Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-05
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Northwestern Home Stadium

Game Overview

Northwestern Wildcats host the Western Illinois Leathernecks in this NCAA football matchup. Northwestern is a much stronger FBS team compared to the FCS Western Illinois, reflected in recent form and historical dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northwestern holds a 1-4 record but covered the spread in 2 of last 5 games, showing some competitiveness. Western Illinois is winless at 0-5 and 0-5 ATS, with a generally struggling offense and defense.
• Northwestern leads the all-time series 1-0, with a solid 24-7 victory in 2014. In their latest meeting in 2019, Northwestern narrowly won 3-2, indicating a defensive battle previously but overall Northwestern's superiority.
• No major injuries reported for either team affecting expected starters; Northwestern appears healthy and well-prepared.
• Northwestern playing at home with well-established facilities and fan support; Western Illinois is traveling and adjusting from FCS to FBS competition level.
• Northwestern aims to establish season momentum early, especially against an inferior opponent. Western Illinois looks to gain confidence but faces substantial competitive gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Northwestern Wildcats: -10000, Western Illinois Leathernecks: 2400	Northwestern Wildcats	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Northwestern Wildcats -28.5: -110, Western Illinois +28.5: -110	Northwestern Wildcats -28.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 51.5: -110, Under 51.5: -110	Under 51.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Northwestern Wildcats -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Northwestern Wildcats to win straight up, cover the 28.5 point spread, with total score finishing under 51.5 points, given strong defensive tendencies and Western Illinois offensive limitations.

Predicted Score: Northwestern Wildcats 35 – Western Illinois Leathernecks 10

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 5, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks Prediction	Under 51.5	-110	34%
Louisville Cardinals vs. James Madison Dukes Prediction	Over 58.5	-108	25%
Boise State Broncos vs. Eastern Washington Eagles Prediction	Over 55.5	-110	24%

Combined Odds: +602 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $140.39

Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL

Game Overview

The Illinois Fighting Illini, ranked No. 12 in AP Poll, open their season at home against the Western Illinois Leathernecks, a team with notably weak defense and offensive struggles. Illinois is heavily favored, reflected in a very large spread and strong public backing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois has shown strong form recently with a perfect 7-0 record at -41.5 spread over the last 30 days, while Western Illinois has poor defensive metrics even among OVC peers and lacks offensive production.
• No recent or notable head-to-head history available; situational advantage strongly favors Illinois due to team quality and ranking.
• No significant injury reports identified for either team at this time.
• Game played at Illinois home venue with favorable weather (70°F, 0% rain, light wind), supporting Illinois' home field advantage.
• Illinois motivated to start ranked season strong and validate national ranking; Western Illinois expected to face morale challenges against superior lineup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Illinois: -2500, Western Illinois: +1100	Illinois Fighting Illini	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Illinois -45.5 (-105), Western Illinois +45.5 (-115)	Illinois Fighting Illini -45.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 63.5 (-110), Under 63.5 (-110)	Over 63.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 63.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois Fighting Illini to cover the large spread and win decisively, scoring heavily against a weak Western Illinois defense, with total points expected to exceed the 63.5 line.

Predicted Score: Illinois Fighting Illini 56 – Western Illinois Leathernecks 10

Top EV Parlay for American Football – August 29, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Kennesaw State Owls Prediction	Under 51.5	-108	35%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks Prediction	Over 63.5	-110	34%
Florida International Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats Prediction	Over 54.5	-110	34%

Combined Odds: +602 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $140.39

Match Analysis: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 27, 2025
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Hooper Eblen Center

Game Overview

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles host Western Illinois Leathernecks in an NCAA basketball matchup. Tennessee Tech seeks to capitalize on their home advantage, while Western Illinois aims to break a six-game road losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tennessee Tech has a strong record against the spread this season (14-14-0), while Western Illinois struggles at 8-18-1 ATS. Tennessee Tech averages 72.3 points per game, slightly above Western Illinois' defensive average of 71.4 points allowed.
• No recent head-to-head data is provided, but Tennessee Tech's overall performance suggests an advantage.
• No specific injury reports are mentioned for either team.
• Home court advantage could significantly benefit Tennessee Tech, as they have a better overall record at home.
• Tennessee Tech is motivated to secure a win to improve their standings, while Western Illinois seeks to end their road losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Tennessee Tech	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-7.5 -110 for Tennessee Tech, 7.5 -110 for Western Illinois	Tennessee Tech -7.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 140.5 -110, Under 140.5 -110	Over 140.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Tech is favored to win due to their stronger performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Tennessee Tech 75, Western Illinois 67

Match Analysis: Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Lindenwood Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 25, 2025
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Western Hall

Game Overview

The matchup between Western Illinois Leathernecks and Lindenwood Lions is closely contested, with both teams having similar odds across moneyline and spread. The game is expected to be competitive, reflecting the tight spread and moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have shown inconsistent performances throughout the season. Western Illinois has a record of 10-19, while Lindenwood stands at 14-15. Recent form will be crucial in determining the outcome.
• Recent head-to-head data shows a close contest between the two teams, with Western Illinois winning the previous matchup. However, Lindenwood's overall record suggests potential for a strong response.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either team, which could impact the game's dynamics.
• The home advantage for Western Illinois at Western Hall might provide a slight edge, but both teams are familiar with the venue's conditions.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win, given their positions in the standings. Western Illinois seeks to improve its home record, while Lindenwood aims to build momentum on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lindenwood Lions: -105, Western Illinois Leathernecks: -115	Western Illinois Leathernecks	★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread	Lindenwood Lions: 0 -110, Western Illinois Leathernecks: 0 -110	Western Illinois Leathernecks	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over: 140.5 -110, Under: 140.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Given the tight odds and recent performances, this game could go either way. However, Lindenwood's slightly better overall record might give them a slight edge.

Predicted Score: Western Illinois 72, Lindenwood 70

Match Analysis: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans host the Western Illinois Leathernecks in a matchup where the Trojans are favored due to their stronger performance in the Ohio Valley Conference. Western Illinois is coming off a loss where Trey Deveaux scored 20 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Little Rock averages 69.50 points per game and allows 68.68, while Western Illinois averages 67.89 points and allows 72.57. Little Rock's better scoring defense and overall performance in the conference give them an edge.
• Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Little Rock's current form suggests they have an advantage.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• No significant external factors are noted for this game.
• Little Rock is motivated to secure a higher standing in the conference, while Western Illinois seeks to improve their record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-600 for Little Rock, 460 for Western Illinois	Little Rock Trojans	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-10.5 for Little Rock, 10.5 for Western Illinois	Little Rock Trojans	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 133.5, Under 133.5	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Little Rock Trojans are likely to win due to their stronger team performance and conference standing.

Predicted Score: Little Rock Trojans 75, Western Illinois Leathernecks 65

Match Analysis: SE Missouri St Redhawks vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 20, 2025
• Time: 01:30 UTC
• Location: Show Me Center

Game Overview

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks host Western Illinois Leathernecks in a college basketball matchup. The Redhawks are favored, having recently won against Tennessee Tech, while Western Illinois secured a home win over Morehead State.

Key Factors to Consider

• Southeast Missouri State has a strong recent form with seven consecutive wins, while Western Illinois has shown inconsistency with two wins in their last few games. The Redhawks have a better overall record and home performance.
• Southeast Missouri State recently defeated Western Illinois 72-51. However, Western Illinois has won three of the past four matchups between the teams.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The home advantage could significantly favor Southeast Missouri State, given their strong home record.
• Both teams will be motivated, but Southeast Missouri State's recent winning streak might give them an edge in confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-650 for SE Missouri St, 500 for Western Illinois	SE Missouri St Redhawks	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	-11 for SE Missouri St, +11 for Western Illinois	SE Missouri St Redhawks	★★★★☆ 75%
Over_under	Over 137, Under 137	Over 137	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks are likely to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: SE Missouri St 75.1, Western Illinois 66.0