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Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras, playing at home in Allianz Parque, face Vasco da Gama in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras are favored heavily due to superior recent form, home advantage, and a strong historical record against Vasco.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras show strong home form and consistent scoring, with over 61% of their matches having more than 1.5 goals. Vasco da Gama struggle away with lower offensive output and poor form.
  • In the last 10 encounters, Palmeiras won 7 times, Vasco has never won, and 3 matches ended in draws, showing clear dominance by Palmeiras.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for Palmeiras, while Vasco has minor squad uncertainties but no key absences detailed.
  • Home crowd at Allianz Parque expected to boost Palmeiras. No adverse external conditions reported. Palmeiras fined by CONMEBOL recently but no impact on matchday.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain strong league standing and leverage home advantage; Vasco coached by Fernando Diniz, aiming to improve but under consistent pressure with modest recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -260, Vasco da Gama: 765, Draw: 373 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25: -111, Vasco da Gama +1.25: -109 Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 2.5: -111, Under 2.5: -109 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline; Palmeiras to cover -1.25 on the spread; match to go over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Palmeiras Win -260 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Santos vs. Grêmio Prediction Santos Win 104 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)
Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense Win 153 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +615

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $142.93

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Vasco da Gama vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Cruzeiro currently sits 2nd in the Brazil Campeonato, showing strong form and an unbeaten record in recent meetings against Vasco da Gama. Vasco da Gama, positioned 16th, have shown resilience with a mix of draws and wins but tend to concede more goals. Both teams have relatively stable attacking output, each scoring around 1-1.2 goals per match recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro won 3, drew 1, lost 1 in their last 5 matches with average goals scored/conceded around 1.2. Vasco da Gama won 3, drew 2 and remain unbeaten in last 5 but with lower scoring and defense conceding often.
  • Cruzeiro has a superior H2H record with 12 wins to Vasco's 6 in recent meetings, and has not lost in the last 6 encounters (3 wins, 3 draws).
  • Vasco da Gama are missing multiple key players including Adson, Tche Tche, Jair, which weakens their midfield and defense. Cruzeiro has suspensions for Gabriel Barbosa and Lucas Villalba and some injuries which affect squad depth but less drastic.
  • Match at Vasco's home ground may give them slight crowd advantage but Cruzeiro's better league position and moral edge offset it.
  • Cruzeiro fights for top league honors and closer promotion ambitions, Vasco concentrates on avoiding relegation, which may pressure Vasco more defensively and favor Cruzeiro's proactive style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 151, Vasco_da_Gama: 189, Draw: 225 Cruzeiro ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Cruzeiro: -124, Vasco_da_Gama: -106 Cruzeiro -0 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: -112, Under: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cruzeiro at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Vasco da Gama vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

This Brazilian Serie A fixture features home side Vasco da Gama facing Bahia in a crucial mid-table battle. Vasco da Gama currently hold a slight advantage in recent form and league position, while Bahia have struggled away from home and have a negative goal differential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama are 15th in the league with 23 points from 22 games, showing a mixed form (D-W-L-L-W-D). Bahia sit higher at 6th with 25 points, but their away form is weaker, having won fewer games and scored fewer goals on the road.
  • Past encounters show a competitive setup, but Vasco da Gama have slightly edged Bahia at home. Historical data suggests a tendency towards low-scoring matches with tight margins.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly affect starting lineups or tactical setups, maintaining balanced squads for this contest.
  • Playing at home in Estádio São Januário gives Vasco a familiar environment and fan support advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal without external disruptions.
  • Vasco da Gama, currently nearer the relegation zone, have stronger motivation to secure points at home to improve their survival prospects. Bahia, comfortable mid-table, may be slightly less urgent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: +126, Bahia: +215, Draw: +225 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vasco da Gama -0.25: -105, Bahia +25: -115 Vasco da Gama -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline – Vasco da Gama to win; Spread – Vasco da Gama -0.25; Over/Under – Under 2.5 Goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Flamengo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Flamengo, currently 1st in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, hosts Vasco da Gama, ranked 15th. Flamengo has a strong historical record and better recent form, with a home advantage at Maracanã.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo won 3, lost 2 in last 5; averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Vasco won 1, drew 2, lost 2; averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
  • In 82 matches since 2004, Flamengo holds the edge with 36 wins to Vasco's 18, and 28 draws. Recent H2H shows Flamengo with 3 wins and 3 draws in last 6 meetings, no Vasco wins.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI availability or key players.
  • Game at Maracanã benefits Flamengo with home crowd support. No adverse external conditions currently impacting the match.
  • Flamengo motivated to maintain top spot and home dominance; Vasco under pressure near relegation zone aiming for points to improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline flamengo: -280, vasco_da_gama: 750, draw: 375 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread flamengo_-1.25: -122, vasco_+1.25: 102 Flamengo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5: -120, under_2.5: 100 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 21, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake Prediction Los Angeles FC Win -212 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Flamengo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Flamengo Win -280 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Borussia Dortmund vs. VfL Wolfsburg Prediction Borussia Dortmund Win -196 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +202

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $60.33

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Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

Brazil Campeonato Serie A clash between Vasco da Gama (home) and Ceará. Vasco da Gama is slightly favored with home advantage but sitting 15th place with poor recent form, while Ceará holds 10th position with slightly better form and motivation to climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has a record of 4W-1D-8L with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. Ceará stands at 5W-3D-5L, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Recent runs show both teams somewhat inconsistent, but Ceará demonstrates slightly better defensive stability and more points in last five games (18 vs 13 points overall).
  • Seven meetings: balanced history with 2 wins each and 3 draws. Recent matches show close contests, suggesting no distinct dominance.
  • No specific injury report found, so assume typical squad availability for both teams.
  • Home advantage for Vasco da Gama at Estádio São Januário, but they have underperformed at home this season. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Ceará, sitting higher in the table, appear more motivated to maintain or improve standing. Vasco da Gama needs points but recent inconsistency may affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: -111, Draw: 225, Ceará: 330 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vasco da Gama -0.5: -110, Ceará +50: -110 Vasco da Gama -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vasco da Gama win; Spread: Vasco da Gama -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Rennes vs. Lyon Prediction Lyon 151 33%
Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 108 25%
Sao Paulo vs. Botafogo Prediction Sao Paulo 123 23%

Combined Odds: +1064 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.85

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Sport Recife vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

A Campeonato Brasileiro clash where Sport Recife hosts Vasco da Gama. Vasco has a stronger recent head-to-head record but will play away. Both teams show balanced form with slight edge to Vasco historically, though Sport Recife has home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has won 6 of the last 10 encounters versus Sport Recife's 1, with 3 draws. Recent form of both teams in the season is fairly even, but Vasco have demonstrated better consistency on the road.
  • In last 10 meetings, Vasco won 6, Sport Recife won 1, draws 3. Matches tend to be competitive but with Vasco edging out.
  • No significant reported injuries impacting key players for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength starting lineups.
  • Playing at home gives Sport Recife advantage in crowd support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for season, no abnormalities.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points as mid-table positioning is competitive. Vasco may have slightly higher motivation historically due to better recent results and desire to maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 130 Sport Recife ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread 100 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sport Recife win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vasco da Gama vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: São Januário Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama hosts Corinthians in a key Brazil Campeonato encounter. Historically, Corinthians dominate the head-to-head record, but Vasco show decent home form. Both sides have mixed recent results shaping a tight matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have stronger recent form and higher league standing; Vasco da Gama have been inconsistent but leverage home advantage.
  • In last 10 matches, Corinthians have 7 wins, Vasco 1, 2 draws. Games average around 2+ goals but over 2.5 goals occurred in only 50% of meetings.
  • No major injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • Match played at Vasco's home ground Rio de Janeiro; potential weather and pitch conditions neutral without significant impact.
  • Corinthians appear more motivated chasing higher league standings; Vasco motivated to defend home turf and improve position in mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +148, away: +213, draw: +205 Corinthians ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Vasco da Gama -0.25: +110, Corinthians +25: -130 Corinthians +0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over 2 goals: -111, under 2 goals: -109 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 41%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Corinthians to win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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