Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
AS Roma, currently 4th in Serie A with 6 points from 2 wins and no losses, hosts Torino, who are struggling at 19th place with 1 point after a draw and a loss. Roma is in strong form defensively, having kept the most clean sheets in the league so far, while Torino has scored less and failed to score in their last two matches. Roma has a dominant recent head-to-head record against Torino, remaining unbeaten in the last 8 meetings (6 wins, 2 draws).
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches and remains unbeaten with a solid defense; Torino has only scored 2 goals in 5 matches and has struggled offensively, failing to score in their last two games.
- Roma has not lost to Torino in their last 8 Serie A encounters, with 6 wins and 2 draws, indicating a clear historical advantage.
- No explicit injury information provided in the sources; assume no critical injury updates available at this time.
- Match is at Roma's home stadium, Stadio Olimpico, providing home advantage and strong fan support; tickets are sold digitally with good fan engagement.
- Roma strives to maintain their high league standing with consecutive wins early in the season; Torino is motivated to escape the relegation zone and halt their poor scoring run.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma: -196, Torino: 550, Draw: 315 | AS Roma win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | AS Roma -1: -115, Torino +1: -105 | AS Roma -1 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma is highly favored to win given their superior recent form, strong defensive record, historical dominance over Torino, and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 2-0