Match Analysis: W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Springfield Thunderbirds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (home venue)
Game Overview
AHL matchup where Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins host Springfield Thunderbirds. Penguins show strong home form and historical dominance, especially in head-to-heads, with a recent trend of high-scoring games but often under 5.5 goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins have scored over 3.5 goals in 100% of their last 12 games and have a strong recent run with several wins. Springfield Thunderbirds have over 5.5 goals in 63% of their last 11 but generally less consistent overall.
- Penguins lead recent H2H with 31 wins out of 53 meetings (approx. 58%). They won 6 of last 7 encounters, indicating clear historical dominance.
- No significant injury reports available that would impact key players for either side at this moment.
- Home advantage for Penguins, important in AHL context. No adverse weather or travel issues reported that would affect performance.
- Penguins motivated to continue strong home performance and maintain lead in standings; Thunderbirds are fighting to close gap and improve away form, but less pressing than Penguins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sprinfield: 170, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton: -265 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Sprinfield +1.5: -152, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton -1.5: 112 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -115, Under 5.5: -118 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins 84% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: W-B/Scranton Penguins at 84% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins to win moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and the match to go under 5.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1