Match Analysis: Ottawa Senators vs Utah Mammoth - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Game Overview
A tightly matched mid-season NHL contest between a steadily defending home team and a road side with a strong record. Both teams are in the playoff mix, but the Senators have the slight edge in recent home performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ottawa is 7-5-3, with a strong home record of 4-2-1. Utah is 9-6-0, but 5-5-0 away. Both teams have been outscoring opponents consistently, with Utah at 3.3 and Ottawa at 3.4 GPG[3]. Both score and allow goals at a high rate, suggesting a potentially high-event game.
- No recent head-to-head data available, as Utah is a new franchise (previously Coyotes).
- No significant injury news reported in available sources.
- Ottawa benefits from home ice, typically a 2β3% swing in hockey, but external factors are otherwise neutral.
- Both teams are in the thick of the playoff hunt, and have every reason to compete hard. No obvious motivational edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | OTT -120, UTA +100 | Ottawa Senators | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | OTT -1.5 +205, UTA +1.5 -250 | Utah Mammoth +1.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 +105, Under 6.5 -125 | Over 6.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ottawa Senators -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Senators win a close, high-scoring affair at home, but the road team's firepower keeps them within the number.
Predicted Score: Ottawa Senators 4 β Utah Mammoth 3
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