Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Nantes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Municipal, Toulouse
Game Overview
Toulouse hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 match where Toulouse sits mid-table with 6 points from 5 matches, while Nantes struggles near the relegation zone with 4 points. Toulouse has shown better form at home and is favored to secure the win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toulouse has 2 wins and 3 losses overall, with a solid home record of 1-0-1. Nantes has a poorer record of 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, with no away wins and a weak offensive showing across the season.
- Recent H2H results are mixed but Toulouse has a slight edge. Their last encounter ended 0-0, indicating a competitive matchup but Toulouse generally performs stronger at home.
- Nantes suffers notable absences including Marcus Coco and Saidou Sow, impacting their lineup depth. Toulouse has no significant injury issues reported.
- The game takes place at Toulouse's home ground, providing them a key advantage. Nantes has had travel and form issues, lowering their away performance.
- Toulouse seeks to climb the table aiming for European spots while Nantes aims to escape relegation threats, adding pressure especially on Nantes.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toulouse: -140, Nantes: 395, Draw: 260 | Toulouse | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Toulouse -0.75: -105, Nantes +75: -115 | Toulouse -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toulouse 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toulouse to win
Predicted Score: 1-0