Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union faces Toronto FC in an MLS Eastern Conference clash with Philadelphia highly favored at home. The Union are in strong form, ranking 4th in expected goals and maintaining a solid defensive record. Toronto FC struggles this season, positioned 25th overall and with poor away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Philadelphia Union boasts a strong season with 50 points from 25 matches, averaging 2.00 points per game, scoring 43 goals and conceding 24. Toronto FC has struggled with only 5 wins, scoring 25 goals and conceding 32, ranking near the bottom of the league.
• Recent matchups have favored Philadelphia, who have been dominant at home against Toronto. Toronto FC has had difficulty scoring and winning on the road versus the Union.
• No significant injury information suggests key players are missing on either side; both goalkeepers, Andre Blake and Sean Johnson, are expected to start.
• Philadelphia plays at home in favorable conditions at Subaru Park. No notable external disruptions have been reported that could affect match dynamics.
• Philadelphia Union is motivated to maintain their playoff positioning and form against a struggling Toronto side with less at stake, increasing the home side's motivation

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, with the match likely finishing with total goals going over 2.5.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC

Game Overview

Charlotte FC hosts Toronto FC in an MLS matchup where Charlotte, with a stronger win record and home advantage, faces struggling Toronto FC, who are near the bottom of the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charlotte FC currently has an 11-2-11 record, showing solid home form and a goal differential of +2; Toronto FC stands at 5-6-12 with a lower save percentage and defensive struggles.
• Recent encounters favor Charlotte FC with stronger performances and higher xG compared to Toronto FC, who have had difficulty scoring and maintaining defensive solidity.
• No significant injury reports on key starters for either team are indicated, with Charlotte expected to start Kristijan Kahlina and Toronto Sean Johnson in goal.
• Match played at Charlotte’s home stadium provides a clear home-field advantage; travel for Toronto and July heat could influence performance.
• Charlotte FC aiming to solidify mid-table standings and gain momentum, while Toronto FC looks to climb out of the lower standings, possibly pushing for a draw or defensive setup.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Charlotte FC to win straight up (moneyline), Charlotte FC to cover -1 spread, and Over 3 goals total.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Charlotte FC

Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Geodis Park

Game Overview

Nashville SC, enjoying a strong home run (two consecutive MLS home wins, including a dominant 3-0 over Columbus Crew), hosts Toronto FC, who managed a 1-0 road win over San Diego FC but remain inconsistent. Nashville is chasing top positions, while Toronto is in danger of slipping in the table. The head-to-head history is closely contested, but recent trends favor Nashville at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville SC: 2.2 goals/game in last 10, 40% possession and clinical finishing last match. Toronto FC: Struggling with only 2 shots in last away game, but have shown they can score on the road.
• H2H last 11 games: Nashville 5 wins, Toronto 3, draws 3. Average goals/match: 2.82. Last meeting: 24 May 2025, Nashville won 2-1 at BMO Field.
• No major injury news reported. Lineups not expected to change significantly from recent matches.
• Nashville enjoys a loud, supportive home crowd at Geodis Park. No adverse weather reported. Toronto's long travel possible fatigue factor.
• Nashville pushing for top of the table, Toronto fighting to avoid slipping further down the standings. Nashville's motivation slightly higher given home advantage and playoff implications.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Nashville’s home form, offensive output, and slightly better motivation make them a clear favorite, but Toronto is capable of scoring. Expect a tight first half, but Nashville to eventually pull away. Over likely on total goals given both teams’ tendencies.

Predicted Score: Nashville SC 3-1 Toronto FC

Match Analysis: San Diego FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-17
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: San Diego FC Home Stadium

Game Overview

San Diego FC hosts Toronto FC in a Major League Soccer matchup with San Diego favored heavily by bookmakers and models alike, reflecting San Diego's strong recent form and Toronto's struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego FC is in strong form with multiple recent wins including high-scoring games (e.g., 5-3 vs Vancouver, 4-2 vs Minnesota). Toronto FC shows weaker recent results with draws and losses, indicating lower momentum.
• Limited explicit H2H data available, but simulations and expert predictions strongly favor San Diego FC winning by a comfortable margin.
• No major injury concerns reported for either team in available data, suggesting strongest lineups likely to feature.
• San Diego FC has home advantage and motivation to consolidate their playoff position; Toronto FC faces an away challenge with significantly lower recent performance metrics.
• San Diego FC motivated by strong home form and playoff positioning; Toronto FC under pressure due to poor recent results and need to gain points away.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego FC to win outright, covering the -1.5 goal spread, and the match to produce over 3 goals in total, reflecting San Diego's strong attack and Toronto's defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Toronto FC Home Stadium

Game Overview

MLS matchup between Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC, two competitive teams with close recent form and balanced odds, expected to produce a tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have shown mixed recent results but maintain competitive strength; Atlanta United slightly stronger on away form, Toronto FC solid at home.
• Recent meetings show a closely contested rivalry with a moderate tendency towards draws and low scoring outcomes.
• No significant injury news indicating absences of key players from either side at present.
• Home advantage for Toronto FC, familiar conditions; no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
• Mid-season standings pressure to gain points for playoff positioning motivates both teams equally.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Draw in regulation time

Predicted Score: 1-1

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Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-03
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA

Game Overview

New York City FC hosts Toronto FC in a MLS regular season clash with NYCFC currently 9th in the standings and Toronto FC 13th. Both teams have shown mixed form this season with NYCFC having a slight edge playing at home at the Yankee Stadium. This match carries significance as both clubs have history dating back 10 years in MLS. NYCFC are slightly favored given their home advantage and higher table position, but Toronto FC will look to upset and climb the ranks.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC have demonstrated solid home form and better overall results than Toronto FC, who have struggled this season and sit lower in the table. NYCFC have been more consistent in attack and defense.
• The teams have met once this season with previous encounters favoring New York City FC. Historically, NYCFC has had stronger performances in the rivalry.
• No specific injury information is available for either team; assume standard squad availability with possible minor concerns but no major absences reported.
• Playing at Yankee Stadium gives NYCFC a strong home field advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for early July in New York, unlikely to heavily impact gameplay.
• NYCFC motivated to solidify mid-table position and push for playoff contention, while Toronto FC looks to gain points and improve standings, making for a competitive encounter.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win in a closely contested match with moderate scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS clash features Toronto FC hosting Portland Timbers at BMO Field. Toronto FC, currently 14th in the league, face a strong Portland side ranked 4th. Both teams have competitive history in the league with tight head-to-head records. Portland comes in with strong recent form and defensive solidity, while Toronto struggles with losses and scoring consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toronto FC's recent form is poor with 5 consecutive losses, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Portland Timbers have won 4 and drawn 1 in their last 5 matches, with a robust defensive record conceding just 1 goal per match and averaging 1.0 goals scored. Overall, Portland demonstrates better form and defensive organization this season.
• Historically, the teams have played 13 times with a balanced record: Toronto FC has 5 wins, Portland Timbers 5 wins, and 3 draws. Recent matches show a high goal average of about 3.36 goals per game. Both teams showed a tendency towards over 1.5 goals in their meetings. Portland holds a slight edge due to current form but matches are often competitive and close.
• No specific injury information available in current data, implying no major absences announced for either team before the match.
• The match is played at Toronto’s home ground, BMO Field, which could influence dynamics. Toronto usually sees over 1.5 total goals in two-thirds of their home games. Portland’s away matches also tend to have a moderate goal volume, with almost half going over 2.5 goals. Weather and travel conditions for Portland could have minor impacts but no explicit external disruptions noted.
• Portland Timbers, sitting high in the standings, are motivated to secure points to maintain playoff positioning. Toronto FC, currently in a low league position with a losing streak, are motivated to break their poor run and collect vital points on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Portland Timbers to win or draw, leveraging their strong recent form and defensive consistency. The match is expected to be competitive with goals scored but potentially fewer than the historically high average, given Toronto’s current struggles.

Predicted Score: Portland Timbers 2 – 1 Toronto FC

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Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-25
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Game Overview

This MLS regular season match features Toronto FC hosting New York Red Bulls. Toronto FC have struggled this season with a 0-2-4 record and 2 points, sitting 14th in the league, while New York Red Bulls are in much better form with a 3-2-2 record and 11 points, ranked 8th. The match is crucial for Toronto FC to earn points at home, whereas New York Red Bulls aim to continue their upward momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toronto FC have yet to secure a win this season, showcasing defensive vulnerabilities and limited attacking output. New York Red Bulls have displayed more consistency, with key players like E. Choupo-Moting (3 goals), E. Forsberg (3 goals), and F. Bernardeschi contributing effectively to their offense. New York have scored more goals and accumulated more points overall.
• Only one match between these teams this season has been played so far, with New York Red Bulls holding a psychological edge due to better current form and higher league standing. Historical data indicates New York generally perform stronger in head-to-head encounters.
• No significant injury updates were identified from available sources, implying both sides may field near full-strength squads. Absence of key players is not majorly impacting the teams’ dynamics based on current information.
• The match will be played at BMO Field in Toronto, providing home advantage to Toronto FC. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard with no unusual external disruptions forecasted.
• Toronto FC will be highly motivated to break their winless streak and gain home points, while New York Red Bulls will be confident and motivated to capitalize on Toronto’s poor form and climb further in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York Red Bulls are favored to win based on form, player performance, and standings. A closely contested match is likely, but New York’s attacking edge and momentum give them the upper hand.

Predicted Score: Toronto FC 1 – 2 New York Red Bulls