193. Elliott holds a superior record (5-2 vs Tsarmantidis' 4-2) and a notable edge in submissions, while Tsarmantidis shows some power in knockouts but with fewer fights overall. The matchup features two aggressive fighters with different finishing styles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Elliott has a stronger recent performance with 5 wins against 2 losses compared to Tsarmantidis' 4 wins and 2 losses. Elliott has shown a balanced finishing ability with submissions and decisions, while Tsarmantidis has more KOs but also a recent shorter winning streak.
- No official head-to-head matchups found. Overall records favor Elliott with more professional wins and submission finishes.
- No reported injuries for either fighter before this bout.
- Fight takes place at Vertu Motors Arena in Newcastle, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. The undercard and environment appear standard without notable disruptions.
- Elliott likely motivated to extend his winning momentum and solidify lightweight status. Tsarmantidis, as underdog with high odds (+650), has incentive to prove himself and upset the favorite.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Elliott -950 / Tsarmantidis +650 | Matthew Elliott | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | -1.5 rounds Elliott -200 / +1.5 rounds Tsarmantidis +150 | Matthew Elliott -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110 / Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Matthew Elliott -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Matthew Elliott at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Matthew Elliott Moneyline win
Predicted Score: Elliott wins by submission in round 2