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Derby County vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Derby County vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Derby County Home Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Southampton in an EFL Championship fixture where both teams are closely matched in points early in the season. Southampton are slight favorites on the moneyline but Derby has shown resilience at home. Recent form indicates both teams have had several draws and moderate scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has accumulated 6 points with 3 draws and a mixed form at home, showing a tendency towards cautious play. Southampton has 7 points, also with multiple draws, indicating stability but difficulty in converting to wins.
  • Historical matchups show a pattern of draws between these two squads, with tight scorelines and few decisive outcomes.
  • No significant injury news strongly affecting key players on either side has been reported, implying full-strength squads likely.
  • Match played at Derby’s home venue could grant slight advantage due to familiar conditions and local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral for both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated to gather maximum points early in the season to avoid pressure later. Derby at home will be keen to avoid defeat, and Southampton aims to maintain slight momentum as the away side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 240, Southampton: 113, Draw: 215 Southampton ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Derby County +25: 104, Southampton -0.25: -124 Southampton -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -107, Under 2.25: -113 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Southampton win; Spread: Southampton -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Sheffield United vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-30
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Sheffield United Home Stadium

Game Overview

A tightly matched EFL Championship game between Sheffield United and Southampton, with both sides showing mixed recent form and strong historical competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sheffield United has won 2 of their last 5 (losing 3), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Southampton have struggled more recently, winning only 1 of their last 5 with a low scoring rate (0.6 goals per match) but conceding 2.6 on average.
  • Southampton lead the overall H2H with 6 wins to Sheffield's 4 wins out of 12 games since 2005. However, recent matchups show Sheffield United performing more competitively. Southampton scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 meetings.
  • No specific injury data provided, indicating no notable absences reported for key players from either side in the upcoming fixture.
  • No direct external factors such as weather or travel appear impactful; Sheffield benefits slightly from home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve league standing. Sheffield United has a slight momentum edge based on recent performance and home field status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sheffield United: +152, Southampton: +156, Draw: +235 Sheffield United ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Sheffield United -0: -112, Southampton -0: -108 Sheffield United -0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sheffield United 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sheffield United win; Spread: Sheffield United -0; Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Southampton vs. Middlesbrough Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Middlesbrough – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton host Middlesbrough in an EFL Championship clash where both teams have shown competitive form this season. Southampton have a slight historical edge in head-to-head records and currently hold a home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton have secured 3 wins in their last 6 meetings with Middlesbrough, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game recently. Middlesbrough have shown resilience with 2 wins in the last 6 meetings and scoring around 1.3 goals per game, but they are slightly behind in overall form and goal production this season.
  • Southampton lead the recent head-to-head series with 9 wins to Middlesbrough's 7 in total historical matchups, and 8 draws. The matches tend to be moderately high scoring with average goals around 2.5 combined.
  • No significant injury information provided; both squads appear close to full strength with key players active, including top scorers Ryan Manning and Tommy Conway for their respective teams.
  • The game is played at Southampton’s home venue, St Mary's Stadium, giving Southampton a familiar environment and crowd support. No adverse weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Southampton, aiming to consolidate their home form early in the season, may be slightly more motivated given their position and home advantage, while Middlesbrough will look to capitalize on any gaps but are under pressure to avoid defeat on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: 131, Middlesbrough: 180, Draw: 235 Southampton ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Southampton -0.25: 105, Middlesbrough +25: -125 Southampton -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Southampton at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline with a close scoreline and a moderately low total goals outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Hull City vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Hull City vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KCOM Stadium

Game Overview

Hull City hosts Southampton in an EFL Championship match where Southampton enters as a slight favorite based on recent form and odds. Both teams show mixed recent results but Southampton's away capability and squad strength give them a competitive edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hull City has recent form of 1 win, 2 losses, 2 draws in their last 5 matches, showing inconsistency, while Southampton's last 5 are 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, indicating defensive solidity and steady point accumulation away from home.
  • Recent meetings tend to favor Southampton slightly, with them often managing positive results or close games, leveraging better away performance trends against Hull.
  • No major injury updates indicate key players missing for either side, allowing both teams to field close to their best starting elevens.
  • The match being at Hull's home ground may provide some advantage, but travel for Southampton is not expected to negatively impact their performance significantly.
  • Southampton appears more motivated to secure points early in the season to push for promotion contention, whereas Hull City is focused on stabilizing their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 193, away: 119, draw: 250 Southampton ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -115, away: -105 Southampton -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win (Moneyline), Southampton -0.25 (Spread), Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Southampton vs. Portsmouth Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Portsmouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium

Game Overview

Southampton and Portsmouth face off in the South Coast derby, a rivalry marked by historical competitiveness but recent disparity in form and league positions. Southampton has more wins historically but has struggled defensively this season, while Portsmouth has shown more resilience and better Asian handicap performance recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Portsmouth has drawn 3 and won 1 of their last 5 matches with a decent defensive record, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Southampton has been less consistent, winning 2, drawing 1, and losing 2 recently, with a concerning average of 2.2 goals conceded per game.
  • In 9 meetings since 2003, Southampton leads with 5 wins, Portsmouth 3 wins, and 2 draws. Recent direct matches show a mix of draws and narrow Southampton victories, indicating a closely contested rivalry.
  • Current squad injury data is limited but no major absences reported for either side likely to impact key players significantly.
  • Southampton’s home advantage at St. Mary’s Stadium should factor positively, but recent home form has been poor. The derby rivalry and proximity increase game intensity and motivation on both sides.
  • Portsmouth’s motivation is high to prove competitive following their recent Championship survival, while Southampton aims to re-establish dominance and build momentum after relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -149, Portsmouth: 350, Draw: 280 Southampton ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Southampton -0.75: -112, Portsmouth +75: -108 Southampton -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Watford vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Watford vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vicarage Road Stadium

Game Overview

Watford hosts Southampton in the EFL Championship with both teams showing mixed recent form. Southampton is slight favorite but has struggled for consistency, while Watford aims to leverage home advantage after stabilizing results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Watford has been inconsistent but unbeaten in last 3 Championship matches (1W, 2D); Southampton is winless in last 3 Championship games but has stronger recent attacking numbers and better overall recent scoring form.
  • Southampton dominates recent H2H with 10 wins to Watford's 2 and 8 draws; Southampton is unbeaten in last 5 meetings (2W, 3D) against Watford.
  • No major injury reports for either side that would significantly alter the lineup or tactics.
  • No adverse external conditions reported; neutral weather and home pitch advantage for Watford could be a factor.
  • Southampton seeks to avoid continuing a poor run in the Championship to keep promotion hopes alive, while Watford is motivated to capitalize at home to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: +130, Watford: +195, Draw: +220 Southampton ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Southampton -0.25: +102, Watford +25: -122 Watford +0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Southampton at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline, Watford +0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Southampton vs. Stoke City Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Stoke City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium

Game Overview

Southampton hosts Stoke City in an English Championship Round 3 match at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton are unbeaten in their last six clashes, while Stoke have shown strong home and away form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in recent games with 7 goals scored in the last 5 matches. Stoke City is in good form, with a commanding 3-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday and a 3-1 victory against Derby recently.
  • Across 23 recorded meetings, Southampton has 9 wins, Stoke City 8 wins, and 6 draws. Neither team has drawn in the last 3 encounters. Southampton are unbeaten in 6 matches against Stoke.
  • Southampton faces absences with James Bree (leg) and William Smallbone (calf) out until early September, impacting squad depth.
  • Southampton benefits from home advantage playing at St. Mary's Stadium. Stoke City faces travel and less favorable away conditions.
  • Southampton aims to remain unbeaten and maintain strong home form early in the Championship. Stoke looks to build on convincing recent wins and challenge on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -145, Stoke City: 355, Draw: 270 Southampton ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Southampton: -0.75 -108, Stoke City: 75 -112 Southampton -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 goal spread, and the total goals to go over 2.5.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Ipswich Town vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Portman Road Stadium

Game Overview

Ipswich Town host Southampton in an EFL Championship match where both teams showed solid early form. Ipswich drew their season opener with Birmingham, displaying defensive resilience, while Southampton won their first match against Wrexham, showing attacking confidence.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ipswich Town have demonstrated defensive solidity but a less potent attack, while Southampton are coming off a confident win with dynamic offensive play. Ipswich’s home form and discipline contrast with Southampton’s attacking rhythm.
  • Recent encounters show a slight edge to Southampton, who finished above Ipswich last season and won the corresponding fixture. Ipswich’s resilience at home can offset this to an extent.
  • No major injuries were reported for either side that would significantly impact their starting lineups.
  • The match is at Ipswich’s home stadium, providing them with home advantage and support. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for August with no notable disruptions.
  • Ipswich seek to capitalize on home advantage to gain early points and start their season strongly, while Southampton aim to maintain momentum after a winning start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ipswich Town: -102, Southampton: 250, Draw: 240 Ipswich Town ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Ipswich Town -0.5: 102, Southampton +50: -122 Ipswich Town -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ipswich Town -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ipswich Town to win on the moneyline with a narrow 2-1 scoreline, reflecting their home defensive strength versus Southampton’s attacking threat.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Southampton vs. Wrexham AFC Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Wrexham AFC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton, with recent Premier League experience and stronger squad depth, face newly promoted Wrexham AFC. Southampton enter as favorites with home advantage, while Wrexham are seen as underdogs despite significant investment.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton recently relegated from Premier League, expected to perform strongly given squad quality. Wrexham newly promoted, having invested in players but lack Championship experience.
  • No recent direct Championship-level head to head data due to Wrexham's recent promotion; Southampton generally superior in history and quality.
  • No significant injury reports on either side affecting key starters as of current date.
  • Match played at Southampton's home stadium giving them familiar environment and crowd support. Early season match with motivation to start strong.
  • Southampton motivated to immediately push for promotion return. Wrexham motivated to prove Championship capability but face tough test.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -146, Draw: 265, Wrexham AFC: 365 Southampton ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Southampton -0.75 (-108), Wrexham +75 (-112) Southampton -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Southampton vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton will host Arsenal for the final match of the Premier League season at St. Mary's Stadium. Arsenal are clear favorites, showing strong recent form in the league, while Southampton face injury challenges and have struggled for consistent results. The match is critical for Arsenal to possibly secure or consolidate their top-table standing, whereas Southampton look to end their campaign positively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have shown dominant performance in recent matches, securing a 3-1 victory over Southampton earlier this season and holding positive momentum towards the end of the campaign. Southampton's form has been mixed, with injury setbacks affecting key players and a line-up that lacks depth compared to Arsenal.
  • In the last five meetings, Arsenal have the upper hand with three wins, including a recent 3-1 victory on 5 October 2024. Southampton managed a draw and a single victory during this period, indicating Arsenal's overall superior performance against them.
  • Southampton face notable absences including Albert Gronbaek, Charlie Taylor, and Ryan Fraser still sidelined. Jan Bednarek is doubtful, while Kyle Walker-Peters is expected to play despite recent illness. Arsenal have updates on William Saliba and Jurrien Timber but no clear major injury disruptions reported.
  • The match is played at Southampton’s home ground, which may offer some advantage, but Arsenal’s superior squad quality and season-long form mitigate this factor. The game is not televised in the UK but has radio commentary, affecting viewer reach.
  • Arsenal are motivated to secure as high a finish as possible in the league standings and possibly set or maintain records approaching the season's end. Southampton are motivated to finish the season strongly at home, but their objectives are less critical compared to Arsenal's ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -350, Southampton: 780, Draw: 460 Arsenal win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Arsenal: -1.5 -128, Southampton: 1.5 -104 Arsenal -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 118, Under 3.5: -157 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal are expected to win comfortably based on form, squad strength, and historical performance. Southampton may struggle to contain Arsenal’s attacking options, and Arsenal's defensive solidity should limit Southampton's scoring chances.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 3 – 1 Southampton


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