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Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Karl Williams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Available

Game Overview

This MMA bout between Oleg Popov and Karl Williams is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Oleg Popov, known for his previous success with a streak of 17 consecutive wins, recently suffered a loss to Denis Goltsov. Karl Williams replaces Linton Vassell in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleg Popov's recent loss may have a psychological impact, but he has shown resilience with a strong record. Karl Williams stepping in as a replacement might have less preparation time, potentially affecting his performance.
  • There is no prior head-to-head between these fighters, which makes predicting based on past matchups challenging.
  • No reported injuries are available for this matchup.
  • The PFL tournament structure could add pressure on both fighters to perform well for advancement.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win in a tournament setting.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oleg Popov: -245, Karl Williams: 195 Oleg Popov Not available
Over/under over: -210, under: 170 Under 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 82%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov is favored to win due to his overall experience and past success in the PFL.

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by decision or early stoppage, potentially in round 2.


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Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Karl Williams – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-02 Time: 11:30 PM UTC Location: Not Available Game Overview This MMA bout between Oleg Popov and Karl Williams is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Oleg Popov, known for his previous success with a streak of 17 consecutive wins, recently suffered […]

Karl Williams May 1, 2025 MMA/Boxing Oleg Popov

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Sullivan Cauley vs. Marcelo Nunes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sullivan Cauley vs Marcelo Nunes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

This match between Sullivan Cauley and Marcelo Nunes is part of the PFL tournament, offering an interesting clash of styles. Cauley, known for his aggressive approach, faces Nunes, a skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sullivan Cauley has a record of 6-1-0, while Marcelo Nunes stands at 11-2-0. Both fighters have solid records, but Nunes' experience might give him an edge.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
  • Their fighting styles will significantly influence the match. Cauley's aggression against Nunes' grappling skills.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as this is a crucial match in the PFL tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -170 for Sullivan Cauley, 140 for Marcelo Nunes Sullivan Cauley ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: 150, Under 1.5: -180 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sullivan Cauley 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sullivan Cauley is favored to win given his more aggressive style and favorable moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Sullivan Cauley due to his aggressive fighting style potentially leading to a decision victory.


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Alex Polizzi vs. Rafael Xavier Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alex Polizzi vs Rafael Xavier – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida, USA

Game Overview

Light heavyweight prelims bout in PFL's 2025 World Tournament. Polizzi (USA) faces Xavier (Germany) in a matchup of fighters seeking momentum. No prior H2H history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Polizzi (1-3 in last 4 fights) struggles against top competition but has UFC-level experience. Xavier (0-1 in Bellator) is relatively untested at this level.
  • No previous meetings[5]
  • No reported injuries
  • Prelim positioning increases urgency for both fighters. Potential stylistic clash between Polizzi's grappling (6 career subs) and Xavier's unreported base.
  • Critical bout for Polizzi to avoid 4-fight skid. Xavier making PFL debut needing statement win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Polizzi -185 / Xavier +150 Polizzi moneyline ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Polizzi 55%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alex Polizzi at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Polizzi by decision (55% confidence) – Experience edge and home advantage offset recent losses. Xavier's untested record against veteran competition remains concerning.

Predicted Score: Polizzi via unanimous decision (29-28)


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Don Sno vs. Younes Smaili Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Don Sno vs Younes Smaili – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Glory Underground

Game Overview

The kickboxing match between Don Sno and Younes Smaili is set to take place on May 1, 2025, at Glory Underground. Don Sno, known for his recent KO victory, faces Younes Smaili, a seasoned fighter with a strong record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Don Sno is coming off an emphatic KO victory, boosting his confidence, while Younes Smaili has an impressive win-loss record. However, this match is in kickboxing, not MMA.
  • There is no documented head-to-head history between Don Sno and Younes Smaili.
  • No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The venue could favor fighters with strong fan support, but specifics are not clear.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Don Sno looking to maintain his winning streak and Younes Smaili aiming to assert his dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the lack of specific data on MMA performance (since the match is kickboxing), a careful analysis suggests Younes Smaili might have an edge due to his extensive experience in similar combat sports.

Predicted Score: Younes Smaili to win by points or late stoppage.


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Stefan Latescu vs. Michael Boapeah Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Stefan Latescu vs Michael Boapeah – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 1, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Betr Warehouse, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

Stefan Latescu faces Michael Boapeah in a highly anticipated light heavyweight contest. Latescu is a dynamic puncher, while Boapeah recently made a strong debut in the same weight class.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Latescu is ranked #6, known for explosive punches. Boapeah is ranked #7 but recently performed well.
  • First meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • High-profile event with significant fan interest.
  • Both have strong motivations to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stefan Latescu (-125), Michael Boapeah (+105) Stefan Latescu ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Stefan Latescu -1.5 (-110), Michael Boapeah +1.5 (-110) Latescu to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (+100) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stefan Latescu is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Stefan Latescu unless Boapeah lands a decisive KO.


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Alex Polizzi vs. Rafael Alves Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alex Polizzi vs Rafael Alves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup features Alex Polizzi facing Rafael Xavier in a light heavyweight alternate bout during the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Polizzi holds a record of 11-4, while Xavier has a record of 13-8.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alex Polizzi has a relatively lesser experience compared to Rafael Xavier but has maintained a consistent performance in his recent fights. Xavier's additional experience might give him an edge.
  • There is no available head-to-head data for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The mindset and preparation leading up to this high-stakes tournament are crucial for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, aiming for a spot in the main tournament bracket.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Polizzi: -230, Rafael Xavier: 160 Alex Polizzi Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Polizzi -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alex Polizzi at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alex Polizzi is favored due to his recent form and favorable odds. However, Rafael Xavier's experience could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights.


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Abraham Bably vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Abraham Bably vs Rodrigo Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Heavyweight matchup in the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Nascimento (11-3-0) enters with a significant experience edge over relative newcomer Bably (5-1-0), though current odds favor Nascimento (-135). The Brazilian's superior reach (6'2" vs 5'10") and proven finishing ability (5 KOs, 2 subs) contrast with Bably's less documented style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nascimento shows consistent performance across decisions (3) and finishes (7). Bably's limited record lacks signature wins against ranked opponents.
  • No prior meeting. Nascimento's experience against UFC-caliber opposition contrasts with Bably's regional-level resume.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Nascimento's Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu base could dominate if fight goes to ground. Bably's compact frame may aid defensive grappling but limits strike defense.
  • Both fighters need win to advance in PFL's tournament format with $1 million prize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bably -105, Nascimento -135 Nascimento ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds (-150) / Under 1.5 rounds (+120) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodrigo Nascimento 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodrigo Nascimento at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nascimento by decision or late TKO. His 264lb frame and cardio edge should wear down Bably in later rounds.

Predicted Score: Nascimento via TKO (Round 3)


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Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexander Romanov vs Timothy Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Alexander Romanov faces Timothy Johnson in a heavyweight MMA bout at the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Romanov holding a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Johnson known for his aggressive fighting style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Romanov has a strong BJJ background and a solid KO/TKO record, which could be crucial against Johnson's more traditional striking style.
  • No historical head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • Both fighters will be competing in Orlando, Florida, which could favor Romanov if crowd support plays a role.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the tournament setting and potential for significant career advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 (Romanov), 375 (Johnson) Romanov ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexander Romanov 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexander Romanov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Romanov is favored to win due to his well-rounded skillset and higher finish rate.

Predicted Score: Romanov wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Simeon Powell vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Simeon Powell vs Karl Albrektsson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

Simeon Powell and Karl Albrektsson are set to clash in an exciting MMA bout as part of the PFL Challenger Series. Powell, standing at 6'5'' and weighing 206 lbs, faces Karl Albrektsson, who is 6'2'' and 205 lbs. The fight promises to be intense given the competitive profiles of both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds. Simeon Powell has a record of 10-1-0, while Karl Albrektsson stands at 14-5-0. Powell's physical stature might give him an advantage in reach.
  • No past head-to-head results available.
  • No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The venue in Orlando could host a supportive crowd, but its impact on either fighter is uncertain.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the PFL tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Karl Albrektsson: +160, Simeon Powell: -190 Simeon Powell ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Simeon Powell -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simeon Powell at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simeon Powell is favored due to his recent performance and physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision: Simeon Powell wins via Unanimous Decision


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Valentin Moldavsky vs. Sergey Bilostenniy Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valentin Moldavsky vs Sergey Bilostenniy – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Valentin Moldavsky and Sergey Bilostenniy will face off in a highly anticipated MMA match as part of the PFL Challenger Series. Moldavsky, known for his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills, is favored with a moneyline of -135, while Bilostenniy is a close underdog at 105. Both fighters have similar win-loss records, with Moldavsky at 13-4-0 and Bilostenniy at 13-3-0. The fight lacks recent head-to-head statistics, making past performances and fighter profiles crucial for prediction.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds. Valentin Moldavsky, with his BJJ expertise, might focus on ground fighting, while Sergey Bilostenniy could rely on his size and reach.
  • No recent head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Motivation will be high for both fighters as they look for a victory in the PFL series.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a win and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valentin Moldavsky: -135, Sergey Bilostenniy: +105 Valentin Moldavsky ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valentin Moldavsky -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentin Moldavsky at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valentin Moldavsky is likely to win based on his favored odds and BJJ skills, which could provide an edge in a close fight.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA does not use a traditional score)


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