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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Toronto Blue Jays Home Stadium

Game Overview

Toronto Blue Jays (93-68) host the Tampa Bay Rays (77-84) in the AL East matchup. Blue Jays have a strong home record (53-27) while Rays struggle on the road (36-44). The Blue Jays are motivated to maintain their playoff push and have senior pitcher Kevin Gausman starting, who has been strong in recent outings. The Rays, in contrast, have endured a recent scoring drought and are on a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blue Jays are in solid form with a three-game winning streak, excelling at home and outperforming their division rivals. Rays are struggling with a three-game losing skid and poor road form, allowing 15 runs in their last three games.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor the Blue Jays, including a 5-1 win in one game and two recent wins including 5-1 and 4-2, indicating Toronto's dominance in the series.
  • No major injuries impacting starting pitchers. Both starting pitchers are expected to perform close to their season averages.
  • Game played at Toronto's home park, a known hitter-friendly venue. Weather and field conditions do not indicate significant impact.
  • Toronto Blue Jays are pushing for playoff positioning and have higher motivation compared to the out-of-contention Rays.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -190, away: 160 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: 114, away: -137 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread; game total to go under 7.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Tampa Bay Rays 2


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Rays are slight favorites over the Baltimore Orioles in this late-season MLB matchup, with Rays' starter Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.80 ERA) facing Orioles' Cade Povich (3-8, 5.06 ERA). The Rays have a modest edge in recent performance and pitching quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rays have better pitching metrics and a slightly better recent form. Orioles have struggled against quality starters and have an under .500 record recently.
  • Recent games show the Rays winning a majority of the matchups this season. The Rays’ pitching has been dominant against Orioles’ bats in these encounters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key lineups.
  • Game played at Orioles’ home park. Weather and external conditions neutral with no significant impact forecasted.
  • Both teams are motivated; Rays are playoff contenders pushing for a better seed, Orioles playing to improve late-season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore +108, Tampa Bay -126 Tampa Bay Rays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Baltimore +1.5 -162, Tampa Bay -1.5 +134 Baltimore Orioles +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays moneyline for the highest expected value, leveraging their superior starting pitching and recent dominance. Against the run line, Baltimore has some value, but Rays covering -1.5 is risky given odds. The total runs likely to go over 8.5 given offensive tendencies and pitching matchup.

Predicted Score: Rays 5, Orioles 3


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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 11:36 PM UTC
  • Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox (85-70) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (75-80) with both teams playing late-season baseball. The Red Sox come in as favorites with better recent form and a stronger road record, aiming to complete a series sweep at Tampa Bay's home field.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Red Sox hold a significant edge with a record 10 games over .500, including strong recent form and a positive road record above .500. The Rays are below .500 overall and have struggled to maintain consistent pitching performances throughout the season. Boston's offense has been more consistent recently.
  • The Red Sox defeated the Rays 6-3 in the series opener on September 20. The recent pitching matchup favors Red Sox starter Connelly Early, who has a low ERA (0.87) and previously beat Rays' Joe Boyle. Historically, Red Sox have had the upper hand in this matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that affect starting lineup or pitching rotations for this game.
  • The game is played at the Rays’ home stadium, George M. Steinbrenner Field, but weather and other environmental factors appear neutral. Broadcast coverage is available on FDSSUN and NESN.
  • The Red Sox are pushing for a playoff spot and are motivated to maintain momentum with a series sweep. The Rays, out of playoff contention, have less motivation but will seek to avoid a sweep and gain confidence for next season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -120, Tampa Bay Rays: +102 Boston Red Sox ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5 +146, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -176 Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8 -110, Under 8 -110 Over 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 6 – Tampa Bay Rays 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Over 11.5 100 20%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Under 8 -102 19%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction Over 9 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +656 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $151.23

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-18
  • Time: 5:10 PM UTC
  • Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays, leading the AL East with an 89-62 record, are visiting the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold a 74-78 record, in a crucial late-season matchup. The Blue Jays have the series lead and momentum with a slightly better overall form and a quality starting pitcher matchup favoring their side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blue Jays have superior season performance (89-62) compared to Rays (74-78) and lead the division. Rays have struggled but maintain competitiveness at home.
  • Blue Jays have the edge in this series, currently leading 2-1, indicating a psychological and strategic advantage.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers Baz (Rays) and Bassitt (Blue Jays); both expected to pitch effectively.
  • Game held at Rays home park, which typically supports pitching and defense, possibly lowering scoring.
  • Blue Jays are fighting for divisional supremacy and playoff positioning; Rays are out of contention but motivated to finish strong at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +108, away: -126 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -152, away: +126 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline win, Blue Jays -1.5 spread, Under 8 runs total

Predicted Score: Blue Jays 4 – Rays 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction Under 8 -105 21%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Cincinnati Reds -124 19%
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Over 10.5 -112 17%

Combined Odds: +568 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $133.52

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 16, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Chicago Cubs 106 30%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Prediction Under 8 -105 21%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction Over 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +696 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $159.3

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Under 8 100 20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction Over 9.5 100 14%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction Over 8.5 -115 12%

Combined Odds: +648 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $149.57

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Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 6:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the Tampa Bay Rays in a late-season MLB matchup with the Cubs holding a strong 84-64 record and playing at home, while the Rays are slightly below .500 at 73-75. Both teams have playoff and motivation implications, with the Cubs pushing for postseason positioning and the Rays hovering around .500 and seeking to finish strong.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Cubs have a superior recent form and home record (45-29) compared to Tampa Bay’s 35-39 road record. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga (9-7, 3.00 ERA) has been consistent, while Tampa Bay’s Adrian Houser (8-4, 3.11 ERA) has been solid but less dominant.
  • The series is tied 1-1, with both teams having competitive matchups. Cubs slightly edged Rays in recent encounters with marginally better batting averages and run production.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team affecting key starters or top hitters immediately impacting this matchup.
  • Playing at Wrigley Field offers the Cubs a home advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather and field conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Cubs are motivated by playoff positioning and home-field advantage in the postseason, raising stakes for a win. Rays are motivated to improve their sub-.500 record and gain momentum for the offseason.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -158, away: +143 Chicago Cubs ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +135, away: -155 Chicago Cubs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs are favored to win outright and cover the -1.5 run spread, with a game total leaning towards the under due to strong pitching and balanced run production.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – Tampa Bay Rays 3


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -215 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction San Diego Padres Win -316 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Chicago Cubs Win -158 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +215

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $62.99

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