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St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO

Game Overview

The match features Western Conference contenders Los Angeles FC, who have a solid winning record and more consistent performance this season, against St. Louis City SC, a relatively new and struggling MLS side with a negative goal differential and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LAFC stands with a 14-8-7 record, averaging nearly 2 goals per game and boasting a positive goal difference, while St. Louis City SC records 7-7-17 with a -13 goal differential, scoring fewer and conceding more than LAFC. LAFC shows stronger away form and recent winning momentum.
  • Limited history due to St. Louis being a relatively new MLS franchise, but LAFC have been dominant in recent encounters and have better experience in high-stakes Western Conference matches.
  • No key injuries reported for either side. Both teams appear to have their primary starters available, enhancing the prospects of a full-strength clash.
  • Game played at high altitude (Commerce City, CO) potentially favors the more physically prepared LAFC side, which has adapted better to such conditions. Weather and travel impact minimal for these teams.
  • LAFC is pushing for playoff positioning and has higher motivation to secure points, while St. Louis City SC's playoff hopes are slim, likely impacting intensity and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles FC -102 / St. Louis City SC +228 / Draw +300 Los Angeles FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Los Angeles FC -0.5 -106 / St. Louis City SC +50 -125 Los Angeles FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 +119 / Under 3.5 -159 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles FC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to be Under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: LAFC 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC


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San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: PayPal Park, San Jose, USA

Game Overview

San Jose Earthquakes host St. Louis City SC in an MLS regular-season matchup with San Jose slightly favored due to home advantage, stronger recent form, and superior expected goals metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Jose Earthquakes (9-8-13) have 35 points, ranking 9th, with an average of 1.17 points per game and the highest expected goals (56.2) in the league, but also concede heavily with a goal differential of zero (55 scored, 55 conceded). St. Louis City SC (6-7-17) are lower ranked 14th with 25 points and have a more defensive profile.
  • They have met once this season; San Jose has home advantage and historically performs better at PayPal Park. Recent H2H shows a slight edge to San Jose.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; lineups are not yet confirmed, suggesting no significant disruptions expected.
  • San Jose plays at home in PayPal Park, familiar conditions and fan support favor them. Both teams have had congested schedules but San Jose appears more consistent in form.
  • San Jose fights to consolidate playoff positioning with a stronger playoff standing and higher points total, while St. Louis City SC looks to improve from a lower position, potentially more cautious on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -133, away: 295, draw: 330 San Jose Earthquakes β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread San Jose -0.5: -139, St. Louis +50: 104 San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over 3.5: -120, under 3.5: -110 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Jose Earthquakes 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Jose Earthquakes to win the Moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and for the match to go over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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CF Montreal vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saputo

Game Overview

The MLS matchup between CF Montreal and St. Louis City SC features two similarly performing teams with close recent form and competitive stats. Montreal is slight favorite at home with a modest edge in goals scored and defensive metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have nearly identical form, with Montreal at a 29% win rate and St. Louis at 31%. Montreal has a marginally better goal difference (-16 vs -13) but concedes slightly more on average per game (1.89 goals).
  • No significant H2H sample was provided, indicating either few past meetings or balanced results with no clear dominance.
  • No notable injuries reported that would significantly weaken either starting lineup or key contributors.
  • Playing at Stade Saputo gives Montreal home advantage including familiar turf and local support. Weather or other external disruptions are not mentioned.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve standings late in the MLS season, but Montreal may have a slight edge given home venue and historical home competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 131 CF Montreal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread 124 CF Montreal -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under -161 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Montreal 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: CF Montreal at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CF Montreal moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs FC Dallas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

Game Overview

St. Louis City SC hosts FC Dallas in an MLS regular season match where both teams are struggling for consistent success. St. Louis City SC has a poor defensive record conceding 50 goals with a goal difference of -17, while FC Dallas has managed a slightly better form with more wins but remains inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis City SC currently ranks low in MLS standings with 21 points, 5 clean sheets, but a weak defense conceding 1.79 goals per game and has a negative goals difference. FC Dallas has 7 wins but also struggles to keep clean sheets; recent form shows slight advantage for Dallas in winning matches.
  • Recent head-to-head between these two show balanced contests with no clear dominance. Both teams have traded wins and draws, making this matchup competitive but slightly favoring the home side given St. Louis’ motivation.
  • No major injuries reported for key players on either side, with both goalkeepers expected to start (Roman Burki for St. Louis and Michael Collodi for Dallas), indicating full strength squads.
  • St. Louis playing at home with fan support and familiarity offers slight advantage. No significant weather or logistics issues expected.
  • St. Louis is motivated to gain points to climb standings and stabilize after a rough season, while FC Dallas also seeks to improve playoff chances but has slightly less urgency given current position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St. Louis City SC -104 / FC Dallas +236 / Draw +300 St. Louis City SC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread St. Louis City SC -0.5 -109 / FC Dallas +50 -122 St. Louis City SC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3.5 +118 / Under 3.5 -156 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. Louis City SC 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: St. Louis City SC at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. Louis City SC to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 goal spread, in a low-scoring tight game under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Chicago Fire vs. New England Revolution Prediction Chicago Fire Win -133 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas Prediction St. Louis City SC Win -104 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)
Houston Dynamo vs. LA Galaxy Prediction Houston Dynamo Win -122 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +525

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $125.06

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St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

Game Overview

St. Louis City SC and Houston Dynamo face off in an MLS regular season match at CITYPARK. St. Louis has struggled defensively this season reflected in their negative goal difference, while Houston has been relatively more stable. Both teams have moderate scoring rates, suggesting a match with potential for goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis City SC hold a weaker overall record and defensive metrics (44 goals conceded, 1.69 goals against per game, save percentage 69%), with only 5 clean sheets this season and a negative goal difference. Houston Dynamo sit higher in the standings with better recent form and a save percentage of 61.1%.
  • Limited recent data suggests competitive but low-margin games; neither team dominates strongly. Both squads have similar likelihoods to score, indicating open play and potential goals.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting XI for either side have been noted, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength squads.
  • The match is held at St. Louis home venue CITYPARK, which should provide some home advantage for St. Louis City SC. Weather and travel conditions are not indicated to impair performance.
  • Houston Dynamo currently sit ahead in the MLS table and maintain a slightly better point form, providing them incentive to secure at least a point on the road, while St. Louis City SC are fighting to improve their position and avoid further slide.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 115, away: 200, draw: 280 St. Louis City SC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: 110, away: -147, line: 50 St. Louis City SC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over: 131, under: -175, line: 3.5 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. Louis City SC 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: St. Louis City SC at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on St. Louis City SC to win the moneyline, with a predicted close and moderately high-scoring game favoring the home side

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

Vancouver Whitecaps FC host St. Louis City SC in an MLS match where Vancouver sits mid-top table with a solid defensive record and good home form, whereas St. Louis is struggling to make a playoff push and is considered a long shot this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vancouver Whitecaps rank 6th in xG with 42.9 expected goals and have allowed 29 goals (~1.12 per game) with 11 clean sheets. Vancouver has been relatively solid defensively and possesses a higher average points per game (1.77) compared to St. Louis City's inconsistent form.
  • Recent H2H data is limited due to St. Louis City being a newer MLS expansion team; however, Vancouver's home advantage and experience in the league give them an edge.
  • No significant injury data available indicates major absences impacting either side's starting lineup.
  • BC Place offers strong home support for Vancouver, and travel fatigue could mildly affect St. Louis City on an away trip. St. Louis City's long odds in the MLS Cup reflect a challenging season.
  • Vancouver aims to solidify their playoff positioning, bringing higher motivation levels, while St. Louis City SC faces an uphill battle with lower playoff probability, possibly affecting morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC -188, St. Louis City SC +420, Draw +360 Vancouver Whitecaps FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.5 +129, St. Louis City SC +1.5 -172 Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 +113, Under 3.5 -152 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win on moneyline, covering -1.5 goal spread, and the game to stay under 3.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Chicago Fire vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL

Game Overview

Chicago Fire hosts St. Louis City SC in a 2025 MLS regular season match. Chicago Fire enters with stronger recent form and home advantage, while St. Louis City SC is a relatively new team still seeking consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Fire has shown better consistency this season and maintains a positive home record. St. Louis City SC struggles for wins and sits low in MLS standings with poor playoff odds.
  • Limited H2H history due to St. Louis City SC's recent MLS entry, but prior matches suggest Chicago Fire holds an advantage.
  • No major injuries reported for Chicago Fire. St. Louis City SC’s key scorer JoΓ£o Klauss is available but overall squad depth is limited.
  • Game at home benefits Chicago Fire; weather and travel factors neutral given both teams’ MLS travel schedules.
  • Chicago Fire seeks to solidify playoff positioning; St. Louis City SC aims to build momentum but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Fire -172, St. Louis City SC +390, Draw +340 Chicago Fire β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Chicago Fire -0.5 -179, St. Louis City SC +50 +132 Chicago Fire -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 +107, Under 3.5 -143 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Fire -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately high scoring game over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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St. Louis City SC vs. Nashville SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

Game Overview

Nashville SC (14-5-6) visits St. Louis City SC (4-6-14) in an MLS regular-season match. Nashville is stronger this season with better form and defensive stats, while St. Louis has struggled both offensively and defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nashville averages 1.12 goals/game with 1.59 conceded and holds a 23% win rate, significantly better than St. Louis with 0.75 points/game, -16 goal difference, and 1.67 goals conceded per game.
  • Recent H2H data is limited; however, Nashville is generally the stronger side and currently priced as the favorite.
  • No major injury reports available for either team at this time.
  • Match played at St. Louis home ground CITYPARK, which may provide slight home advantage but St. Louis' poor defensive form diminishes this.
  • Nashville is competing for a higher playoff position with stronger recent form, while St. Louis is struggling and looking to improve their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nashville SC: 110, St. Louis City SC: 220, Draw: 270 Nashville SC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Nashville SC -0.5: 105, St. Louis City SC +50: -139 Nashville SC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 117 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nashville SC 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nashville SC 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC


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St. Louis City SC vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO, USA

Game Overview

St. Louis City SC (4-6-13) and Minnesota United FC (11-8-5) face off with Minnesota as a clear favorite due to better league standing and form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis ranks 28th with 18 points, poor offensive and defensive records (23 scored, 38 conceded). Minnesota is 8th with 41 points, better goal differential (40 scored, 27 conceded), and strong away form.
  • Minnesota United won the last matchup 3-2, suggesting a psychological edge.
  • No major injuries to starting goalkeepers Roman Burki (St. Louis) and Dayne St. Clair (Minnesota). No significant injury news impacting lineups.
  • Match played at St. Louis' home ground, but poor home form limits home advantage. Weather and other external factors appear standard.
  • St. Louis needs points desperately to avoid bottom, while Minnesota aims to consolidate playoff position, increasing their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota United FC 148, St. Louis City SC 168, Draw 250 Minnesota United FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Minnesota United FC -0.5 (140), St. Louis City SC +50 (-189) Minnesota United FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-156), Under 2.5 (116) Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota United FC 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Minnesota United FC at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota United to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and over 2.5 goals scored in total

Predicted Score: 1-2


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