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Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio

Game Overview

Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup featuring Toledo Rockets (3-3, 1-2 MAC) hosting Kent State Golden Flashes (2-4, 1-1 MAC). Toledo is favored heavily at home, reflecting both teams' current standings and form, with Kent State struggling both offensively and defensively this season[1][2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo averages 33.7 points per game (ranked 48th nationally) and allows only 15.0 (13th), demonstrating both offensive balance and defensive strength. Kent State averages just 19.2 points per game (120th) and allows 37.7 (131st), with a particularly weak rushing attack (85.7 yards/game) and a defense vulnerable to big plays[2][3].
  • Head-to-head history was not detailed in the provided results, but Toledo's recent form and home advantage suggest dominance. Kent State has lost 16 of their last 18 games, highlighting a trend of underperformance[2].
  • No injury updates were provided in the search results.
  • Game is at the Glass Bowl, a noted home-field advantage for Toledo. No significant weather concerns were noted.
  • Toledo is favored to bounce back from a middling conference start, while Kent State seeks to avoid another lopsided loss and improve their dismal recent record[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {'Kent State': +1800, 'Toledo': -5000} Toledo Rockets win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 96%
Spread {'Kent State': +26.5 (-110), 'Toledo': -26.5 (-110)} Toledo covers -26.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under {'Over': 52.5 (-105), 'Under': 52.5 (-115)} Under 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo is expected to win comfortably, given both teams' performance metrics and the sizable point spread. Kent State's offensive struggles and porous defense make a close game unlikely, with Toledo's balanced attack and strong defense the key differentiators[3][4].

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 38, Kent State Golden Flashes 10


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (3-2, 1-1 MAC) visit the Bowling Green Falcons (2-3, 0-1 MAC) in this 90th edition of a heated Mid-American Conference rivalry[2]. Both teams are coming off mixed mid-season forms, but Toledo holds both the better record and momentum, winning 4 of their last 6 games straight up (SU) and going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in recent weeks[3]. Bowling Green is winless in conference play and needs a statement win to stay relevant in the MAC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is 4-2 SU in its last 6, 5-1 ATS, with the total going UNDER in 6 of those games, highlighting a robust defense and efficient game management. Bowling Green, at 2-3 (0-1 MAC), has struggled to find consistent form and has a less effective offense and defense compared to Toledo[1][3].
  • This is the 90th meeting, indicating a deep, competitive rivalry, but no recent head-to-head statistics are provided in the search results[2].
  • No specific injury data is available from the search results.
  • No weather or venue disadvantages noted for either team. The game is at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, a typical Midwestern venue without unusual conditions. Travel is local, minimizing Toledo fatigue.
  • Toledo is fighting to stay in contention for the MAC championship, while Bowling Green is desperate for a conference win to avoid falling further behind[2]. Expect a spirited effort from both, but Toledo appears more focused and disciplined.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons: +300; Toledo Rockets: -380 Toledo Rockets moneyline High (75%)
Spread Bowling Green Falcons: +10.5 (-108); Toledo Rockets: -10.5 (-112) Toledo Rockets cover -10.5 Moderate-High (65%)
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115); Under 49.5 (-105) Under 49.5 High (70%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo’s superior recent performance, stronger defense, and efficient scoringβ€”coupled with Bowling Green’s inconsistencyβ€”point to a Toledo win, likely by more than one score. The total is expected to stay under, given Toledo’s strong defensive trends[3].

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 27, Bowling Green Falcons 16


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Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (2-2) host the Akron Zips (1-3) at the Glass Bowl with Toledo strongly favored. Toledo looks to avenge last year's loss to Akron, leveraging stronger defensive metrics, especially in pass defense, while Akron struggles with an ineffective running game. Weather is favorable with clear skies and mild temperature (~77Β°F).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo has exhibited better overall performance with a balanced offense and stout secondary defense, highlighted by a recent strong run against the spread. Akron's offense is less effective, particularly in running the ball, limiting their scoring ability.
  • Last season, Akron upset Toledo, which adds motivation for Rocky to bounce back. Historically, Toledo tends to dominate at home, evidenced by strong recent results at Glass Bowl.
  • No significant injury reports noted in available data; teams expected to field competitive lineups.
  • Weather conditions on game day are ideal for football with no rain and moderate temperature around 77Β°F. The venue, Glass Bowl, is a familiar home environment favoring Toledo.
  • Toledo has high motivation after last year's loss to Akron, combined with a recent loss being digested. The Rockets are expected to come out strong to reassert dominance in this regional rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: 950, Toledo Rockets: -1650 Toledo Rockets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread Akron Zips: 21 -112, Toledo Rockets: -21 -108 Toledo Rockets -21 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 88%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -110, Under: 48.5 -110 Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A dominant Toledo win is predicted given the current form, odds, and matchup dynamics. The Rockets are highly likely to cover the large spread and win by a substantial margin.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 31 – Akron Zips 10


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stafford-Smith Field at Waldo Stadium

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (2-1) face off against the Western Michigan Broncos (0-3) at Western Michigan's home stadium. Toledo is heavily favored based on recent form and betting odds, with a strong September performance record and solid overall team strength. Western Michigan has struggled early in the season with no wins, impacting their confidence and expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is 8-1 straight up in their last nine September games and has a solid current 2-1 season record. Western Michigan is 0-3 this season and has shown a tendency for games to go under the total points line, with 6 of their last 7 games going under.
  • Recent specific head-to-head details are limited, but Toledo's dominance in betting lines and season performance indicates historical or current competitive superiority.
  • No specific injury reports were found for either team, suggesting typical squad availability, but the absence of significant injuries likely benefits Toledo given their stronger form.
  • The game is played at Western Michigan’s home field, Stafford-Smith Field at Waldo Stadium, but this advantage appears minimal given the mismatch in team performance and betting odds.
  • Toledo, with a winning record and strong momentum, is motivated to continue their successful run. Western Michigan faces pressure to break their losing streak, potentially impacting playstyle but not expected to close the quality gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo Rockets: -650, Western Michigan Broncos: 470 Toledo Rockets win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Spread Toledo Rockets: -14.5 -108, Western Michigan Broncos: +14.5 -112 Toledo Rockets cover the -14.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -110, Under: 50.5 -110 Under 50.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets are predicted to win decisively with high confidence, likely covering the spread with a margin exceeding 14 points. The total points are expected to go slightly under the posted line due to Western Michigan's low scoring trend.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 34 – Western Michigan Broncos 12


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Toledo Rockets vs. Morgan State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Morgan State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets will host the Morgan State Bears at Glass Bowl. Toledo enters the game with a 1-1 record, having a balanced performance with an average scoring of about 30.5 points per game and strong home offensive numbers. Morgan State is struggling this season, 0-2, with losses to South Alabama and Towson, and has a weaker defense allowing over 30 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo Rockets have won 1 of 2 games this season, scoring an average of 30.5 points and conceding 22.5 points. At home, they average 45 points scored and 21 allowed. Morgan State Bears are 0-2, averaging 185 rushing yards per game but conceding 32.5 points per game defensively.
  • The two teams have not met before, so there is no direct head-to-head history to influence the prediction.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting the game.
  • The game is at Toledo's home stadium, Glass Bowl, giving the Rockets a strong home advantage supported by past home scoring trends. No notable weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Toledo aims to improve their record to 2-1 and capitalize on home advantage. Morgan State looks to rebound from a poor start with two losses, possibly increasing motivation but facing an uphill battle against a stronger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Morgan State Bears: 4000, Toledo Rockets: -30000 Toledo Rockets to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Morgan State Bears: +33.5 -110, Toledo Rockets: -33.5 -110 Toledo Rockets to cover -33.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Over/under Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110 Over 51.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Toledo's superior form, stronger home performance, and Morgan State's early season struggles, Toledo is heavily favored to win, likely by a large margin.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 48 – 17 Morgan State Bears


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Toledo Rockets vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in a highly anticipated Week 2 NCAAF matchup. Toledo enters off a competitive loss to SEC opponent Kentucky, demonstrating defensive strength especially against the pass, but with some offensive inconsistencies early on. Western Kentucky is 2-0, with a high-powered passing attack led by QB Maverick McIvor, who has already posted impressive yardage and multiple touchdowns. The Hilltoppers have been successful offensively but showed some defensive vulnerabilities against lesser opponents. Toledo seeks revenge for last season's road loss and aims to leverage its stronger run defense and physical front seven at home in the Glass Bowl.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo's defense is ranked 24th nationally in passing efficiency, limiting quality opponents to under 90 passing yards and forcing turnovers early this season. Their run game struggled against Kentucky but is expected to improve against Western Kentucky's defense, which gave up 5.6 yards per carry in recent games. Western Kentucky's offense is led by a prolific passing game with Maverick McIvor completing 65% of his passes for over 400 yards and 3 touchdowns last game. Their defense has yielded points and yards against weaker competition.
  • Last season, Western Kentucky defeated Toledo on the road, but Toledo aims to even the series with home-field advantage. Historical betting trends show Toledo has struggled to cover the spread as favorites in September, yet they have a strong win percentage overall against Western Kentucky at home.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either team impacting key offensive or defensive starters ahead of this matchup.
  • The game is at Toledo's Glass Bowl home stadium, which gives the Rockets a distinct home-field advantage. Weather data for early September in Toledo typically favors a dry, moderate temperature night conducive to offensive production.
  • Toledo is motivated to revenge last year’s loss and bounce back after a tough opener versus Kentucky. Western Kentucky aims to continue their winning streak and prove their offense's potency against stronger defensive competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo: -298, Western Kentucky: 240 Toledo winner β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Toledo: -7 at -115, Western Kentucky: +7 at -105 Toledo to cover -7 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 60.5: -105, Under 60.5: -115 Over 60.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets 155%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 60.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Toledo Rockets at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo is favored to win by a touchdown margin, leveraging their stout pass defense and home-field advantage. The Rockets are expected to control the run game better and keep Western Kentucky’s passing attack in check to a degree. A close, competitive game with Toledo edging out Western Kentucky and covering the -7 spread is projected.

Predicted Score: Toledo 31 – Western Kentucky 24


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Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 6, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Western Carolina Catamounts Prediction Wake Forest Demon Deacons -1000 566%
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction Toledo Rockets -298 155%
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction Iowa State Cyclones -166 49%

Combined Odds: +135 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $47.08

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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Kentucky Wildcats vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Game Overview

The Kentucky Wildcats (4-8 last year) host the Toledo Rockets (8-5 last year) in an NCAA College Football season opener. Kentucky struggled last season offensively, averaging 20.6 points per game, while Toledo had a more balanced offensive showing with 28.3 points per game and won the GameAbove Sports Bowl. This game pits a rebuilding Kentucky team at home against a Rockets squad with recent winning form and a bowl title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kentucky ended last season 4-8 with a scoring average of 20.6 points per game and strong defense allowing 22.1 points per game. Toledo finished 8-5, scoring 28.3 points per game and conceding 23.2, coming off a high-scoring close win over Pittsburgh (48-46). Offensive efficiency favors Toledo, but Kentucky's home field and defensive rankings provide balance.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head data between Kentucky Wildcats and Toledo Rockets was found for this matchup, indicating limited recent direct matchups or that data is not prominently available.
  • No specific injury information was found in the search results for either team ahead of this matchup.
  • The game will be played at Kroger Field in Lexington, KY, which is expected to favor the Wildcats due to home field advantage. No weather or other external conditions were noted.
  • Kentucky looks to improve on a disappointing 4-8 season with a fresh slate, while Toledo enters as the defending bowl champion from last year and aims to continue their momentum and winning culture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kentucky Wildcats: -325, Toledo Rockets: 260 Kentucky Wildcats win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Kentucky Wildcats: -9.5 -108, Toledo Rockets: +9.5 -112 Kentucky Wildcats -9.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -112, Under: 47.5 -108 Over 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kentucky Wildcats -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kentucky Wildcats win narrowly, covering the spread due to home advantage and motivated defense, but Toledo will keep the game competitive with a strong offense. Expect a moderately high-scoring game close to the over/under line.

Predicted Score: Kentucky Wildcats 31, Toledo Rockets 21


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Akron Zips vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-14
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Akron Zips, seeded first in the MAC tournament, face off against the fourth-seeded Toledo Rockets. Akron is favored due to their strong performance this season, with a 26-6 record and a 17-1 MAC record. Toledo has a more mixed record at 18-14 overall and 10-8 in the MAC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron has been highly effective, scoring 84.4 points per game while allowing 74.0. They have a significant rebounding advantage, averaging 35.9 rebounds per game. Toledo scores 78.5 points per game but struggles defensively, allowing 79.5 points per game.
  • In recent matchups, Akron has won two consecutive games against Toledo, including a 96-87 victory on the road and an 85-78 win at home. However, the past 10 head-to-head matches have been evenly split with five wins each.
  • There is no reported injury information that could significantly impact the game's outcome.
  • The game is being played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, which might slightly favor Akron due to their strong away performance this season.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they compete in the MAC tournament, but Akron's strong season and seeding might give them an edge in confidence and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -385, Toledo Rockets: +315 Akron Zips β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Akron Zips: -8.5 (-117), Toledo Rockets: +8.5 (-103) Akron Zips -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over_under Over 165: -115, Under 165: -105 Under 165 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Predicted Outcome

Akron is likely to win due to their superior performance and recent success against Toledo.

Predicted Score: Akron Zips 83, Toledo Rockets 75


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Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-13
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Savage Arena, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

Toledo Rockets host Ohio Bobcats in a crucial MAC matchup. Both teams have similar overall records but differ in conference performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo has shown strong scoring depth, with multiple players contributing significantly in recent games. Ohio has been consistent but faces challenges on the road.
  • Toledo has recently beaten Ohio twice, showcasing their ability to outscore the Bobcats. However, Ohio's performance can vary significantly.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • Home-court advantage could favor Toledo, but Ohio's recent form suggests they are capable of competing away.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure better seeding in the conference tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ohio: -123, Toledo: +103 Toledo Rockets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Ohio: -3 -110, Toledo: +3 -110 Toledo Rockets +3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over_under Over: 162.5 -110, Under: 162.5 -110 Over 162.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets to win outright.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 84, Ohio Bobcats 80


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