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Lorient vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 matchup features 16th-place Lorient hosting 9th-place Toulouse. Toulouse has been in better form and holds a superior league position. Lorient has struggled defensively and offensively in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lorient sits 16th with 9 points (2W, 3D, 6L), conceding 25 goals, showing poor defense and limited scoring (1.3 goals per match). Toulouse is 9th with 15 points (4W, 3D, 4L), with better defensive record (conceded 15 goals) and a more balanced attack (1.6 goals per match). Toulouse has recent away form of 40% win rate in last five away games.
  • Toulouse is undefeated in last 6 away matches against Lorient across all competitions, indicating psychological advantage for the visitors.
  • No specific injury information available from data sources; no significant absences reported that could heavily impact lineups.
  • Match played at Stade du Moustoir in Lorient; home advantage moderate but mitigated by Lorient's poor home form (40%). Weather or other external conditions not reported as impactful.
  • Lorient fights to escape relegation zone with urgent need for points, whereas Toulouse pushes for a European qualification spot, suggesting slightly higher motivation and stability for Toulouse.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 195 (Lorient), 140 (Toulouse), 220 (Draw) Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Lorient +25 (-128), Toulouse -0.25 (108) Toulouse -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-118), Under 2.25 (-102) Over 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Toulouse at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Toulouse vs. Le Havre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 4:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium de Toulouse

Game Overview

Ligue 1 clash where Toulouse hosts Le Havre, with Toulouse favored at home given recent form and attacking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse holds a solid home record with consistent goal scoring, especially scoring at least two goals in their last five home matches. Le Havre has good defensive form recently but struggles away and has not won against Toulouse in recent head-to-heads.
  • Toulouse has dominated recent meetings, winning 2 out of 5 with Le Havre yet to win any. Toulouse is also more likely to secure narrow victories based on recent head-to-head results.
  • Toulouse will miss defender Rasmus Nicolaisen (suspended) and midfielder Rafik Messali (ankle). Le Havre's only notable absentee is forward Ally Samatta. The absences slightly weaken Toulouse’s defense but Le Havre lacks firepower too.
  • The match is at Toulouse’s home where they have strong support and good recent results. Public betting heavily favors Toulouse, indicating strong confidence from the market.
  • Toulouse aims to bounce back from a slight dip by securing home victories to maintain momentum. Le Havre, coming off solid defensive wins, likely aims to frustrate but faces a tough road challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -134 (Toulouse), +365 (Le Havre), +260 (Draw) Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread -0.75 Toulouse -102, +75 Le Havre -118 Toulouse -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Toulouse vs. Rennes Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Rennes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Municipal, Toulouse

Game Overview

Toulouse, currently 8th in Ligue 1 with 13 points, hosts 9th-place Rennes, with 11 points. Both teams are closely matched and motivated to improve standings. Toulouse has slight edge at home historically.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse has shown moderate home strength and better recent form with 13 points; Rennes slightly behind with 11 points and tends to adopt a defensive approach. Both teams have a tendency for low-scoring matches.
  • Over last 23 home meetings, Toulouse has 9 wins, 7 draws, Rennes 7 wins; overall scores tightly balanced (26-25 goals). Most common results between these teams at Toulouse are low-scoring 0-0 or 0-1 outcomes.
  • Notable absences include Toulouse’s Rasmus Nicolaisen and Mark McKenzie, plus Rennes’ Umit Akdag and several others, potentially limiting attacking potency and defensive solidity for both sides.
  • Match at Toulouse’s home ground offers home advantage; no significant external disruptions reported.
  • Both mid-table teams are motivated to progress up the Ligue 1 standings early in the season, fostering a competitive but cautious match approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toulouse: +107, Draw: +245, Rennes: +240 Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Toulouse -0.25: -125, Rennes +25: +105 Toulouse -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Toulouse at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Toulouse win; Spread: Toulouse -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AS Monaco vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Louis II, Fontvieille, Monaco

Game Overview

AS Monaco hosts Toulouse in a crucial Ligue 1 clash, with both teams sitting just one point apart in the standings (Monaco 7th, Toulouse 8th)[1][4]. Monaco holds a slight edge in recent form, with slightly more goals scored but also more conceded than Toulouse[4]. The last direct encounter ended in a 1-1 draw in March 2025[3]. Both sides are chasing European places, ensuring high motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Monaco has a 4-2-2 record (14 points, 17 GF, 13 GA) compared to Toulouse's 4-1-3 (13 points, 15 GF, 12 GA). Monaco's home record is slightly better (3-1-0 at home) but both teams are inconsistent defensively[4].
  • Recent H2H matches have been close, with the last two encounters ending in a draw and a narrow 1-2 win for Monaco. No significant dominance by either side in past matchups[1][3].
  • No prominent injury updates available in the provided data, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
  • No major external factors affecting the matchday; expected normal playing conditions.
  • Both teams are fighting for European qualification, with neither side clear of midtable concerns. Motivation is high for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Monaco -120, Draw 285, Toulouse 285 AS Monaco β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Monaco -0.5 -118, Toulouse 50 -102 AS Monaco -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 54%
Over/under Over 2.75 -125, Under 2.75 105 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Monaco -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Monaco's slightly superior home form and attacking output justify a narrow home win, despite Toulouse's resilience on the counter and in recent encounters.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Monaco


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Toulouse vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium de Toulouse

Game Overview

Toulouse faces Metz in Ligue 1 at home, with Toulouse favored by the bookmakers to win and the goal total set at 2.5, suggesting a moderate-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse has been stronger in recent form, with key attackers like Thijs Dallinga (5 goals in 16 games), Frank Magri, and Zakaria Aboukhlal contributing. Metz's attack is less prolific, led by Georges Mikautadze (3 goals) and Joel Asoro (14 games, 1 assist, 1 goal). Toulouse's attacking output, even offset by some inconsistency, still surpasses Metz's defense, which has struggled against better-attacking sides.
  • Recent H2H history is not detailed in the sources, but bookmaker probabilities have previously favored Toulouse in both home and away matchups, suggesting a trend of Toulouse's dominance.
  • No major injuries reported in the provided sources; lineup integrity for both sides is assumed.
  • No unusual weather or pitch conditions are reported. Toulouse, playing at home, benefits from a supportive crowd, which is often reflected in Ligue 1 home performance.
  • Both teams are likely motivated to climb the table, but Toulouse's stronger attacking profile and home advantage suggest higher motivation to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toulouse -172, Draw 300, Metz 450 Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Spread Toulouse -1 (105), Metz +1 (-125) Toulouse -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-112), Under 2.5 (-108) Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse should win by a margin of 1-2 goals, with both sides likely to score but Toulouse having more quality in the final third.

Predicted Score: Toulouse 2-1 Metz


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 19, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Heracles Almelo vs. Feyenoord Prediction Feyenoord Win -290 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Toulouse vs. Metz Prediction Toulouse Win -172 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76% (76%)
Getafe vs. Real Madrid Prediction Real Madrid Win -222 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +208

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $61.69

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Toulouse vs. Nantes Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Nantes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Municipal, Toulouse

Game Overview

Toulouse hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 match where Toulouse sits mid-table with 6 points from 5 matches, while Nantes struggles near the relegation zone with 4 points. Toulouse has shown better form at home and is favored to secure the win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse has 2 wins and 3 losses overall, with a solid home record of 1-0-1. Nantes has a poorer record of 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, with no away wins and a weak offensive showing across the season.
  • Recent H2H results are mixed but Toulouse has a slight edge. Their last encounter ended 0-0, indicating a competitive matchup but Toulouse generally performs stronger at home.
  • Nantes suffers notable absences including Marcus Coco and Saidou Sow, impacting their lineup depth. Toulouse has no significant injury issues reported.
  • The game takes place at Toulouse's home ground, providing them a key advantage. Nantes has had travel and form issues, lowering their away performance.
  • Toulouse seeks to climb the table aiming for European spots while Nantes aims to escape relegation threats, adding pressure especially on Nantes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toulouse: -140, Nantes: 395, Draw: 260 Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Toulouse -0.75: -105, Nantes +75: -115 Toulouse -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse to win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Auxerre vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'AbbΓ© Deschamps

Game Overview

Auxerre hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 match with both teams struggling for consistency early in the season. Auxerre has a poor recent form but a strong home handicap record, while Toulouse is also facing recent defeats but shows potential for an away upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre holds a 1-3 record in their last 5 games with only 3 goals scored in 4 games, placing them 15th in the table. Toulouse also has recent losses but appears more balanced offensively and defensively with ability to exploit Auxerre’s vulnerabilities.
  • Recent H2H shows a 2-2 draw between the teams, indicating competitive and balanced encounters.
  • Auxerre’s first-choice goalkeeper Donovan LΓ©on's suspension has ended but midfielder JosuΓ© Casimir is suspended. No significant injury issues reported for Toulouse.
  • Playing at home benefits Auxerre, who has covered home handicaps in 16 of their last 17 home matches despite scoring issues. Public betting heavily favors Auxerre but home form has not translated into wins.
  • Auxerre needs to improve their position with only 3 points from 4 games, and a home win would be vital. Toulouse aims to break their losing streak and prove competitive away, motivating them to seek at least a draw or upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: +171, Toulouse: +165, Draw: +215 Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Spread Auxerre: 0 -108, Toulouse: 0 -112 Toulouse +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105 Under 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse moneyline to win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Lille vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lille vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Game Overview

Lille hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash with Lille favored due to strong recent form and home advantage, while Toulouse seeks to recover from a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lille is unbeaten this season with a 2-1-0 record, scoring 11 goals in their first three matches, reflecting strong attacking form. Toulouse holds a 2-0-1 record but shows more inconsistency, especially away.
  • Recent head-to-head stats are balanced though Lille has the home advantage, and slightly better home performance compared to Toulouse’s away fixtures.
  • No significant injuries reported for Lille or Toulouse affecting key players
  • Match played at Lille’s home stadium gives Lille an edge; weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard without major impact.
  • Lille is motivated to maintain an unbeaten start and remain in the top tier of Ligue 1, whereas Toulouse aims to rebound from a setback and prove competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lille: -134, Toulouse: 330, Draw: 290 Lille β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Lille -0.75: -102, Toulouse +75: -118 Lille -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lille 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Lille win; Spread: Lille -0.75; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Toulouse vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Municipal, Toulouse

Game Overview

A Ligue 1 clash between 2nd place Toulouse and 4th place Paris Saint-Germain, both unbeaten with 6 points. Toulouse has shown strong defensive form, while PSG has secured narrow 1-0 wins and are favorites due to superior squad strength and historical edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse boasts 2 clean sheets and strong defense, scoring modestly. PSG won first two games 1-0, showing a slower start but solid defense and attacking potential.
  • PSG won last meeting at Toulouse 1-0; 3 of last 5 matches ended with fewer than 3 goals. PSG holds a strong historical edge.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key starters for either team as of current data.
  • Match at Toulouse’s Stade Municipal, home advantage slight but PSG experienced at away fixtures; no adverse weather or travel issues noted.
  • Both teams seek to maintain perfect starts; Toulouse motivated to hold 2nd place, PSG eager to assert dominance and stay title contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain: -245, Toulouse: 610, Draw: 400 Paris Saint Germain β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Paris Saint Germain -1.25: -116, Toulouse +1.25: -104 Paris Saint Germain -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3: -103, Under 3: -117 Under 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris Saint-Germain to win on the moneyline; Under 3 goals for total; PSG -1.25 on spread

Predicted Score: Paris Saint Germain 2 – 0 Toulouse


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