Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: St. Louis (venue not explicitly specified in sources, assumed Busch Stadium)
Game Overview
The matchup features the New York Yankees visiting the St. Louis Cardinals shortly after the Yankees defeated the Cardinals 12-8 on August 16, 2025. The Yankees showed strong offensive momentum with multiple home runs and key RBIs from Ben Rice and Aaron Judge, while the Cardinals struggled with pitching despite some power hitting from Nolan Gorman and Masyn Winn.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees are currently 66-57, third in AL East, showing strong offensive firepower as evidenced by their 12-run output on August 16. The Cardinals stand at 61-63, fourth in NL Central, struggling on pitching with four consecutive losses and allowing high runs against the Yankees.
- Recent head-to-head form favors the Yankees who won the prior game 12-8 with critical contributions from Rice (7 RBIs) and Judge. Cardinals showed power but failed to contain Yankees' offense.
- No specific injury updates available in current data; however, pitching effectiveness issues apparent for both teams—Max Fried for Cardinals left after 5+ innings with high runs allowed.
- Game played in late summer, with no unusual external conditions reported. Weather and venue presumed neutral without factors significantly affecting gameplay.
- Yankees have motivation to continue momentum after a strong recent win and to solidify standings in the AL East. Cardinals are motivated to break a losing streak and defend home turf against a playoff-contender Yankees squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees: -146, St. Louis Cardinals: 124 | New York Yankees to win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | New York Yankees: -1.5 112, St. Louis Cardinals: 1.5 -134 | New York Yankees to cover -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 9 -118, Under: 9 -104 | Over 9 runs | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 9 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on current performance, momentum, and odds, the New York Yankees are favored to win the match, continuing their recent offensive dominance over the Cardinals.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 7 – St. Louis Cardinals 4