Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:10 PM UTC
- Location: Pittsburgh Penguins Home Arena
Game Overview
The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Los Angeles Kings in an NHL regular season game. Pittsburgh is currently strong at home with a 4-1-1 record while Los Angeles struggles slightly on the road with a 5-1-2 away record. Both teams are competitive in the standings, with Pittsburgh holding 21 points and Los Angeles holding 16 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pittsburgh Penguins have a solid home record (4-1-1) and a higher overall winning percentage (9-4-3) compared to the Kings (6-5-4 overall, 5-1-2 away). Pittsburgh's offense is led by Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, both contributing significant points. Los Angeles relies heavily on Adrian Kempe who is a key offensive contributor.
- The recent matchup on October 16 saw a competitive game between these two teams. Historically, Pittsburgh has been slightly favored at home against the Kings, reflected in the current odds and recent past contests.
- No significant current injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the lineup for this game.
- Pittsburgh enjoys home ice advantage which often influences tight games in the NHL. Travel fatigue may slightly affect the Kings, who are on the road.
- Penguins aim to maintain their strong home form and ascend in the standings, while Kings look to improve on the road and close the points gap in the competitive Western Conference.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings: -162, Pittsburgh Penguins: 136 | Los Angeles Kings | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 160, Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5: -192 | Los Angeles Kings -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5: 114, Under 6.5: -135 | Over 6.5 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Penguins are favored to win given their home advantage, better overall record, and depth of star players, but the Kings are a strong opponent capable of an upset.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Kings 4 – Pittsburgh Penguins 3