Match Analysis: VMI Keydets vs Bowling Green Falcons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 26, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Fort Myers, FL (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

VMI Keydets (3-5 record) face Bowling Green Falcons (4-2 record) in a neutral-site NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Bowling Green enters as a significant favorite, with the oddsmakers projecting a 10.5-point spread. This is the first meeting between these two programs in recent history, with no recorded head-to-head matchups since the 1997 season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bowling Green maintains a superior 4-2 record and enters the game as a clear favorite based on their conference affiliation (MAC) and recent performance. VMI's 3-5 record indicates struggles early in the season. Recent results show VMI has faced quality competition, with losses to Buffalo (78-70), Stetson (99-80), and Richmond (87-54), while Bowling Green has demonstrated offensive capability.
• These teams have not met in the last three seasons, and no recent head-to-head history is available to influence this matchup. The last recorded meeting between VMI football and Bowling Green football occurred on September 6, 2014, which is not relevant to this basketball contest.
• No injuries are reported for either team entering this matchup, allowing both squads to field their full rosters.
• The neutral-site venue in Fort Myers, FL eliminates any home-court advantage, placing both teams on equal footing in terms of travel and familiarity. This is a non-conference game that may serve as a confidence booster or warning sign depending on the outcome.
• Bowling Green seeks to maintain momentum and improve their conference standing with a dominant win, while VMI looks to break their current losing trend and establish credibility against a MAC opponent. The significant oddsmaker projection suggests Bowling Green is expected to establish early dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bowling Green Falcons are projected to win this matchup convincingly. The combination of superior record, oddsmaker consensus, and recent form strongly favors the Falcons. However, VMI may present a competitive challenge in a neutral environment. The spread of -10.5 reflects confidence in Bowling Green's superiority, and the over/under of 148.5 suggests a moderately-paced offensive game.

Predicted Score: Bowling Green 73, VMI 62

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-24
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (5-0) host the VMI Keydets (3-4) in a mid-November NCAA basketball matchup. Buffalo enters undefeated with strong recent performances and a solid home record. VMI comes off a three-game losing streak, struggling on the road. Both teams have contrasting offensive and defensive profiles, with Buffalo showing balanced scoring and defense, while VMI has high scoring but also concedes many points, suggesting a faster-paced game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Buffalo has a perfect 5-0 record with a +46 scoring margin, strong home play (4-0), and solid defense holding opponents to 72.4 points per game. VMI has a 3-4 record and has lost three straight, with high-scoring games but a less effective defense allowing 78.1 points per game. Buffalo’s consistency and efficiency, particularly at home, favor their performance.
• Recent direct matchups are limited; however, Buffalo’s overall performance and unbeaten streak against quality teams like Vermont suggest an upper hand. VMI has struggled in similar matchups and is under pressure to disrupt Buffalo’s rhythm.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of tip-off.
• The game is at Buffalo’s home venue, which is an advantage given their perfect home record. VMI’s poor road performance (-19.1 rating) further disadvantages them. Motivation is high for Buffalo to maintain their perfect start.
• Buffalo Bulls are motivated to keep their unbeaten streak alive and continue dominating in their conference, whereas VMI aims to break their current losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls are favored to win comfortably by more than 5.5 points due to their undefeated record, home advantage, and defensive strength. The game is likely to go over the total points line considering both teams’ offensive capabilities and VMI’s defensive weaknesses.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 82 – VMI Keydets 74

Match Analysis: Stetson Hatters vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Edmunds Center, DeLand, FL, USA

Game Overview

The game features VMI Keydets (3-3) visiting the Stetson Hatters (2-3) at the Edmunds Center. VMI holds a slight advantage as 2.5-point favorites with a set total of 150.5 points. Their last meeting was in December 2019, which VMI won decisively 88-61, indicating historical dominance in this matchup. VMI is currently on a one-game winning streak with an overall balanced record whereas Stetson is slightly under .500 and on a two-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI is off to a relatively balanced start (3-3), showing competitiveness with solid offensive outputs in wins, including a 106-77 win and a previously dominant victory over Stetson in 2019. Stetson has struggled more recently, standing at 2-3 overall and suffering consecutive losses before this matchup. VMI's away record is strong (2-0), whereas Stetson plays at home but with weaker recent form.
• The two teams last met on December 7, 2019, when VMI defeated Stetson 88-61. There have been no recorded meetings since then, meaning limited recent direct comparison but historical edge to VMI.
• No specific injury information is available for either team from the current data, indicating likely full rosters or lack of notable absences.
• The game is played at Stetson's home stadium in DeLand, Florida, which can provide a home-court advantage. However, VMI’s undefeated away record this season suggests they handle travel well. The match airs on ESPN+ with betting lines suggesting market confidence in VMI.
• VMI looks to build on their moderate early-season form and maintain their undefeated away streak, while Stetson aims to break a losing skid and defend home court. VMI may have slight psychological advantage given dominance in the last meeting.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

VMI Keydets are favored to win this game by about 2.5 points, reflecting better all-around team performance and head-to-head history. The total points are expected to be close to the over/under line of 150.5, with moderate scoring expected from both sides.

Predicted Score: VMI Keydets 78 – Stetson Hatters 74

Match Analysis: Richmond Spiders vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 19, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Robins Center, Richmond, VA

Game Overview

The Richmond Spiders (3-0) host the VMI Keydets (3-2) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. Richmond enters as heavy favorites with a perfect record, while VMI comes off a narrow 69-67 road loss to Jacksonville. This matchup features a significant talent and experience gap, with Richmond dominating the recent head-to-head series and the Spiders controlling most statistical categories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Richmond has started the season undefeated at 3-0 with strong offensive efficiency (42.9% FG, 87.0 PPG) and solid defensive fundamentals (44.3 RPG, 77.9% FT). VMI (3-2) shows inconsistent performance, averaging 88.2 PPG with mixed defensive metrics (allowing 72.2 PPG). The Keydets shot efficiently against Jacksonville (45% FG, 38% 3P, 82% FT) but lack offensive consistency. VMI's recent loss was particularly close despite a 2-point halftime deficit, indicating competitive potential in tight contests.
• Richmond has dominated the recent series, winning the last three consecutive matchups including a 78-71 victory in their most recent meeting. Richmond has won eight of its last nine games against the Southern Conference and has won the first half in eight of its last nine Southern Conference matchups. This historical dominance strongly favors the home team.
• No specific injuries are reported in the available data. Both teams appear to have full rosters available for this contest.
• Richmond plays at home at the Robins Center, providing a significant home-court advantage. VMI is on the road with a 1-1 record away from home this season. Richmond's recent totals have gone OVER in 2 of their last 2 games at home, suggesting potential offensive firepower despite the under prediction.
• Richmond seeks to maintain an undefeated record and continue dominance in non-conference play. VMI will attempt to bounce back from a demoralizing one-point loss and demonstrate competitiveness against a superior opponent. VMI has historically won four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents, though Richmond's defensive quality presents a different challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Richmond Spiders victory is highly likely based on superior overall metrics, perfect record, home-court advantage, and dominant recent head-to-head performance. The Spiders' balanced offense and defensive discipline should prove too much for the inconsistent Keydets. Expect Richmond to control the game, particularly in the first half where they excel historically. The final margin should exceed the 12.5-point spread due to Richmond's dominance and VMI's recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Richmond Spiders 79, VMI Keydets 64

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Match Analysis: VMI Keydets vs Jacksonville Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cameron Hall, Lexington, Virginia

Game Overview

VMI Keydets (3-1) host Jacksonville Dolphins (1-2) in a non-conference matchup on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The game is part of the ASUN/SoCon Challenge and will be broadcast on ESPN+. Both teams are coming off mixed results, with VMI showing a strong start to the season and Jacksonville struggling to find consistency. The matchup features two mid-major programs with similar offensive and defensive profiles, making it a tightly contested game with betting lines reflecting a close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI ranks 194th in college basketball offensively (73.3 PPG) and 211th defensively (73.1 PPG allowed). Jacksonville is 228th in scoring (72.1 PPG) and 160th in defense (71.5 PPG allowed). Both teams are below average in field goal percentage (VMI 42.6%, Jacksonville 44.2%) and turnover management (VMI 11.3, Jacksonville 12.6). VMI has a slight edge in home record (2-0) and overall performance, while Jacksonville has struggled away from home (0-2).
• Recent head-to-head matchups show VMI has dominated, winning the last three meetings. Most recently, VMI beat Jacksonville by 10 points (73-62) in March 2025. VMI has covered the spread in all three of those games, and the total has gone under in two of the last three matchups.
• Jacksonville is missing key guard Bradley Jr. (undisclosed injury), which could impact their backcourt depth and scoring. VMI has no reported injuries.
• The game is being played at Cameron Hall, VMI's home court, which is known for its loud and supportive atmosphere. Jacksonville is 0-2 on the road this season, while VMI is 2-0 at home. The weather is not a factor for indoor basketball.
• VMI is looking to maintain its strong start and build momentum for conference play. Jacksonville is seeking its first road win and a boost in confidence after a tough start to the season. Both teams are motivated to prove themselves in a non-conference matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

VMI is favored to win this game, but the matchup is expected to be close. Jacksonville's injury to Bradley Jr. and their struggles on the road are significant factors. The game is likely to be low-scoring, with both teams struggling to generate consistent offense. VMI's home advantage and recent dominance over Jacksonville give them the edge, but Jacksonville could keep it close if they can limit turnovers and capitalize on VMI's defensive weaknesses.

Predicted Score: VMI 72, Jacksonville 70

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

This is a non-conference regular season matchup between the Missouri Tigers and the VMI Keydets, scheduled for November 9, 2025, at Mizzou Arena. Missouri is a Power 5 program with a strong home-court advantage, while VMI is a mid-major team from the Southern Conference. The game is expected to be a significant mismatch in terms of talent, depth, and resources, with Missouri heavily favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri is projected to be a strong team in the SEC, with a roster featuring experienced players and high-level recruits. VMI, on the other hand, is a smaller program with limited resources and a less competitive schedule. Missouri's recent performance and roster strength suggest a dominant showing, while VMI is likely to struggle against a higher-caliber opponent.
• Missouri and VMI have not played each other recently, and there is no significant historical rivalry or head-to-head data to suggest a competitive matchup. Missouri's superior talent and home-court advantage make them the clear favorite.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their full rosters.
• The game is being played at Mizzou Arena, a venue known for its strong home-court advantage. The crowd support and familiar environment will benefit Missouri. VMI will be traveling a significant distance, which could impact their performance.
• Missouri will be motivated to start the season strong and build momentum for their conference schedule. VMI will be looking to compete and gain experience against a Power 5 opponent, but the motivation gap is significant.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Missouri is expected to win this game decisively, with a high probability of covering the spread and the game going over the total points line. The Tigers' superior talent, depth, and home-court advantage make them the overwhelming favorite.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 85, VMI Keydets 60

Match Analysis: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles Home Court

Game Overview

The Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles host the VMI Keydets in an early-season NCAAB matchup. Both teams are coming off contrasting results in their previous outings, with VMI securing a dominant win at home while Southern Indiana suffered a heavy road loss. There is no prior head-to-head history between these programs, making this a fresh matchup with no established rivalry or psychological edge. The game is expected to be closely contested, with the betting market reflecting a slight edge to VMI.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI Keydets opened their season with a commanding 122-58 victory over Johnson and Wales (RI) Wildcats, showcasing strong offensive output and defensive dominance. Their scoring average is 122 points per game, while allowing just 58. Southern Indiana, on the other hand, lost their opener 88-58 to Butler Bulldogs, struggling both offensively and defensively. Their scoring average is 58 points per game, while allowing 88. The disparity in recent performance favors VMI, but both teams are facing new competition and may adjust their strategies accordingly.
• There is no head-to-head history between Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and VMI Keydets. Both teams have 0 wins and 0 losses against each other, making this a completely new matchup with no established trends or psychological advantages.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest available information. Both squads are expected to field their full rosters for this contest.
• The game is being played at Southern Indiana's home court, which could provide a slight advantage in terms of crowd support and familiarity with the environment. However, given the lack of head-to-head history and the early stage of the season, the impact of home court may be less pronounced than in more established matchups.
• VMI will be looking to build on their strong opening win and establish momentum early in the season. Southern Indiana will be motivated to bounce back from their disappointing loss and prove their capabilities against a quality opponent. Both teams have something to prove, but VMI's recent success may give them a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performance, VMI appears to have the edge in this matchup. Their dominant win in their previous game and superior scoring and defensive numbers suggest they are better prepared for this contest. Southern Indiana's struggles in their opener raise concerns about their ability to compete at this level. However, the lack of head-to-head history and the early stage of the season introduce some uncertainty. The game is expected to be close, but VMI is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 72 – 78 VMI Keydets

Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD

Game Overview

The 2025 season opener features the Navy Midshipmen hosting the VMI Keydets at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Navy had a strong 2024 season with a 10-3 record, showing consistent competitiveness in the American Athletic Conference. VMI arrives after a difficult 2024 campaign with a 1-11 record, hampered by significant injuries. Navy is favored heavily, reflecting their successful recent performance and VMI's struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy finished 10-3 in 2024 with a 6-2 conference record, demonstrating a strong offense and defense. VMI ended 1-11, with key injuries impacting their quarterback and other starters early in the previous season. Despite their poor record, VMI kept several games close until late in the fourth quarter.
• This is the first meeting in over a decade between Navy and VMI. Thus, there is no recent head-to-head history to analyze.
• VMI is recovering from significant injuries in the 2024 season affecting key players including their quarterback Collin Shannon and special teams Long Snapper Nathan Payne. No current specific injury updates for either team were found for 2025.
• Navy has home field advantage playing in Annapolis, with robust fan support. Game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network, giving national exposure. Weather or other environmental factors for the game day are not indicated.
• Navy aims to start the season strong building on last year’s success, while VMI seeks redemption from a dismal previous season and to prove progress under their program. Opening the season on the road against a strong opponent poses a motivational challenge for VMI.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Navy Midshipmen are heavily favored to win decisively due to their superior recent performance, home advantage, and VMI’s significant injury and performance setbacks from last year.

Predicted Score: Navy Midshipmen 42 – VMI Keydets 10

Match Analysis: VMI Keydets vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-17
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lamore Field at Gray-Minor Stadium, Lexington, VA

Game Overview

The VMI Keydets will host the Samford Bulldogs in a pivotal NCAA baseball SoCon conference matchup. Both teams are preparing to leverage their recent form and home advantage to secure an important win as they push toward the postseason conference championship.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI has shown strong offensive consistency with multiple recent dominant wins, including high-scoring games and shutouts early in the season, often playing well at home. Samford has also displayed resilience, including a recent series win and competitive play, but their close 4-3 loss indicates vulnerability in late innings.
• The upcoming game is part of a series hosted by VMI with games on April 17-19. Recent head-to-head specifics are limited, but the home setting favors VMI, historically strong at Lamore Field with positive momentum.
• No specific updated injury reports are available for either team ahead of this game, suggesting both squads are likely at near full strength.
• The game will be played outdoors in Lexington, VA, at Lamore Field at Gray-Minor Stadium. Weather and field conditions are expected to be typical for mid-April with no reported disruptions. The home crowd support for VMI could provide an additional boost.
• Both teams are highly motivated to win for conference positioning. VMI is playing at home in front of their supporters, aiming to capitalize on home field advantage. Samford aims to assert dominance on the road to boost their standing and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given VMI's strong recent home performance and offensive firepower combined with the odds favoring Samford slightly, the game will be competitive. However, VMI's home advantage and recent form suggest a narrow victory. Expect a moderately high-scoring game with VMI edging out Samford.

Predicted Score: VMI Keydets 5 – Samford Bulldogs 4