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Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-1), holding the best record in the CFL, face the Montreal Alouettes (5-2) with strong defenses and offenses at play. Saskatchewan is slight favorite on the spread and moneyline, with a total points line near 49.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan is 6-1 overall and 5-2 ATS, bringing the league's top offense. Montreal is 5-2 with a top-ranked defense, having recently upset Calgary relying heavily on field goals.
  • Recent meetings show competitiveness but Saskatchewan’s superior record and road success indicate a slight edge. The last seen QB performances favor Saskatchewan's Trevor Harris for efficiency and scoring.
  • Montreal's starting QB Davis Alexander is out; McLeod Bethel-Thompson starts and is effective at managing field goal drives, though less dynamic than Harris. Saskatchewan’s key players appear healthy.
  • The game is at Montreal’s home stadium, known for tough conditions and a strong home-field advantage, but Saskatchewan has been perfect on the road this season, mitigating this factor.
  • Saskatchewan aims to maintain league-best record and road dominance; Montreal seeks to leverage home advantage and defensive strength to halt Roughriders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal +118 / Saskatchewan -142 Saskatchewan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Montreal +2.5 -105 / Saskatchewan -2.5 -115 Saskatchewan -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115 / Under 49.5 -105 Over 49.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 2.5 point spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 23


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Edmonton Elks vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats, currently on a five-game winning streak and boasting a strong offense led by Bo Levi Mitchell, face the struggling Edmonton Elks at home. Hamilton demonstrates superior recent form and offensive firepower, while Edmonton has struggled both straight up and against the spread this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS with a potent offense averaging over 35 points per game in their winning streak. Edmonton is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS and has been inconsistent offensively and defensively, with recent struggles evident in their 1-2 ATS record at home.
  • This is the first 2025 season meeting between these teams; recent trends favor Hamilton's consistent road success with a 3-1 ATS record away.
  • No major injury reports found, but Edmonton faces quarterback uncertainty between Cody Fajardo and Tre Ford, potentially impacting offensive rhythm.
  • Edmonton's offensive line has been vulnerable, giving up 8 sacks last game, while Hamilton's pass rush is relatively mild with 10 sacks on the season, potentially giving Hamilton's offense an edge.
  • Hamilton is heavily motivated to maintain their winning streak and continue dominating, while Edmonton needs a win to halt their skid, though the internal quarterback situation may dampen confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton 164, Hamilton -200 Hamilton Tiger-Cats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Edmonton +3.5 -105, Hamilton -3.5 -115 Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 54.5 -105, Under 54.5 -115 Over 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the game to go over 54.5 points.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Edmonton Elks 22


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Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: IG Field, Winnipeg, MB

Game Overview

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-3) host the Toronto Argonauts (2-5) in a pivotal CFL matchup. Winnipeg enters the game as favorites, showing solid road form historically and aiming to stabilize after recent defensive lapses. Toronto struggles offensively and sits near the bottom of the East Division standings, battling motivation issues but coming off a recent win against Winnipeg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg has a 3-3 record, showing inconsistency but strong road success with six wins in their last seven away games. Toronto is 2-5, with a weak offense averaging league-low yards per play and high turnover issues but has momentum from a recent 31-17 win over Winnipeg.
  • In the last encounter, Toronto defeated Winnipeg 31-17, with strong passing from Nick Arbuckle. Historically Winnipeg has been favored and has had success, but Toronto's recent victory shows potential competitiveness.
  • No major quarterback injuries reported; both starters Zach Collaros (Winnipeg) and Nick Arbuckle (Toronto) expected to start. Key offensive players are healthy, though Winnipeg's recent turnovers affected their defense negatively.
  • Game played at home for Winnipeg, giving them weather and crowd support advantages. Defensive improvements expected from Winnipeg facing a turnover-prone Argonauts offense.
  • Winnipeg motivated to rebound from recent defeats and maintain playoff contention. Toronto motivated to avoid bottom placement in their division but lacking consistent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto +198, Winnipeg -245 Winnipeg Blue Bombers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Toronto +5.5 -110, Winnipeg -5.5 -110 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 -115, Under 50.5 -105 Over 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win moneyline, cover the -5.5 spread, and the total points to go over 50.5

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30 – Toronto Argonauts 20


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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders enter as clear favorites given their strong 5-2 record against Ottawa Redblacks' struggling 1-6. Calgary’s offense ranks high in road passing and rushing, while Ottawa's scoring and defense are weaker overall. The Stampeders’ ability to control possession and defend first-half leads is notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary boasts top-3 rankings in road passing (320 yds) and rushing (117 yds) with solid defense, whereas Ottawa ranks near bottom offensively and defensively, with only 21.14 points scored per game and 19.14 points allowed per game.
  • Recent H2H trends favor Calgary, who have covered spreads previously and controlled games with effective clock management. Ottawa has struggled to score consistently, especially in the first half.
  • No specific injury information available, but lack of key injuries to Calgary contributes to their offensive reliability; Ottawa's lineup status less certain, but form suggests weaknesses remain.
  • Game venue at Ottawa’s TD Place Stadium for home team advantage, but Calgary’s road performance remains superior. No weather or other external disruptions noted.
  • Calgary at 5-2 show strong playoff motivation; Ottawa at 1-6 struggling with morale and performance, lowering competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary -196, Ottawa +162 Calgary Stampeders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Calgary -4.5 (-105), Ottawa +4.5 (-115) Calgary -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 52.5 (-110), Under 52.5 (-110) Under 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the game to go under 52.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 18


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BC Lions vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver

Game Overview

East Division leaders Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-2, riding a four-game win streak) visit BC Lions (3-4) for a Week 8 CFL clash. Hamilton boasts the league’s top-scoring offense, while BC’s defense has allowed the fewest passing yards per game, though recent results suggest vulnerability. The over/under is set at 55.5 points, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton’s offense is on fire, averaging 35 points per game during their four-game winning streak, led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who tops the CFL in passing yards. BC’s defense is statistically strong against the pass but was recently exposed by Saskatchewan, allowing 395 yards and 3 TDs through the air. Hamilton’s defense is opportunistic and balanced, complementing their explosive offense[2].
  • Hamilton has dominated the spread in recent meetings, covering in 8 of the last 10 games against BC. The last three meetings have all gone over the total, indicating a trend toward high-scoring contests between these teams[3].
  • No major injury updates provided in available sources.
  • The game will be played at BC Place, offering BC a home-field advantage. No extreme weather or venue disruptions expected.
  • Hamilton is the East Division leader and riding momentum, while BC is looking to stabilize their season after a shaky start. Both teams have playoff implications at stake, but Hamilton’s hot streak and recent dominance in this matchup are significant.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions -144 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +120 Hamilton Tiger-Cats (moneyline) Not available
Spread BC Lions -2.5 -118 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 -104 Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 Not available
Over/under Over 55.5 -108 | Under 55.5 -112 Over 55.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a high-scoring, competitive game. While home-field and a stout pass defense give BC a puncher’s chance, Hamilton’s recent form, offensive firepower, and historical success against the spread in this matchup make them the sharper value play. The over is also strongly in play given the offensive trends of both teams and recent head-to-head totals.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 30, BC Lions 27


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Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

Winnipeg Blue Bombers visit Toronto Argonauts in a CFL matchup where Winnipeg leads the standings 3-2 and Toronto struggles at 1-5. Winnipeg is slightly favored but Toronto seeks a home upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg is 3-2, recently losing to Calgary 41-20; Toronto is 1-5 with offensive struggles. Winnipeg's defense and QB ranking better overall. Toronto may debut Chad Kelly, potentially boosting offense.
  • Recent matchups show Winnipeg often as favorites; last Grey Cup rematch favored Winnipeg. Head-to-head stats favor Winnipeg consistently but Toronto's home field offers some advantage.
  • No confirmed major injuries; potential Toronto QB Chad Kelly's status pending, could impact Toronto's offensive output.
  • Game played at Toronto's BMO Field with possible home crowd support. Weather and field conditions not noted as adverse.
  • Toronto desperate for a win to break early-season slump, offering high motivation. Winnipeg aiming to rebound quickly from recent loss to maintain playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Argonauts: +198, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -245 Winnipeg Blue Bombers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Toronto Argonauts: +5.5 -105, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -5.5 -115 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 Over 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win on the moneyline with a spread cover. Total points expected high, favoring over.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30 – Toronto Argonauts 22


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-1) host the Edmonton Elks (1-4) at Mosaic Stadium. Saskatchewan is heavily favored due to dominant recent form and a better overall team performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan is 5-1 both straight up and against the spread, displaying strong offense and defense. Edmonton struggles with a 1-4 record and inconsistent quarterback play.
  • No prior matchups between these teams this season, but Saskatchewan has the edge in experience and momentum.
  • Edmonton's starting quarterback Tre Ford has shown limited passing effectiveness and injury concerns affect offensive reliability. Saskatchewan appears healthier with no significant injuries reported.
  • Game played at Saskatchewan's home stadium, Mosaic Stadium, giving Roughriders home-field advantage. Weather conditions not reported, assumed neutral.
  • Saskatchewan aims to strengthen their playoff positioning with a second consecutive win. Edmonton seeks redemption but lacks recent success to build on.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton +400, Saskatchewan -550 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Edmonton +9.5 (-105), Saskatchewan -9.5 (-115) Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 53.5 (-118), Under 53.5 (-104) Over 53.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up, cover the -9.5 spread, and the total score to go over 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31 – Edmonton Elks 18


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Montreal Alouettes in a pivotal CFL Week 8 matchup. Calgary enters with a strong 5-1 record, excelling defensively by allowing only 18.5 points per game. Montreal, with a 4-2 record, faces offensive challenges due to key injuries. Calgary’s recent form and defensive pressure are expected to control the game tempo.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary leads with 5-1 straight up and against the spread; Montreal stands at 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Calgary's defense is top-tier, limiting opponents effectively, while Montreal’s offense is impacted by injuries.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Calgary who have shown they can cover spreads and produce consistent wins over Montreal.
  • Montreal’s offensive capabilities are impaired notably by the injury to Alexander, reducing their effectiveness in scoring and quarterback protection.
  • Game played at Calgary’s home venue, McMahon Stadium, giving the Stampeders a home-field advantage with supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
  • Calgary aims to extend their dominance and improve to 6-1, maintaining momentum for playoffs. Montreal looks to overcome setbacks and remain competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary -250, Montreal +202 Calgary Stampeders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Calgary -5.5 (-115), Montreal +5.5 (-105) Calgary Stampeders -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110) Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win outright and cover the spread; expect a solid defensive game with the total staying under the line.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 20


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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ivor Wynne Stadium (Hamilton)

Game Overview

This CFL matchup features the Hamilton Tiger-Cats hosting the Ottawa Redblacks. Hamilton enters with strong recent form and offensive efficiency, while Ottawa struggles defensively and offensively under pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton is 3-2 SU with a top-tier offense ranked 1st in scoring and 2nd in passing, demonstrating sustained offensive success. Ottawa is 1-4 SU with poor yards allowed per play, ranking near the bottom defensively, and offensive struggles after initial drives.
  • Hamilton won the recent meeting 23-20 and controlled the game's tempo with effective ball movement. Hamilton has demonstrated superiority in this matchup and shares the Eastern Conference lead.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly impact key offensive or defensive positions.
  • The game is in Hamilton’s home stadium, which historically boosts their performance. Weather is not expected to hamper offensive production significantly.
  • Hamilton is highly motivated to consolidate Eastern Conference leadership. Ottawa is seeking to halt a losing streak but faces psychological and tactical challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -125, Ottawa Redblacks: +104 Hamilton Tiger-Cats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 -114, Ottawa Redblacks: +1.5 -106 Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over: 54.5 -110, Under: 54.5 -110 Under 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ottawa Redblacks 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline winner with a clean victory covering the -1.5 spread; total points to stay under 54.5.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 27 – Ottawa Redblacks 20


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BC Lions vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions, currently 3-3, face the Saskatchewan Roughriders, who are 4-1, at BC Place. Both teams have had significant recent performances, with Saskatchewan looking to bounce back from a loss, while BC seeks its third consecutive win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan recently lost their first game of the season, while BC has been on a two-game winning streak.
  • Though Saskatchewan has dominated BC in recent head-to-heads, BC has a strong home record against the Roughriders.
  • No significant injury reports for either team have been noted.
  • CFL Week 7 brings increased competition as teams establish their standings.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Saskatchewan seeking to regain momentum and BC looking to extend its winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -144, Saskatchewan Roughriders: +120 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread BC Lions: -2.5 BC Lions -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Over 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The BC Lions are favored due to their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 27, Saskatchewan Roughriders 23


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