Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 26, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Montreal Alouettes vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction	Under 50.5	-110	15%
Oregon State Beavers vs. Houston Cougars Prediction	Under 47.5	-114	13%
BC Lions vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction	Over 57.5	-114	13%

Combined Odds: +573 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $134.55

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction	San Francisco Giants -1.5	-113	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Prediction	Houston Astros Win	-140	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction	Atlanta Braves Win	-156	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +430

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $106.05

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oregon State Beavers vs. Houston Cougars Prediction	Houston Cougars -13.5	-110	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction	Florida State Seminoles Win	-255	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Montreal Alouettes vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction	Montreal Alouettes Win	-200	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +299

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $79.73

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 9:50 AM UTC
• Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a high-stakes NRL Preliminary Final. Melbourne, the premiership favorites, have a strong home ground advantage at AAMI Park with an elite defensive system and precise attack. Cronulla is capable of scoring and can provide a competitive contest, but breaking through Melbourne's defense is notably challenging.

Key Factors to Consider

• Melbourne Storm rank 1 in power rankings with an average attack scoring 9 more points per game than Cronulla, who rank 11. Storm demonstrate superior home form and disciplined gameplay, while Sharks possess notable attacking threats but have struggled against Storm at AAMI Park historically.
• Across 49 matches since 1998, Melbourne leads with 31 wins to Cronulla's 18. At Melbourne's home ground AAMI Park, Storm have an overwhelming advantage winning 14 out of 17 encounters, scoring 497 points to Sharks' 199.
• No specific injury information available in current data for either team prior to the match.
• The match is played at Melbourne's rectangular stadium, where Storm's fortress-like home advantage is significant. Weather or other external forcings are not specified.
• Being a preliminary final, both teams are highly motivated, but Melbourne’s experience in big games and status as premiership favorites give them an edge in pressure situations.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm: -278, Cronulla Sharks: 210	Melbourne Storm win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Melbourne Storm: -8.5 (-115), Cronulla Sharks: +8.5 (-115)	Melbourne Storm to cover -8.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 40.5 (-114), Under: 40.5 (-114)	Over 40.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 40.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win with a moderately high confidence due to home dominance, superior power ranking, and historical H2H success.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – 16 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 1:41 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Game Overview

The final game of a 3-game MLB series between the Seattle Mariners and the Colorado Rockies. Seattle is hosting Colorado at T-Mobile Park with Mariners' starter Woody (15-7, 2.94 ERA) against Rockies' starter Blalock (2-5, 9.16 ERA). The Mariners have been strong at home and have solid pitching stats compared to the Rockies, who have struggled with pitching consistency and a high ERA on their starter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Seattle Mariners have shown strong overall performance with key wins recently and boasting a solid 15-7 record by their starter Woo, who maintains a strong 2.94 ERA. Colorado Rockies have struggled offensively and especially with pitching; Blalock has a 9.16 ERA with 2 wins and 5 losses, indicating probable vulnerability on the mound.
• In the current 3-game series, Seattle Mariners have dominated, winning the first two games including recent shutout victories, leveraging strong pitching and home advantage.
• No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineup or pitching staff currently for this match.
• Game played at Mariners' home stadium, T-Mobile Park, providing Seattle with familiar conditions and home crowd support. Weather conditions not reported as impactful. The Mariners may also have lineup motivation as they approach postseason contention.
• Seattle is motivated to secure a series sweep and consolidate their playoff position, while Colorado aims to spoil the sweep but faces tough pitching challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado Rockies: +184, Seattle Mariners: -220	Seattle Mariners	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Colorado Rockies: +1.5 at -114, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 at -105	Seattle Mariners -1.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110	Under 8	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Seattle Mariners -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners predicted to win decisively given stronger pitching, home advantage, and recent form. The probable final score favors the Mariners by a margin of at least 2 runs.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – Colorado Rockies 2

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 1:39 AM UTC
• Location: Angel Stadium, Los Angeles

Game Overview

The upcoming MLB match between the Los Angeles Angels and Kansas City Royals features two teams with recent competitive history. The Royals defeated the Angels 8-4 on September 23, 2025, showing strong offensive performances, while the Angels won against the Royals 5-1 earlier in the series. The Royals have a 79-78 season record and are currently 36-40 away, whereas the Angels have a 70-87 season record with 37-39 at home. The pitchers starting the game are RHP Ryan Bergert (Royals, 2-1, 2.67 ERA) and RHP Caden Dana (Angels, 0-0, 7.50 ERA), which could influence the pitching duel dynamics.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Royals have demonstrated stronger recent offensive capability, securing an 8-4 win with notable contributions from Bobby Witt Jr., Adam Frazier, and Salvador Perez. The Angels have struggled with consistency but showed resilience with a 5-1 win featuring Jo Adell's strong bat and Mitch Farris's solid pitching debut performance. Pitching depth favors the Royals with Bergert’s 2.67 ERA compared to Dana’s unproven status and higher ERA.
• Recent head-to-head matches display a split with the Royals winning on September 23 by 8-4 and the Angels taking a 5-1 win earlier. The same teams have shown some parity, but the Royals have slightly edged the Angels in offensive production lately.
• Mike Trout, a star slugger for the Angels, is currently day-to-day due to a skin infection on his left arm, possibly impacting the Angels' offensive strength. No noted injuries reported for the Royals.
• The game is held at Angel Stadium, a friendly environment for the Angels, though their home record is subpar. Weather or other external elements were not specified but should be monitored closer to game time.
• The Royals were recently eliminated from postseason contention, which might reduce pressure but also motivation levels. The Angels have similarly disappointing season results, possibly focusing on player development or ending on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kansas City Royals: -108, Los Angeles Angels: -108	Kansas City Royals	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Kansas City Royals: -1.5 146, Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 -178	Kansas City Royals -1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 9 -122, Under: 9 100	Over 9 runs	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kansas City Royals 12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 9 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kansas City Royals at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Royals’ stronger recent offensive production, superior ERA of the starting pitcher, and momentum from their latest win, they are favored narrowly over the Angels despite holding away team status. However, the Angels' home advantage and motivation to rebound keep this competitive.

Predicted Score: Royals 6 – Angels 4

Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-25
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio UNO Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata, Argentina

Game Overview

This is the decisive second leg of the 2025-2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-finals. Flamengo holds an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1 away. Estudiantes La Plata aims to overturn the deficit playing at home with key players Santiago Ascacíbar and Guido Carrillo, while Flamengo relies on their stars Pedro and Giorgian de Arrascaeta to maintain their lead.

Key Factors to Consider

• Flamengo showed strong offensive power and tactical dominance in the first leg, scoring early and effectively controlling the match despite a red card incident. Estudiantes have struggled recently in the Argentine league with only one win in their last five matches and key defensive injuries, including Leandro González Pírez out for a month.
• Recent Copa Libertadores quarter-final first leg ended 2-1 in favor of Flamengo. Historically, Flamengo has been a more consistent continental performer, but Estudiantes is known for resilience on home soil.
• Estudiantes have at least two major absences: defender Leandro González Pírez and winger Edwuin Cetré, both significantly weakening their defensive and offensive options. Flamengo’s squad is expected near full strength.
• The match will be played at Estudiantes’ home stadium. The crowd and home advantage could boost Estudiantes’ motivation. Weather and pitch conditions have not been reported as concerns.
• Estudiantes are highly motivated to overturn the deficit and continue their Libertadores campaign. Flamengo is motivated to protect their lead and progress to the semifinals, considered one of the favorites in this edition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Estudiantes La Plata: 255, Flamengo-RJ: 115, Draw: 230	Flamengo-RJ	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Estudiantes La Plata: 25 -105, Flamengo-RJ: -0.25 -125	Flamengo-RJ -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 2 -130, Under: 2 100	Over 2 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Flamengo-RJ 23%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is favored to win or at least secure a draw to advance, but Estudiantes’ home advantage and desperation might push for a close match. Expect a competitive game with cautious play from Flamengo and attacking urgency from Estudiantes.

Predicted Score: 1-2 Flamengo-RJ

Match Analysis: Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 12:16 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Game Overview

The Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks, both entering the game with 2-1 records, face off in a pivotal NFC West matchup. The Cardinals play at home in Glendale, which may provide a slight edge. Both teams have demonstrated strong offensive output early in the season, with key contributions from quarterbacks Kyler Murray for the Cardinals and a proficient offensive lineup for the Seahawks. Historical parity and current form suggest a closely contested game.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Cardinals have shown solid form at home (1-0), a balanced offense with Kyler Murray passing 542 yards, 4 TDs, and 1 INT through first three weeks. The Seahawks also hold a strong 1-0 away record with a 2-1 overall standing, marked by a competent passing game (52 completions on 74 attempts, 4 TDs, 2 INTs). Running back T. Benson for the Cardinals leads in rushing yards with 163 yards and 3 TDs, indicating a reliable ground game. Both teams' offenses have contributed significantly to their wins and will be crucial.
• The two NFC West rivals have a competitive history, with recent matchups often closely contested given their similar records and division standings. Both teams are tied in win percentage (0.667), indicating evenly matched squads. The home advantage for the Cardinals may tip the balance slightly, but the Seahawks have shown resilience on the road.
• No significant injury reports found for either team that are expected to affect key starters drastically in this matchup, indicating both rosters are near full strength.
• The game is played outdoors at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ, with hot weather conditions (around 105°F) that could impact physical stamina and game tempo. The venue and hot temperature may favor the Cardinals, accustomed to such climates.
• Both teams are highly motivated to assert dominance early in the season within the NFC West. The Cardinals, playing at home, seek to consolidate their position, while the Seahawks aim to prove their strength on the road to stay competitive in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arizona Cardinals: -115, Seattle Seahawks: -105	Arizona Cardinals to win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Arizona Cardinals -1.5: -102, Seattle Seahawks +1.5: -118	Arizona Cardinals -1.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 43.5: -110, Under 43.5: -110	Under 43.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arizona Cardinals -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 43.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the closely matched stats, home advantage, and recent form, a narrow victory for the Arizona Cardinals is expected with a moderate confidence level due to evenly matched talent and performance histories.

Predicted Score: Arizona Cardinals 24 – 20 Seattle Seahawks