Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 20, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Brasileirão Série A matchday 34 encounter between Grêmio (home) and Vasco da Gama (away). Both teams are competing in Brazil's top division with different trajectories this season. Grêmio enters as slight favorites in the home advantage scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grêmio averages 2.0 goals when playing at home and concedes 0.8 goals per match at the Arena do Grêmio, indicating a strong defensive setup. Vasco da Gama, when playing away, averages 1.8 goals scored but concedes 1.6 goals per match, suggesting vulnerability on the road. This differential favors the home side significantly.
• Historical context between these clubs typically favors matches with moderate goal totals. Recent form suggests competitive encounters with neither team achieving consistent dominance over the other.
• No specific injury information available in current data. Both teams appear to have available squads for this fixture.
• Home advantage at Arena do Grêmio is a significant factor. The 20:30 local kickoff time (evening fixture) is standard for Brazilian football and neither team should be disadvantaged.
• Both clubs competing for league position in matchday 34 suggests motivation levels are high for securing points in the remainder of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to Win with Under 2.5 Total Goals. The combination of Grêmio's strong home defense (0.8 GA average) and Vasco's away struggles (1.6 GA average away) creates an environment where low-scoring outcomes are favored. The asymmetry in scoring patterns—Vasco averages only 1.8 goals away while Grêmio's home goal differential is +1.2—suggests a controlled match favoring the home side with limited offensive output.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1-0 Vasco da Gama

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama hosts Juventude in a Brazilian Serie A clash where Vasco shows a clear home advantage, recently performing better with more wins and scoring consistency, while Juventude struggles on the road with poor form and goal-scoring issues. This sets a stage favoring a Vasco victory with a likely low-margin game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama has won 50% of their last 10 home matches, scoring in every match, whereas Juventude only won 20% of their last 10 away fixtures with a poor scoring record and higher loss rate.
• Historically, Vasco da Gama and Juventude are fairly evenly matched, but recent meetings suggest draws or narrow victories; earlier season matches ended 2-0 for Juventude at home and 1-1 at Vasco's venue.
• No significant injury concerns reported for either side that would dramatically affect starting lineups or tactics.
• No adverse weather or travel complications reported; Vasco benefits from playing at their home stadium with fan support.
• Both teams fight for crucial points in mid-to-lower table positions, but Vasco da Gama’s slightly better recent form gives stronger motivation to capitalize at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vasco da Gama to win

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-05
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Vasco da Gama in a high-stakes Campeonato Brasileiro clash. Both teams are in mid-table form, but Botafogo holds a slight edge in recent H2H and overall attacking output. Vasco has shown resilience away from home, but Botafogo’s home advantage and superior recent results make them favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

• Botafogo has won 3 of their last 5, averaging 1.0 goals and conceding 0.6 per match. Vasco has won 2 of their last 5, averaging 1.4 goals and conceding 1.4 per match. Botafogo’s defense is more solid, while Vasco’s attack is slightly more potent but less consistent.
• Botafogo leads the all-time H2H with 26-25 wins and 20 draws in 71 meetings. In the last 5, Botafogo has won 3, Vasco 2. The most recent H2H was a Vasco win via penalty, but Botafogo has dominated the last few league meetings.
• No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
• The match is at Botafogo’s home stadium, which provides a significant advantage. Weather is expected to be clear, with no impact on play.
• Both teams are fighting for mid-table safety, but Botafogo has a slight edge in motivation as they look to secure a top-half finish. Vasco is playing for pride and to avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win and cover the -0.5 spread. The home advantage, superior defense, and recent form make Botafogo the clear favorite. The odds on Botafogo at -114 offer value given their probability of winning.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama hosts São Paulo in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A clash. Vasco is in strong home form, while São Paulo has struggled away and is inconsistent overall. The match is expected to be tight, with both teams having motivation to secure points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama has won 6, lost 1, and drawn 3 in their last 10 matches, with a strong home record (7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses in 15 home games). São Paulo has won 3, lost 7, and drawn 0 in their last 10, with poor away form (only 3 wins in 10 away matches). Vasco averages 3.1 goals per game at home, while São Paulo averages 2.0 goals per game overall.
• In the last 10 meetings, São Paulo has won 5, Vasco 3, and 2 ended in draws. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 80% of these matches, and over 2.5 goals in 50%. São Paulo has kept a clean sheet in 40% of these games, Vasco in 20%.
• No major injuries reported for either team.
• Vasco da Gama is playing at home, where they have a strong record. The match is being played at Estádio São Januário, which is known for its passionate atmosphere. São Paulo is traveling from São Paulo to Rio de Janeiro, which could have a minor impact on their performance.
• Vasco da Gama is fighting to secure a top-half finish and is motivated to win at home. São Paulo is in a mid-table position and may be less motivated, but they will want to avoid a loss to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Vasco da Gama is the clear favorite to win this match, given their strong home form and São Paulo's poor away record. The match is expected to be tight, but Vasco's home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-26
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Vasco da Gama in a key Brasileirão match, with both teams seeking vital points in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino and Vasco da Gama have shown mixed form recently, with both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable defensively.
• Historically, their matches have seen a high number of goals, with both teams often finding the back of the net.
• No significant injury updates are available that would drastically affect the outcome.
• Home advantage could slightly favor Bragantino, but both teams are well-motivated.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for league positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical data and recent form, both teams are likely to score, but the safer bet seems to be favoring a high-scoring match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Bragantino-SP

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-20
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Vasco da Gama hosting Fluminense in a tightly contested Brasileirão fixture. Vasco shows stronger home form and a potent attacking style, while Fluminense has a solid defensive record and consistent away performances. The encounter historically is balanced with many draws and close scorelines.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vasco da Gama have a home win rate of 43% with recent results including 4 wins in their last 10 matches; they average 1.64 goals scored at home with defensive vulnerability conceding 1.29 goals. Fluminense have a better away record with 6 wins out of 10; defensively solid and known for tactical discipline.
• In the last 63 matches, Vasco da Gama and Fluminense share a near-equal head-to-head record with Vasco slightly ahead in wins (24-15) and goals (76-69), but Vasco's last away win at Fluminense was in 2018, reflecting Fluminense's home strength.
• No explicit major injury information currently available; both teams expected near full strength.
• Match at Vasco's home ground São Januário provides home advantage; local climate and fan support favor Vasco. Both clubs have high motivation to secure points in the tight Brasileirão standings.
• Vasco da Gama needs a home victory to improve their mid-table position and bolster confidence. Fluminense is motivated to maintain their strong away form and press for top table contention, making this a competitive matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vasco da Gama to win

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-16
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Fortaleza Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brazilian Serie A clash features struggling Fortaleza hosting mid-table Vasco da Gama. Fortaleza are positioned 18th with poor recent form and a significantly negative goal difference, versus Vasco's 11th place and slightly positive goal difference. Both teams have had mixed results, but Vasco is marginally stronger on form and head-to-head.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fortaleza has 6 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with a -15 goal difference. Vasco has 9 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses with a +1 goal difference. Recent form favors Vasco with a 3-0 away win over Fortaleza in their last encounter.
• The last meeting ended 3-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama at home, showing Vasco’s dominance and psychological edge in recent direct encounters.
• No major injuries reported for either side currently, with squads mostly fit to play.
• Home advantage for Fortaleza provides some boost but their home form has been inconsistent. No extreme weather or other external factors expected that would heavily shift dynamics.
• Vasco is motivated to further solidify mid-table security, while Fortaleza is under pressure to escape the relegation zone, adding urgency but also potential pressure-induced errors.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Fortaleza win

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras, playing at home in Allianz Parque, face Vasco da Gama in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras are favored heavily due to superior recent form, home advantage, and a strong historical record against Vasco.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras show strong home form and consistent scoring, with over 61% of their matches having more than 1.5 goals. Vasco da Gama struggle away with lower offensive output and poor form.
• In the last 10 encounters, Palmeiras won 7 times, Vasco has never won, and 3 matches ended in draws, showing clear dominance by Palmeiras.
• No significant injury concerns reported for Palmeiras, while Vasco has minor squad uncertainties but no key absences detailed.
• Home crowd at Allianz Parque expected to boost Palmeiras. No adverse external conditions reported. Palmeiras fined by CONMEBOL recently but no impact on matchday.
• Palmeiras motivated to maintain strong league standing and leverage home advantage; Vasco coached by Fernando Diniz, aiming to improve but under consistent pressure with modest recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline; Palmeiras to cover -1.25 on the spread; match to go over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0