Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals visit the Tampa Bay Rays in an interleague matchup featuring two sub-.500 teams both struggling recently. Tampa Bay is the slight favorite at home, but both teams have identical challenges in recent form and inconsistent pitching performances.
Key Factors to Consider
St. Louis is 3-7 in last 10 games, with a decent road ATS record (4-2). Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in last 7 games and 1-4 SU in last 5 games but has a stronger bullpen and home advantage.
Recent H2H data is limited, but Tampa Bay holds home field advantage. Liberatore (StL starter) faces his former team.
No major injuries reported impacting starters or key lineup members for either side.
Game played outdoors in Tampa; home team advantage likely significant. Rays recently swept a strong Yankees team, boosting confidence.
Liberatore pitching against former team could be a motivational edge for Cardinals. Rays aim to capitalize on home field to improve poor recent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays -126, St. Louis Cardinals +108
Tampa Bay Rays
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +160, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -194
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115
Over 9
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Run Line
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 6, St. Louis Cardinals 4
The Miami Marlins will host the St. Louis Cardinals at loanDepot park. Both teams are mid-standings with similar season records, but recent form and pitching matchup provide nuanced edges. The game is projected to be competitive with moderate run scoring around the 8.5 total line.
Key Factors to Consider
The Marlins have struggled recently with just 2 wins in their last 10 games and inconsistent bullpen performance. The Cardinals have a slightly better record (63-64) and have performed well on the road recently. Miami pitches Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 6.31 ERA) against Cardinals' Andre Pallante (6-10, 5.04 ERA), both underperforming this season.
The Cardinals have historically dominated with a 47-27 record versus Miami, including 24 wins on the road. However, Miami's last win in the H2H was a 10-3 blowout, while the most recent game was a 7-6 Cardinals victory. Average runs per game are close: Miami 4.27 at home, Cardinals 4.71 on road.
No major injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key players for either side have been noted, indicating near full-strength rosters.
Home field at loanDepot Park slightly favors Marlins, but weather and other external conditions are neutral with no impact on play.
Both teams seek to improve standings and break any losing streaks; marginally more urgency for Marlins due to weaker recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Miami Marlins: -118, St. Louis Cardinals: 100
Miami Marlins
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Miami Marlins -1.5: -205, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: 172
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
★★★☆☆ 67%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -104, Under 8.5: -118
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miami Marlins -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)
The New York Yankees (66-57) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (61-63) for the final game of their three-game series at Busch Stadium. Both teams have similar overall records and are motivated to secure a winning streak after splitting the previous two games. The probable starting pitchers are Will Warren (Yankees) and Miles Mikolas (Cardinals), with Warren having the pitching edge based on season stats.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have a stronger offensive profile, batting .250 with a .330 OBP and .447 slugging, and producing 5.1 runs per game (3rd in MLB). Pitching-wise, they have a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The Cardinals have a .243 team average and a higher pitching ERA of 4.97 (Miles Mikolas).
The teams have split their first two matchups of this series. Historical matchups favor the Yankees slightly, including Warren's positive track record against the Cardinals.
No significant injuries reported impacting either starting lineup or pitching staffs for this game.
The game is played at Busch Stadium, home of the Cardinals, which is moderately pitcher-friendly, but Yankees' offensive depth could mitigate that advantage.
Yankees aim to continue building momentum before a crucial upcoming stretch, while Cardinals look to even the series and improve their .500-ish season record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Yankees -146, Cardinals +124
Yankees
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Yankees -1.5 +112, Cardinals +1.5 -134
Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 -118, Under 9 -104
Over
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go over 9 total runs.
The St. Louis Cardinals (61-60) host the struggling Colorado Rockies (31-88) in a National League matchup. The Cardinals are favored with better recent form and a more effective starting pitcher matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Cardinals maintain a marginally above .500 record reflecting moderate consistency, while the Rockies are entrenched at the bottom of their division with only 31 wins. Cardinals have home advantage and are coming off competitive performances, while Rockies are on a poor season overall.
In recent head-to-head, the Rockies won the previous game 3-0 but this is an outlier given their poor pitching overall. Historically, Cardinals hold a performance edge and their starter McGreevy has a 1-0 record with 3.00 ERA against Rockies, while Rockies' Gomber has a 0-6 record with 6.52 ERA mostly struggling against St. Louis.
No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting pitching or lineup core for either side at this time.
Game played at Busch Stadium favors the home team Cardinals. No adverse weather or travel factors reported. Rockies head to a home series against the Diamondbacks after this game, possibly impacting motivation.
Cardinals are motivated to improve playoff positioning and capitalize on home advantage. Rockies are low motivation given record and upcoming tough series at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
St. Louis -205, Colorado +184
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
St. Louis -1.5 (-115), Colorado +1.5 (-105)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 9 (+110), Under 9 (-130)
Under 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5, Colorado Rockies 2
The Chicago Cubs (67-49) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (59-59) in an MLB regular season game with Cubs favored on the moneyline and run line. Starting pitchers are Shota Imanaga (Cubs) and Sonny Gray (Cardinals). The total runs line is set at 8.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs have a better overall record (67-49) compared to the Cardinals' .500 mark (59-59). The Cubs won the previous game convincingly (9-1) and have momentum going into this matchup.
In recent matchups, Cubs pitcher Imanaga has a strong track record against the Cardinals (2-0, 2.41 ERA). Cardinals' Gray has been solid with a 2.45 ERA in his last five starts versus the Cubs but overall has a higher ERA (4.21) this season.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key hitters.
Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals as the home team, but Cubs showed strong recent form on the road.
Cubs aim to complete a series sweep for confidence boost and maintain division lead, while Cardinals look to avoid series loss and stabilize after losing the previous game badly.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -120, St. Louis Cardinals +102
Chicago Cubs
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Chicago Cubs -1.5 +138, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -166
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8 -105, Under 8 -115
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs to win. Spread: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5. Over/Under: Under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3