Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Simeon Powell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

This light heavyweight semifinal bout in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7 pits veteran Antonio Carlos Jr. (17-6) against rising contender Simeon Powell (11-1). Carlos Jr., a former PFL champion and American Top Team fighter, seeks his second tournament title. Powell, an English fighter with one loss, aims to continue his recent winning streak and reach the finals. The bout promises a clash of experience against youth and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Antonio Carlos Jr. has delivered strong recent performances, winning six of his last seven fights, including a split decision over Karl Moore in the quarterfinals. Simeon Powell carries momentum from back-to-back wins since his sole career loss in 2023, notably finishing Karl Albrektsson with elbows and punches in the second round on May 1.
• Carlos Jr. and Powell have no recorded previous encounters, making this a fresh matchup without direct historical data.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, which is a familiar venue for Carlos Jr., possibly providing a psychological edge. The stakes are high with a finals berth on the line.
• Carlos Jr. is driven by the prospect of securing his second PFL championship in five years, while Powell aims to establish himself as a top contender by advancing to the finals for the first time.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: +145, Simeon Powell: -175	Simeon Powell	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Antonio Carlos Junior: +1.5, Simeon Powell: -1.5	Simeon Powell -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Simeon Powell -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simeon Powell at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simeon Powell is favored to win due to his current momentum and slightly better odds, but Antonio Carlos Jr.'s championship experience and strong recent form make this a closely contested fight. A decision or late finish is likely, with Powell edging the victory.

Predicted Score: Simeon Powell wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 3

Match Analysis: Simeon Powell vs Karl Albrektsson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-02
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

Simeon Powell and Karl Albrektsson are set to clash in an exciting MMA bout as part of the PFL Challenger Series. Powell, standing at 6'5'' and weighing 206 lbs, faces Karl Albrektsson, who is 6'2'' and 205 lbs. The fight promises to be intense given the competitive profiles of both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds. Simeon Powell has a record of 10-1-0, while Karl Albrektsson stands at 14-5-0. Powell's physical stature might give him an advantage in reach.
• No past head-to-head results available.
• No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter.
• The venue in Orlando could host a supportive crowd, but its impact on either fighter is uncertain.
• Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the PFL tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Karl Albrektsson: +160, Simeon Powell: -190	Simeon Powell	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Simeon Powell -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simeon Powell at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simeon Powell is favored due to his recent performance and physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision: Simeon Powell wins via Unanimous Decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Simeon Powell vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction	Simeon Powell Win	-190	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction	Oleg Popov Win	-245	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction	Alexander Romanov Win	-500	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +158

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $51.58