Match Analysis: Fenerbahce SK vs Paris Basketball – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-01
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Sinan Erdem Dome, Bakirkoy, Turkey
Game Overview
The Euroleague match between Fenerbahce SK and Paris Basketball features two teams with a recent history of competitive encounters. Fenerbahce, playing at home in the Sinan Erdem Dome, is coming off a strong 2025 season with a 5-0 record against Paris Basketball. Paris Basketball enters with a 0-2 away record in the current Euroleague season, facing a tough challenge against the experienced Turkish side.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fenerbahce has dominated the head-to-head series with Paris Basketball, winning all 5 recent matches since early 2025, averaging 91.6 points scored and allowing 84.2 points per game. Paris Basketball has been efficient offensively with 87.4 points per game but struggles away, with a 0-2 road record this season. Fenerbahce also comes from a strong domestic season start, winning the Turkish Super Cup and showcasing solid team chemistry.
- Historically, Fenerbahce has won all 5 shown encounters in 2025 against Paris Basketball with closely contested scores, including a recent 98-88 win away and multiple wins at home by a margin of 5-10 points. The teams' matchups tend to be competitive but Fenerbahce has consistently had the edge.
- No significant injury reports are currently available for either team ahead of the game, suggesting both teams will have their regular rotations available.
- Playing at home in the Sinan Erdem Dome with strong fan support favors Fenerbahce. The travel and away environment pose challenges for Paris Basketball. Additionally, Fenerbahce's recent recruitment, including Talen Horton-Tucker, adds to their firepower and depth.
- Fenerbahce aims to maintain their unbeaten record against Paris Basketball and continue momentum from their recent trophy wins. Paris Basketball is motivated to break their away losing streak in the Euroleague and establish themselves in the group stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK: -378, Paris Basketball: 301 | Fenerbahce SK | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Fenerbahce SK: -7.5 (-120), Paris Basketball: +7.5 (100) | Fenerbahce SK -7.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 169.5 (-110), Under: 169.5 (-110) | Over 169.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 169.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 169.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahce SK is predicted to win, leveraging home-court advantage, superior head-to-head performance, and current form. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring, reflecting both teamsβ offensive abilities, but Fenerbahceβs defense and cohesion should limit Paris close scoring.
Predicted Score: Fenerbahce SK 92 – 82 Paris Basketball