Match Analysis: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Série A match between Bahia and Vasco da Gama at Bahia's home ground, Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia currently ranks higher in the league and has shown stronger recent performance compared to Vasco da Gama.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and ranks 7th in the league standings, showing consistent attacking strength and chance creation, led by Éverton Ribeiro. Vasco da Gama has scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, holding a lower league position (12th) with some defensive vulnerabilities, having failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 consecutive games.
• Historically, the head-to-head is competitive with Bahia leading slightly: Bahia has won around 9-11 games, Vasco da Gama 7-10, and 5-6 draws out of the last 21 matches. Matches tend to be close but Bahia has a minor advantage overall.
• No specific injury data provided in the sources for either side, indicating an expected full or near-full squad availability for both teams.
• Bahia plays at home with fan support at Arena Fonte Nova, which historically benefits them. There are no unusual external conditions reported that could significantly affect match dynamics.
• Bahia is motivated to secure points to strengthen their top-half position, while Vasco da Gama aims to improve their league standing from 12th place, making this a vital match for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win based on home advantage, better current form, and a positive head-to-head record. The match is expected to be competitive but with a slight edge to Bahia to secure all three points.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 20, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Vasco da Gama in a Brasileirão Série A match on November 20, 2025. Grêmio currently sits in 14th place while Vasco da Gama occupies 10th position in the standings. This matchup represents a mid-table clash with significant implications for both teams' playoff positioning. The teams have already met once this season, and this encounter will be the second of their campaign series.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grêmio shows mixed recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, maintaining an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.4 goals per match. Their home advantage at Arena do Grêmio provides a tactical advantage. Vasco da Gama has demonstrated inconsistency, winning 2 of their last 5 matches with a concerning defensive record of 1.8 goals conceded per match against 1.2 goals scored. Vasco's away form has been problematic with only 5 away victories in Serie A this season, indicating vulnerability on the road.
• The historical record between these clubs favors Grêmio significantly. In 19 recent meetings, Grêmio has won 11 times compared to Vasco da Gama's 4 victories, with 4 draws. Over a longer 33-match sample since 2004, Grêmio has won 15 games (1.4 PPG) versus Vasco da Gama's 10 wins (1.1 PPG) with 8-9 draws. Their most recent encounter on July 19, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. The previous match on July 28, 2024, saw Grêmio secure a 1-0 victory, and before that on April 14, 2024, Grêmio won 2-1.
• The search results do not provide specific information regarding current injuries to key players on either squad. Injury data would require access to official team reports or medical updates closer to match day.
• The match is part of the Brasileirão Betano, taking place at Grêmio's home stadium which typically provides a 3-5% performance advantage. The early morning UTC kickoff time (00:30) reflects the South American time zone but does not present unusual scheduling challenges for either team.
• Grêmio seeks to improve from their 14th-place position and capitalize on home-field advantage to climb the standings. Vasco da Gama, positioned in 10th place, requires points to secure playoff qualification and must overcome their poor away record. The head-to-head dominance by Grêmio may create psychological pressure on Vasco, while Grêmio will be motivated by the historical advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio is favored to secure a positive result at home. Their superior recent form, home-field advantage, dominant head-to-head record (11 wins in 19 meetings), and Vasco da Gama's weak away performance create conditions favorable for a Grêmio victory or draw. However, Vasco da Gama's desperation for points and recent improvements cannot be dismissed entirely. The most probable outcomes are a Grêmio win (approximately 45-50% probability) or a draw (approximately 30-35% probability), with a Vasco da Gama away victory less likely (approximately 15-20% probability).

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1-0 Vasco da Gama (Most Likely) | Secondary: Grêmio 1-1 Vasco da Gama (Draw) | Tertiary: Grêmio 2-1 Vasco da Gama

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

The match between Vasco da Gama and Juventude is a key fixture in the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, with Vasco da Gama playing at home. Vasco has shown a stronger home form with recent wins and a higher goal-scoring average, while Juventude has struggled on the road but managed a 2-0 win over Vasco earlier in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama have a stronger home record with 44% win rate at São Januário, scoring an average of 1.56 goals per game at home, conceding 1.25. Overall, Vasco’s recent form includes 3 wins in the last 5 home matches. Juventude has a lower win percentage away from home (33%) and average goals scored is around 1.6 but tends to concede more (1.53). Vasco's expected goals (xG) at home stand at 1.61 compared to an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.4, indicating a slight offensive advantage.
• Earlier in the 2025 season, Juventude defeated Vasco da Gama 2-0 at home (August 20, 2025). Historically, Vasco tends to have the upper hand at home but Juventude’s recent victory adds a competitive edge to this encounter.
• No specific injury updates were found for either Vasco da Gama or Juventude close to the match date. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups based on available squad lists and recent formations.
• Playing at São Januário gives Vasco a home advantage, with familiar conditions and crowd support. There is no indication of adverse weather or logistical factors impacting the match.
• Vasco da Gama’s motivation is higher given their better recent form and desire to improve position in the league table, while Juventude might be motivated to defend their previous win and secure points away from home late in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Vasco da Gama is favored to win due to the home advantage, recent form, and statistical performance metrics. A closely contested match is expected but Vasco’s probability of taking the victory is notably higher.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-05
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Vasco da Gama in a high-stakes Brasileirão Betano clash, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings. Botafogo currently sits 6th, while Vasco da Gama is in 9th, making this a pivotal match for their respective campaigns. The rivalry is historic, with both clubs boasting passionate fanbases and a competitive head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Botafogo has shown mixed form, with 3 wins, 3 losses, and 4 draws in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals per game. Vasco da Gama has been in good form, securing back-to-back away victories and showing strong attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 games. Vasco also boasts a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.4 goals per match in their recent outings.
• The historical head-to-head record is closely contested. In the last 30 meetings, Botafogo has won 13 times, Vasco da Gama 9 times, and 8 draws. In the last 5 encounters, Botafogo has won 3, while Vasco has won 2. The most recent H2H match ended in a penalty shootout victory for Vasco. Overall, Botafogo has a slight edge in recent form and home advantage.
• No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups, with Botafogo likely to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation and Vasco da Gama opting for a similar setup.
• The match will be played at Estádio Nilton Santos, Botafogo's home ground, which provides a significant advantage due to familiar conditions and strong home support. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no adverse impact anticipated.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win. Botafogo aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table, while Vasco da Gama seeks to close the gap on the top six. The rivalry adds extra intensity, with both clubs eager to claim bragging rights.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

This match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams capable of scoring. Botafogo's home advantage and recent form give them a slight edge, but Vasco da Gama's attacking prowess and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent. A narrow home win or a draw is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

The match is a Brazilian Campeonato Série A clash between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo, held at Vasco's home ground, São Januário. Vasco is in strong form, having won their last four league matches and is currently eighth in the league, pushing for a Libertadores spot. São Paulo comes as the visiting team with a recent history of losses against Vasco. The stakes are high for both teams aiming to improve their league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama is on a four-match winning streak in the Brasileiro, showing solid offensive and defensive stats, with top scorers Rayan (11 goals) and Pablo Vegetti (14 goals) leading the charge. São Paulo has struggled against Vasco recently, losing 3-1 in their last encounter and with comparatively weaker momentum.
• Recent head-to-head matches favor Vasco da Gama, with a notable 3-1 home victory over São Paulo in June 2025. Vasco tend to perform well at home, backed by strong fan support.
• No specific injury information is available from the current data, indicating no critical absences reported for either side at the moment.
• Tickets for the match at São Januário have sold out, indicating a full-capacity crowd supporting Vasco, enhancing home advantage. The match is played at Vasco's home venue, further boosting their confidence and morale.
• Vasco da Gama is motivated by their surge in form and the pursuit of a Libertadores qualification spot, while São Paulo aims to reverse recent poor results and improve league placement.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given Vasco da Gama’s strong recent performance, home advantage, and favorable head-to-head record, they are predicted to win this match.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-26
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Red Bull Bragantino, currently 10th in the Brasileirão Serie A with 36 points after 29 rounds, hosts Vasco da Gama, ranked 8th with 39 points. The match is part of the 30th round and will take place on October 26, 2025, at 21:30 UTC. Bragantino aims to continue their mid-table form while Vasco looks to maintain a higher league position in a closely matched fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino has had a stable season, maintaining a mid-table position with 36 points. Vasco has slightly outperformed them, sitting in 8th place with 39 points. Both teams have shown competitiveness, with Bragantino winning the last meeting 2-0 on May 31, 2025.
• The teams played once this season so far, with Red Bull Bragantino winning 2-0 at Vasco's home in May 2025. Historically, recent matches have been balanced with Bragantino holding a slight advantage in the current season.
• Bragantino is missing defenders Eduardo (ankle injury), Guzmán Rodríguez (ACL tear), and forward Vinicinho (ankle sprain). Isidro Pitta is still in transition from injury but may feature. Lucas Barbosa returns from suspension to strengthen the squad. Vasco's injury status is not detailed but no major absences reported.
• The match venue is Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, giving Bragantino home advantage. The teams face each other amid a competitive league phase. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but expected normal for late October in Brazil.
• Both teams are motivated to gain points for improved standings. Vasco aims to climb higher from 8th place, while Bragantino wants to consolidate their mid-table position and avenge their previous loss at home. The match has significance for potential continental qualification spots.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino is favoured to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent head-to-head success, though Vasco's higher league position suggests a close contest with a moderate chance of a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-20
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense features two Rio de Janeiro giants with a close rivalry and recent competitive matchups. Vasco da Gama currently ranks 9th in the league with 36 points, while Fluminense holds 7th with 41 points, indicating a tight contest with both teams capable of winning. This match carries significance for positioning in the mid-table, with both sides motivated to secure crucial points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama has shown a mixed recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches, scoring and conceding goals regularly (1.0 goals per match scored and 1.8 conceded). Fluminense has been slightly inconsistent, with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last five but with a solid defense allowing 1.6 goals per match on average and a tendency to grind out 1.0 or fewer goals per game in recent fixtures.
• The head-to-head record is relatively balanced: Vasco da Gama has the edge overall with 24 wins to Fluminense's 16 in 66 meetings since 2004, including recent matches in 2025 where Fluminense won 2-1 and Vasco lost 1-2. Current season encounters are close, with Vasco having 13 wins, Fluminense 10, and 8 draws historically. Recent encounters have seen tight scorelines.
• Specific live injury data for this match is not provided by the sources; no major injury information is available that would materially affect either squad for the match.
• The match will be played at Vasco da Gama's home stadium, Estádio São Januário, providing the home side with familiar conditions and support. Weather or other external impacts are not detailed but should be monitored as game day approaches.
• Both teams are mid-table but motivated to climb the standings. Fluminense, positioned higher, will look to consolidate a stronger league position, while Vasco da Gama aims to close the gap and push for a top-half finish. Past rivalry intensity also elevates motivation levels for both.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Considering recent form, home advantage, and balanced head-to-head records, a narrow win for Vasco da Gama appears most likely, but a draw is a close possibility given Fluminense's resilience.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-16
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Fortaleza hosting Vasco da Gama. Fortaleza are currently struggling, sitting 18th in the league, while Vasco da Gama are mid-table at 11th. Historically, the head-to-head record between these two teams is fairly even, with a slight edge in recent matches for Vasco da Gama. Both teams have been inconsistent in form with Fortaleza showing defensive solidity but offensive difficulties, and Vasco da Gama having a somewhat leaky defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fortaleza has secured 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses this season, scoring 10 goals and conceding 10. They have been defensively solid in recent games, conceding very few goals, but struggle with finishing chances. Vasco da Gama has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, scoring 11 goals but conceding 13. Recent form favors Vasco with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, whereas Fortaleza has been less consistent with draws and losses dominating.
• The teams have played 16 matches since 2005; Vasco da Gama won 5, Fortaleza 4, and they drew 7. In recent matches, Vasco won 3, drew 1, and lost 1 against Fortaleza. Historically, matches tend to be low to medium scoring, with 66.7% Asian Handicap win rate for Vasco and 40% Over goals rate.
• No specific injury reports were available from the sources, indicating no major absences that could significantly impact the match dynamics.
• The match is played at Fortaleza's home ground, which might give them an advantage in terms of familiarity and fan support. No weather or special external conditions were reported affecting the game.
• Fortaleza, positioned near relegation zone (18th), has high motivation to gain points to improve their standing. Vasco da Gama, sitting comfortably mid-table (11th), may approach the match with less pressure but will aim to consolidate their position and improve away results.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

A very tight contest is expected given the teams' similar form and history. The match is likely to be cautious with defensive discipline emphasized. A narrow home advantage suggests a draw or a very slight edge to Fortaleza.

Predicted Score: 1-0

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