Match Analysis: Žalgiris vs Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-16
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Zalgirio Arena, Kaunas

Game Overview

The Euroleague match between Žalgiris Kaunas (home) and Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano is scheduled for October 16, 2025, at 17:00 UTC. Žalgiris, currently a top-ranked team, is known for a fast-paced, high-scoring style emphasizing three-point shooting ensuring strong home performance. Olimpia Milano, with a lower European standing, focuses on defense and controlling tempo but is currently handicapped by key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

• Žalgiris leads the tournament with consistent performances and a strong offense averaging 87.5 points per game, led by Sylvain Francisco. Olimpia Milano averages 75.5 points with top player Devin Booker but has a weaker offensive output and recent defeats.
• In recent Euroleague encounters, Žalgiris holds a 4-1 advantage over Milano including a recent home win, demonstrating a notable edge in this matchup.
• Olimpia Milano is missing key players Z. Leday and J. Nebo due to injuries, weakening their frontcourt and reducing their competitiveness. Žalgiris reports no significant injuries.
• The game is played at Žalgiris' home court, Zalgirio Arena, known for high attendance and strong home support. Weather and travel factors are minimal indoors.
• Žalgiris enters motivated to maintain their top position and capitalize on home advantage. Milano will try to bounce back from losses but faces challenges due to injuries and form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Žalgiris: -198, Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: 164	Žalgiris win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Žalgiris: -112, Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: -108, point_spread: 4.5	Žalgiris -4.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: -112, Under: -108, total_points: 159.5	Over 159.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Žalgiris 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 159.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 159.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Žalgiris is favored to win, likely covering the -4.5 point spread and controlling the tempo of the game. Expect a moderately high scoring game focused on Žalgiris' offensive efficiency overpowering Milano’s defense.

Predicted Score: Žalgiris 85 – Olimpia Milano 74

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Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Žalgiris – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-14
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Belgrade Arena

Game Overview

The EuroLeague match between KK Crvena zvezda and Žalgiris Kaunas promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have shown resilience, with Crvena zvezda recently achieving a surprising road win against the reigning champions despite injuries. Žalgiris has historically performed well against Crvena zvezda in their past matchups, often edging close games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Crvena zvezda has struggled in recent matches with a 1-4 record but demonstrated strong effort by winning against a top-tier opponent on the road in turbulent circumstances. Žalgiris has maintained a more consistent winning record against Crvena zvezda, showcasing superior shooting percentages and rebounding prowess in their last meeting.
• Žalgiris leads the head-to-head record significantly, winning about 72% of recent encounters including close games in February and October 2025 where the margins were narrow (e.g., 86-80 and 86-84). Their recent clashes have been competitive but slightly favored Žalgiris.
• Crvena zvezda continues to face challenges due to injuries affecting key players, which impacted their lineup and strategy in recent games. This remains a concern going into the match.
• Crvena zvezda will play at home in Belgrade which should provide a strong home-court advantage. Additionally, their recent coaching changes and lineup disruptions may impact team dynamics but also motivate a strong response.
• Crvena zvezda looks motivated to build on their recent upset win to set a positive tone for the season. Žalgiris aims to maintain their dominance in the matchup and capitalize on their better season record and positional strength.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home_win: 2.10, away_win: 1.75, draw: N/A	Away Win (Žalgiris)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	home: +4.5 (1.90), away: -4.5 (1.95)	Away -4.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	over_160.5: 1.85, under_160.5: 1.95	Over 160.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the detailed analysis of recent form, head-to-head results, injuries, and motivation levels, Žalgiris is slightly favored to win but the margin is expected to be close with high competitiveness from Crvena zvezda at home.

Predicted Score: Žalgiris 85 – 79 Crvena zvezda

Match Analysis: FC Bayern München vs Žalgiris – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: FC Bayern München's home stadium

Game Overview

This EuroLeague match between FC Bayern München and Žalgiris is expected to be closely contested, with Bayern holding a slight advantage based on past performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bayern has shown strong form in recent matches, while Žalgiris has experienced mixed results.
• Bayern Munich has a historical edge over Žalgiris, having won more games in their head-to-head encounters.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Home advantage might play in Bayern's favor.
• Both teams are highly motivated for a win in the EuroLeague.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bayern Munich -122, Žalgiris 102	Bayern Munich	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bayern Munich -1.5 -110, Žalgiris +1.5 -110	Bayern Munich -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 164.5 -110, Under 164.5 -110	Under 164.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	FC Bayern München 21%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 164.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Bayern München at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayern Munich is likely to win, given their historical dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 78-74 in favor of Bayern Munich

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – October 10, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Fenerbahce SK vs. KK Crvena zvezda Prediction	Fenerbahce SK	-380	180%
FC Bayern München vs. Žalgiris Prediction	FC Bayern München	-122	21%
FC Barcelona Bàsquet vs. Valencia Basket Prediction	Over 175	-110	15%

Combined Odds: +339 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $87.76

Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Žalgiris – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-01
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: AS Monaco Home Court

Game Overview

The Euroleague basketball match between AS Monaco and Žalgiris Kaunas features two teams with a competitive historical record, where Monaco holds a slight edge with 5 wins to Žalgiris' 3 across 8 encounters since 2021. Both teams show moderate scoring averages, with AS Monaco averaging around 81.6 points per game offensively and conceding 79.5 points defensively, while Žalgiris averages 79.5 points scored and concedes 81.6. Recent form favors Monaco, who won their last 5 games, although they struggle against the spread. Žalgiris has a losing recent form but demonstrates a higher over points percentage. The game is expected to be competitive with Monaco favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

• AS Monaco is currently in strong form with a 5-game winning streak, averaging 80.6 points per game but allowing high opponent scoring at 87.4 points per game. Žalgiris, conversely, has only managed 1 win in their last 5 games while scoring a slightly higher 82.4 PPG and conceding 82.8 PPG. Monaco's defense appears less effective recently, while Žalgiris struggles overall but has a decent offensive output.
• Out of 8 Euroleague matches since 2021, Monaco leads with 5 wins versus Žalgiris' 3. Their points per game are close: Monaco 81.6 to Žalgiris 79.5, with a balanced win percentage against the spread at 50%. Historical betting data shows 62.5% of their encounters going over total points, suggesting a moderately high-scoring match.
• Current data does not provide explicit injury reports for either team, implying both squads may have access to their regular rosters for this matchup.
• Playing at home, AS Monaco benefits from familiar surroundings and crowd support which often provides a competitive boost. No other significant external factors such as extreme travel fatigue or scheduling congestion have been reported.
• AS Monaco, sitting higher in the Euroleague standings (4th with 18-12 record), will be motivated to maintain momentum early in the season. Žalgiris, ranked 13th with a 14-16 record, may be motivated to prove themselves against a top team and reverse recent poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AS Monaco: -356, Žalgiris: 285	AS Monaco to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	AS Monaco -7.5: -115, Žalgiris +7.5: -105	AS Monaco -7.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 165.5: -110, Under 165.5: -110	Over 165.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	AS Monaco -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 165.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AS Monaco to win by covering the spread of -7.5 points. The matchup favors a moderately high-scoring game, but defensive lapses on both sides suggest the total will likely go just over 165.5 points.

Predicted Score: AS Monaco 85 – 77 Žalgiris

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
AS Monaco vs. Žalgiris Prediction	AS Monaco -7.5	-115	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Fenerbahce SK vs. Paris Basketball Prediction	Fenerbahce SK -7.5	-120	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs. Valencia Basket Prediction	Valencia Basket Win	-125	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +517

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $123.39

Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs Žalgiris – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-11
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Basketball Development Centre

Game Overview

Anadolu Efes Istanbul faces Žalgiris Kaunas on April 11, 2025, in a crucial EuroLeague matchup. Efes has been in excellent form, with a seven-game winning streak that has catapulted them into fifth place. They need to secure a top-six finish to solidify their playoff position. Žalgiris, though eliminated from playoff contention, recently showed resilience by beating Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anadolu Efes has shown remarkable resurgence under coach Luca Banchi, despite injuries to key players like Rodrigue Beaubois. Žalgiris, while not in contention, demonstrated strength with a recent win over Partizan.
• tête-à-tête record is slightly in favor of Anadolu Efes, with 13 wins to Žalgiris's 12 since 2000.
• Anadolu Efes will be without Rodrigue Beaubois, while Shane Larkin is battling health issues. Žalgiris’s injury situation appears stable.
• Motivation could play a role for Efes as they need to secure their playoff seeding, while Žalgiris might aim to play spoilers.
• Efes's strong motivation for securing a good playoff seeding contrasts with Žalgiris's desire to end the season on a high note despite being eliminated.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anadolu Efes: -535, Žalgiris: 400	Anadolu Efes	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Anadolu Efes: -10 -108, Žalgiris: 10 -112	Anadolu Efes	★★★★☆ 80%
Over_under	Over 165.5: -110, Under 165.5: -110	Over	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anadolu Efes 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 165.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current form, Anadolu Efes is likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: Anadolu Efes: 90, Žalgiris: 80

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets Prediction	Los Angeles Lakers Win	-475	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Anadolu Efes vs. Žalgiris Prediction	Over 165.5	-110	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Panathinaikos vs. KK Crvena zvezda Prediction	Panathinaikos -9	-110	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +341

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $88.24

Match Analysis: Žalgiris vs KK Partizan NIS – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-03
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Žalgirio Arena

Game Overview

Žalgiris Kaunas hosts KK Partizan NIS in a crucial EuroLeague match. Žalgiris aims to improve its standings, while Partizan seeks to affirm its dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Žalgiris has been inconsistent lately, while Partizan has shown strong form but suffered recent losses. Partizan's overall statistics suggest a slight edge in consistency.
• In their last match on December 3, 2024, Partizan beat Žalgiris 84-78. Historically, Partizan leads their head-to-head record 7-2 since 2010.
• Currently, no significant injury reports available for both teams.
• Home court advantage could give Žalgiris a slight edge, while Partizan's recent travel and schedule might impact their performance.
• Both teams are highly motivated given the importance of EuroLeague standings, but Partizan's recent performances might provide an added boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-112 (Žalgiris), -108 (Partizan)	Žalgiris	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-1 (Žalgiris) -105, 1 (Partizan) -115	Žalgiris -1	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 162.5 -110, Under 162.5 -110	Over 162.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances and historical data, a closely contested match is expected.

Predicted Score: 82-80 in favor of Žalgiris

Match Analysis: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs Žalgiris – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-27
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Astroballe

Game Overview

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne faces Žalgiris in the Euroleague. ASVEL is looking to capitalize on home advantage despite a recent losing streak, while Žalgiris boasts strong defensive capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne has been struggling, with a 7-game losing streak in the Euroleague, while Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 10 games but faces challenges in offensive efficiency.
• Žalgiris leads in head-to-head matches 6-5, with ASVEL's last win being on 04.01.24. Recent performances suggest Žalgiris's strong defense might be a key factor.
• No specific injury reports available, but this could impact both teams' performance significantly.
• Fatigue could be a factor as both teams play frequently, and home court advantage might favor ASVEL. Additionally, recent momentum favors Žalgiris.
• ASVEL seeks to break their losing streak to garner playoff hopes, while Žalgiris aims to solidify their playoff position despite slim chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne -125, Žalgiris 105	Žalgiris Kaunas	★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread	ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne -1.5 -110, Žalgiris 1.5 -110	Žalgiris +1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 162.5 -110, Under 162.5 -110	Under 162.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Given Žalgiris's defensive prowess and ASVEL's recent struggles, Žalgiris might capitalize on their strengths to secure a win.

Predicted Score: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne 77 – Žalgiris Kaunas 80