Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Elche CF – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain
Game Overview
Sevilla and Elche CF will face each other in a La Liga Round 4 match at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. Sevilla currently ranks 12th in the league standings, while Elche holds 7th position. Both teams have shown competitive form in the early season, with Sevilla having a slight home advantage in a historic venue. The match carries significance for both clubs to improve their league positions early in the campaign.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sevilla has been solid defensively with 1 clean sheet and 2 goals conceded in recent matches, while scoring 4 goals. Elche is performing slightly better in league standing with 7th place and has shown competitive offensive efforts. Sevilla’s top players include Alfonso Gonzales and German Valera, whereas Elche’s key contributors are Alvaro Rodriguez and Orjan Nyland, the latter also contributing defensively with clean sheets.
- Historically, Sevilla holds the home advantage with stronger results against Elche, but matches between these teams have been competitive. Sevilla tends to edge out Elche in matches at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Detailed head-to-head results suggest a trend favoring Sevilla but with a possibility of close contests.
- No specific injury updates are available in the current data, suggesting both teams are likely near full strength for this encounter.
- Playing at Sevilla's home ground, Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, provides a strong atmosphere and possible crowd support. Weather and travel factors are typical for a domestic league match and unlikely to significantly affect performance.
- Sevilla, sitting 12th, will be motivated to secure points at home to climb the table, while Elche aims to consolidate and improve their top-half position, bringing strong motivation for both teams to perform.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sevilla: -101, Elche: 310, Draw: 225 | Sevilla win | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | Sevilla: -0.5 -102, Elche: 50 -118 | Sevilla -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sevilla 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sevilla are favored to win the match based on home advantage, recent defensive solidity, and historical head-to-head performance. However, Elche's higher league position and offensive potential suggest a competitive game with chances on both sides. A closely fought victory for Sevilla is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: Sevilla 2 – 1 Elche