Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 6:15 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals (61-60) host the struggling Colorado Rockies (31-88) in a National League matchup. The Cardinals are favored with better recent form and a more effective starting pitcher matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals maintain a marginally above .500 record reflecting moderate consistency, while the Rockies are entrenched at the bottom of their division with only 31 wins. Cardinals have home advantage and are coming off competitive performances, while Rockies are on a poor season overall.
- In recent head-to-head, the Rockies won the previous game 3-0 but this is an outlier given their poor pitching overall. Historically, Cardinals hold a performance edge and their starter McGreevy has a 1-0 record with 3.00 ERA against Rockies, while Rockies' Gomber has a 0-6 record with 6.52 ERA mostly struggling against St. Louis.
- No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting pitching or lineup core for either side at this time.
- Game played at Busch Stadium favors the home team Cardinals. No adverse weather or travel factors reported. Rockies head to a home series against the Diamondbacks after this game, possibly impacting motivation.
- Cardinals are motivated to improve playoff positioning and capitalize on home advantage. Rockies are low motivation given record and upcoming tough series at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis -205, Colorado +184 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | St. Louis -1.5 (-115), Colorado +1.5 (-105) | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 9 (+110), Under 9 (-130) | Under 9 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5, Colorado Rockies 2