Match Analysis: Ravena Oliveira vs Stephanie Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC, Canada

Game Overview

Stephanie Luciano and Ravena Oliveira face off in a Strawweight prelims bout at UFC Vancouver. Luciano is slightly younger, taller, with a longer reach, and coming off more recent competition while Oliveira returns from a two-year layoff due to a knee injury.

Key Factors to Consider

• Luciano holds a record of 6-2-1 with solid recent form including a close split decision loss and notable win over a prospect. Oliveira is 7-2-1 but has not fought in over two years after a UFC debut loss and a knee injury, raising concern over ring rust.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between these two fighters.
• Oliveira suffers from a significant knee injury that sidelined her for two years, raising durability and performance concerns. Luciano has no reported injuries and is active.
• The fight takes place at Rogers Arena, Vancouver, which is neutral for both fighters. Luciano's recent activities and consistency give her an edge in motivation.
• Oliveira is highly motivated to rebound from her injury hiatus and secure her first UFC win, but pressure and ring rust may affect performance. Luciano looks to build on momentum and improve her UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ravena Oliveira: +240, Stephanie Luciano: -298	Stephanie Luciano	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Ravena Oliveira +3.5: -125, Stephanie Luciano -3.5: -105	Stephanie Luciano -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -298, Under 2.5 rounds: +220	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Stephanie Luciano -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 102%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephanie Luciano to win by decision

Predicted Score: Stephanie Luciano wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Sam Hughes vs Stephanie Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Stephanie Luciano and Sam Hughes face off in a women's strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 104. Luciano, with a record of 6-1-1, is favored over Hughes, who holds a 9-6-0 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephanie Luciano lands more significant strikes per minute (5.30) than Sam Hughes (4.33) and has a higher striking accuracy (48% vs 46%). However, Hughes is more active in submissions.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano's recent win might give her an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-230 for Luciano, +190 for Hughes	Stephanie Luciano	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -600, Under 2.5: +390	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Stephanie Luciano is likely to win due to her superior striking performance.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Stephanie Luciano