Match Analysis: Howard Bison vs Grambling St Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Burr Arena, Washington, DC
Game Overview
The Howard Bison host the Grambling State Tigers in an early-season matchup with both teams holding identical 1-1 records. Howard boasts stronger offensive metrics and home advantage, while Grambling has shown defensive resilience but suffered a recent heavy loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Howard averages 85.0 points per game (138th nationally) with strong shooting percentages (47.1% FG, 45.8% 3PT) and a 103-71 home win recently. Grambling State has a lower scoring average (66.8 points) and was recently defeated 102-62 by Iowa State, indicating offensive struggles.
- Limited recent H2H data, but Howard's home performance and offensive efficiency provide an edge. Both teams are 1-1 this season with no clear dominance.
- Howard is missing Ose Okojie (undisclosed injury). Grambling has no reported injuries.
- Howard plays at home, which should be an advantage. Betting public heavily favors Howard (100% money distribution), reflecting market confidence in the home team.
- Howard is coming off a dominant home win, suggesting positive momentum and motivation to continue strong early-season form. Grambling seeks to rebound from a heavy loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Howard -192 | Howard | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Howard -3.5 -114 | Howard -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Under 155.5 -110 | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Howard Bison -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Howard Bison to win straight up and cover the -3.5 spread with a lower scoring game than the total line suggests.
Predicted Score: Howard 80 – 71 Grambling State