Match Analysis: William Gomis vs Robert Ruchala – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
Game Overview
This featherweight bout features William Gomis (14-3) facing Robert Ruchala (11-1) on the prelims of UFC Fight Night Paris. Gomis, nicknamed 'Jaguar,' is the betting favorite and the more experienced UFC competitor. Ruchala is a promising prospect with a strong record and an aggressive style. The fight is expected to showcase technical striking and grappling exchanges, being a key match on a stacked card headlined by high-level middleweight contenders.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gomis has demonstrated solid all-around skills with a 14-3 record, showing capability in both striking and ground game. Ruchala boasts an 11-1 record with similar versatility but slightly less experience in high-profile UFC fights. Recent performances indicate Gomis controls pace better while Ruchala presses aggressively seeking finishes.
- No previous fights between William Gomis and Robert Ruchala have occurred, leaving no direct matchup data.
- No reports of injuries for either fighter approaching this matchup, suggesting both are at full strength.
- The fight takes place at Accor Arena in Paris, close to Gomis' home country, possibly giving him a minor crowd support advantage. Ruchala may face the challenge of fighting away from his home base but also has nothing to lose as the underdog.
- Gomis looks motivated to cement his position within featherweight ranks by leveraging his UFC experience. Ruchala, as a rising prospect making one of his first UFC appearances, is highly motivated to upset the favorite and announce himself on the big stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | William Gomis: -258, Robert Ruchala: 210 | William Gomis | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | William Gomis: -3.5 (-105), Robert Ruchala: +3.5 (-125) | William Gomis to cover -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -270, Under 2.5 rounds: 200 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | William Gomis -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: William Gomis at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
William Gomis is favored to win, leveraging his experience and balanced skill set. The fight will likely be a competitive contest with Gomis controlling the fight tempo and edging out Ruchala by decision or late finish.
Predicted Score: William Gomis wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds