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Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Ochoa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Asu Almabaev vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Flyweight UFC main card fight between veteran grappler Asu Almabayev and rising prospect Jose Ochoa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almabayev holds a strong 21-3 record with a grappling-heavy, control-oriented style, averaging over 13 minutes per fight indicating a grind approach. Ochoa is an up-and-coming fighter fresh from a dominant KO win, with a more aggressive, fast-start style.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; this is their first encounter, making styles and adaptability crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either athlete leading into the fight; both appear fully healthy and ready.
  • Fight takes place in a hot, dry environment (98°F forecast) in Abu Dhabi which could favor the more experienced, pace-controlling fighter used to longer fights.
  • Ochoa is highly motivated as a rising prospect aiming to make a statement, while Almabayev seeks to maintain veteran status and control the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asu Almabayev -125, Jose Ochoa +105 Asu Almabayev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Almabayev -3.5 -195, Ochoa +3.5 +140 Asu Almabayev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -195, Under 2.5 +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asu Almabaev 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Asu Almabayev to win; Spread: Asu Almabayev to cover -3.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Almabayev wins by decision after controlling pace and grappling dominance


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Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Ochoa Prediction

Match Analysis: Asu Almabaev vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-26 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Game Overview Flyweight UFC main card fight between veteran grappler Asu Almabayev and rising prospect Jose Ochoa. Key Factors to Consider Almabayev holds a strong 21-3 record with a grappling-heavy, […]

Asu Almabaev Jose Ochoa July 26, 2025 MMA/Boxing

MORE FROM MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS

Erick Viscondi vs. Chris Mecate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erick Viscondi vs Chris Mecate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated matchup between two formidable fighters in the 145 lbs division. Viscondi brings a 15-3 record with recent success, while Mecate is on a 6-fight win streak. The fight is expected to be closely contested, with both fighters having strong skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viscondi has a recent winning streak of 4 out of his last 5 fights, while Mecate has won his last six fights. Both fighters are in good form.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup data available for these fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight venue is in Lemoore, California, which might provide a neutral setting for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Mecate to win via decision.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Chris Mecate.


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Jose Augusto vs. Marek Samociuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jose Augusto vs Marek Samociuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Saitama Super Arena, Saitama, Japan

Game Overview

Jose Augusto is favored to win against Marek Samociuk in their upcoming MMA bout at Super RIZIN 4, scheduled for July 26 or 27, 2025, as part of the Rizin Heavyweight Grand Prix.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jose Augusto has been performing well in recent fights, making him a strong contender in this matchup. Marek Samociuk also poses a formidable challenge but might be less favored due to Augusto's current form.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available between these fighters, which complicates predictions based on past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter, but this information can be crucial and should be monitored closely.
  • The event is part of the heavyweight grand prix, which adds pressure and motivation for both fighters to advance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, given the stakes of the grand prix tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jose Augusto: -240, Marek Samociuk: 165 Jose Augusto ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jose Augusto -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jose Augusto at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Augusto will win the fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or Submission in favor of Jose Augusto


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Shealor Ladd vs. Pedro Lay Jr. Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shealor Ladd vs Pedro Lay Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California (LFA 213)

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight bout featuring undefeated prospects Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr., both standing 2-0 professionally. Ladd has both wins in LFA with finishes inside the distance; Lay has one LFA fight and one finish in two wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shealor Ladd is 2-0 in LFA with both wins finished inside distance, showing strong finishing ability and recent form. Pedro Lay Jr. is also 2-0 but slightly less experienced within LFA and has just one finish.
  • No known previous head-to-head meetings between Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr.
  • No reported injuries for either competitor leading into the fight.
  • Fight is on home soil for Ladd in Lemoore, California, potentially giving him a motivational edge.
  • Both fighters seek to remain undefeated and build momentum, but Ladd’s local support and finishing style suggest higher motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shealor Ladd -220, Pedro Lay Jr. +185 Shealor Ladd ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -1.5 rounds Shealor Ladd -120, +1.5 rounds Pedro Lay Jr. +100 Shealor Ladd -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 -115, Under 1.5 -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shealor Ladd -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shealor Ladd to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Shealor Ladd wins by TKO in Round 2


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Isaac Thomson vs. Jeremy Henry Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Isaac Thomson vs Jeremy Henry – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 213, Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Isaac Thomson faces Jeremy Henry in an MMA bout at LFA 213. Thomson is favored heavily by bookmakers, indicating a strong perceived advantage, particularly in striking and agility. Henry poses a threat with his takedown ability which could neutralize Thomson's stand-up game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Isaac Thomson has showcased consistent recent form with superior striking and agility, making him dominant on feet. Jeremy Henry has a solid grappling base and is known for effective takedowns, yet he enters as an underdog highlighting some recent performance gaps.
  • No previous head-to-head data available between Thomson and Henry, making this an evenly matched unknown in that respect.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both are at full health and prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Lemoore, California, potentially favoring Thomson with more local support and less travel stress; no weather or other environmental conditions reported to affect performance.
  • Thomson, as the favorite, likely motivated to justify the odds and maintain positioning, while Henry has strong motivation to upset given the odds against him, potentially increasing his grappling aggression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isaac Thomson: -700, Jeremy Henry: 500 Isaac Thomson ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Isaac Thomson -1.5 rounds: -190, Jeremy Henry +1.5 rounds: 150 Isaac Thomson -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 145, Under 2.5 rounds: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Isaac Thomson -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaac Thomson at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Isaac Thomson to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Isaac Thomson wins by finish or clear decision within 2 rounds


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Noah Bey vs. Cedric Manhoef Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Noah Bey vs Cedric Manhoef – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Noah Bey faces Cedric Manhoef at LFA 213 in a heavyweight mixed martial arts matchup that heavily favors Bey, who is a dominant favorite with far superior recent form and odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Noah Bey is coming into the fight as a heavy favorite (-700 to -1400 depending on source) with multiple recent wins showcasing dominant striking and grappling. Cedric Manhoef is the underdog with a less consistent record and fewer recent wins.
  • No documented head-to-head fights between Noah Bey and Cedric Manhoef prior to this bout, meaning no direct prior data.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter prior to the bout, indicating both likely to perform at full capacity.
  • Fight takes place in Lemoore, California, neutral venue for both fighters. No indications of external disruptions or travel issues.
  • Noah Bey shows strong motivation to maintain his rising status as a top prospect. Cedric Manhoef seeks an upset to regain momentum but faces a challenging task against a dominant favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Noah_Bey: -700, Cedric_Manhoef: 500 Noah Bey ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Noah_Bey_-1.5_rounds: -250, Cedric_Manhoef_+1.5_rounds: 200 Noah Bey -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over_2.5_rounds: -150, Under_2.5_rounds: 120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Noah Bey -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Noah Bey wins by moneyline with confidence and a likely method inside distance given the disparity in odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Noah Bey wins by TKO in round 2


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Edmund Kwan vs. Loai Abushaar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edmund Kwan vs Loai Abushaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 213 event – Central California (specific venue not listed)

Game Overview

Edmund Kwan (4-0) faces Loai Abushaar (4-1) in a lightweight MMA bout at LFA 213. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with aggressive finishes. Kwan is a rising star with all wins, showing balanced finishing ability (KO, submission, decision). Abushaar has a strong record with 2 submissions and 2 KOs, but has one recent KO loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kwan is undefeated at 4-0, with victories including KOs and submissions, showing well-rounded skills. Abushaar holds a 4-1 record, with his loss coming via first-round KO in August 2023. Kwan shows more recent consistent success without losses.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Kwan and Abushaar.
  • No public information about injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is hosted by LFA, a respected promotion that has launched UFC careers; event location is neutral, though closer to Kwan's recent fight locales in the U.S.
  • Kwan is a top lightweight prospect eager to maintain his undefeated record and move towards UFC contention. Abushaar looks to rebound from his sole career loss and establish himself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kwan -500, Abushaar +375 Kwan ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -155, Under 1.5 +125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edmund Kwan -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Edmund Kwan to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Edmund Kwan wins by second round finish


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Rafael do Nascimento vs. Arnold Jimenez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael do Nascimento vs Arnold Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tachi Palace Casino Resort

Game Overview

A bantamweight bout between Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) and Arnold Jimenez (12-3) at LFA 213. Both fighters have solid records with Jimenez holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento is coming off a strong showing, maintaining a 10-3 record, focusing on striking and grappling with knockout power. Arnold Jimenez is 12-3 with solid wins but with slightly less knockout power and less recent finishes.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries or withdrawals for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place at Tachi Palace, a venue with which do Nascimento has had notable success, potentially providing a slight home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated to ascend the LFA bantamweight rankings; do Nascimento’s recent knockout highlight and Jimenez’s 12 wins suggest strong desire from both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -330, Arnold Jimenez +270 Rafael do Nascimento ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Unavailable exact numerical spread odds, implied line approximately -1.5 rounds favoring do Nascimento Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rafael do Nascimento to win. Spread: Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins via TKO in round 2


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Chris Gonzalez vs. Jacob Rosales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Gonzalez vs Jacob Rosales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California, United States

Game Overview

The matchup features Chris Gonzalez, an experienced Bellator veteran and Urijah Faber protégé with an 8-3 professional record, against Jacob Rosales in an LFA 213 lightweight bout. Gonzalez is favored by bookmakers due to his superior experience and skill level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Gonzalez comes in with a solid recent form, showcasing superior striking and grappling skills, while Rosales has struggled against higher-caliber opponents.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are available between Gonzalez and Rosales, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue in Lemoore, California, with Gonzalez possibly benefiting from his association with Team Alpha Male and Bellator experience.
  • Gonzalez has strong motivation to maintain momentum as he aims to solidify his status in the lightweight division, while Rosales is motivated to prove himself against a tougher opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Gonzalez -265 / Jacob Rosales +225 Chris Gonzalez ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread No formal spread market available; implied close to -1.5 rounds favoring Gonzalez Chris Gonzalez to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -185 / Under 2.5 rounds +155 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Gonzalez -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Gonzalez to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Chris Gonzalez wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Shara Magomedov vs. Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

The UFC middleweight matchup features Shara Magomedov, a dominant 15-1 fighter known for his accuracy and defensive ability, facing off against Marc-Andre Barriault, a durable and high-volume striker with a 17-9 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomedov exhibits higher striking accuracy (62%) and better striking defense (42% strikes absorbed) than Barriault, who lands more total strikes per minute but with lower accuracy (47%) and absorbs more strikes (5.57 per minute). Magomedov's recent loss has motivated him to reassert dominance.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts; this will be their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held at neutral venue in Abu Dhabi, with no discernible home advantage or external stressors for either fighter.
  • Magomedov seeks to recover from his first professional loss and reestablish himself as a top contender; Barriault aims to capitalize on his durability and experience to upset the favored Magomedov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -625, Marc-Andre Barriault +455 Shara Magomedov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Shara Magomedov -3.5 (-290), Marc-Andre Barriault +3.5 (205) Shara Magomedov -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-188), Under 1.5 (+145) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Shara Magomedov to win; Spread: Shara Magomedov to win by more than 3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to go longer)

Predicted Score: Shara Magomedov wins by decision after three rounds


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