Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 17, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
River Plate vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction	River Plate	145	37%
Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction	Real Salt Lake	200	32%
Botafogo vs. Mirassol Prediction	Under 2.25	-102	23%

Combined Odds: +1356 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $291.12

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Feyenoord vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction	Feyenoord -1.5	-119	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
River Plate vs. Palmeiras	River Plate -0.25	108	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction	New York City FC -0.5	119	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +738

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $167.66

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction	Texas Rangers Win	-122	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction	Atlanta Braves Win	-150	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction	Baltimore Orioles Win	-130	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +437

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $107.31

Match Analysis: Mackson Lee vs Enrique Hecher Sosa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 1:55 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

A Bantamweight main card fight in Dana White's Contender Series between undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) and Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1). Both fighters are promising prospects looking to solidify their place in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mackson Lee is undefeated with a 9-0 record, showing strong striking and submission skills with 1 KO and 3 submissions wins but no decision wins. Enrique Hecher Sosa has a 13-1 record with a balanced finish rate including 6 KOs and 3 submissions, and 4 decision wins indicating durability and endurance. Both fighters are currently on winning streaks with 5 consecutive wins each.
• No recorded previous encounters between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa, making this their first match.
• No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
• The fight takes place under Dana White's Contender Series spotlight, which adds high motivation for both fighters to perform well and secure a UFC contract.
• Both fighters are highly motivated as this contest is a key opportunity to advance their careers. Lee is an undefeated prospect aiming to maintain his perfect record, while Sosa has only one loss and seeks to prove his resilience and skill at a high level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mackson Lee: -140, Enrique Hecher Sosa: 120	Mackson Lee	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 1.5 rounds: -155, under 1.5 rounds: 135	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mackson Lee -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mackson Lee is favored to win due to his undefeated status, physical advantages in height (185 cm vs 172 cm) and reach (72.8 cm vs 67.7 cm), and balanced skill set. However, Enrique Hecher Sosa’s experience and finishing power represent a genuine threat. Prediction favors Lee by decision or late finish.

Predicted Score: Mackson Lee by unanimous decision or third round TKO

Match Analysis: Iwo Baraniewski vs Mahamed Aly – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-16
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, unspecified venue

Game Overview

This Dana White's Contender Series Season 9 Week 6 bout features undefeated Polish judo champion Iwo Baraniewski (5-0, 100% finish rate) against Brazilian Mahamed Aly, a light-heavyweight with notable knockout power and multiple ways to win. Aly holds a marginal advantage in height, reach, and power, though Baraniewski has battered all opponents to date. Both possess grappling skills that may neutralize each other. Aly's record has some wins over less challenging opponents, while Baraniewski's wins are clean though against less proven fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baraniewski is undefeated with 60% KO and 40% submission finishes, showing dominance in his fights but lack of exposure to top-tier opponents. Aly has notable head-kick knockouts and a win over Jared Gooden but overall faces questions about strength of schedule.
• This is their first encounter, no direct head-to-head data available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
• Fight taking place on Dana White's Contender Series, which is an intense platform for fighters to secure UFC contracts, likely increasing motivation and performance pressure.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract; Aly may have a slight edge with demonstrated finishing versatility and previous higher-profile wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Iwo Baraniewski: +170, Mahamed Aly: -200	Mahamed Aly	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5: +105, Under 1.5: -125	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mahamed Aly -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mahamed Aly is favored to win due to his slight physical advantages and more diverse finishing methods. However, Iwo Baraniewski’s undefeated status and finishing skills mean an upset is possible if he can land clean strikes early.

Predicted Score: Mahamed Aly wins by late first-round KO or second-round TKO

Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The middleweight matchup between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry at Dana White's Contender Series features an intriguing stylistic clash. Hwang is a powerful striker with six career KOs but limited recent finishing success, while McCorry has a significant size advantage, wrestling prowess, and a high fight IQ focusing on takedowns and control.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hwang (8-1) holds a strong record with knockout power but limited recent finishes and a suspect chin. McCorry (6-1) shows a diverse skill set with wins by KO, submission, and decision and consistent ability to control opponents on the mat.
• No prior matchups between the two fighters exist; however, McCorry's reach and height advantage (6'3" vs. 5'11") is a significant factor anticipated to influence the fight.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the bout.
• This is Hwang's US debut after limited recent activity (four fights in five years), while McCorry is coming in younger and hungrier with more consistent competition exposure in the UFC Contender Series framework.
• Both fighters are motivated—Hwang to prove his power and durability on a larger stage, McCorry to continue his rise with a high fight IQ strategy focusing on wrestling dominance and late-round control.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	In Soo Hwang: 155, Paddy McCorry: -180	Paddy McCorry	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	In Soo Hwang: +1.5, Paddy McCorry: -1.5	Paddy McCorry -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -160, Under 1.5: 140	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paddy Mccorry -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry is favored to win by unanimous decision or a second-round TKO due to his size, wrestling superiority, and fight IQ. Hwang remains dangerous with knockout power early but is expected to be frustrated by McCorry's takedown and control tactics.

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by unanimous decision after three rounds or TKO in round two.

Match Analysis: Cody Chovancek vs Raphael Uchegbu – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

This bantamweight MMA bout features undefeated Canadian wrestler Cody Chovancek (8-0) facing off against the experienced English striker and grappler Raphael Uchegbu (10-1) in Dana White's Contender Series Week 6. Uchegbu boasts a height and reach advantage at 5'10", combined with a balanced record of 4 KOs and 5 submissions, while Chovancek depends heavily on wrestling and aggressive entries but has shown some defensive vulnerabilities against long-range striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Raphael Uchegbu trains with Team Kaobon and has sharpened defensive and counter-wrestling skills, while Chovancek has trained with Patchy Mix, an elite wrestler, who may help improve his grappling and submission offense.
• This is the fighters' first encounter, so no direct head-to-head record exists. However, Uchegbu's sole career loss was to a wrestler, suggesting a potential area of vulnerability should Chovancek implement effective wrestling control.
• No publicly disclosed injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both competitors. Uchegbu’s cardio and striking volume advantage potentially favors him in a fast-paced contest, while Chovancek’s aggressive style requires careful range management.
• Chovancek is highly motivated seeking a finish, stating intent to go for knockout or submission, indicative of an aggressive mindset. Uchegbu aims to utilize his technical striking and grappling improvements to secure a decision or late stoppage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Chovancek: +155, Raphael Uchegbu: -180	Raphael Uchegbu	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: +115	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Raphael Uchegbu -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raphael Uchegbu is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his reach, refined striking, and evolved grappling defense. Chovancek’s path to victory lies in successfully implementing wrestling control and finishing the fight, but Uchegbu's experience and range control make him the likelier victor.

Predicted Score: Uchegbu wins by decision after three full rounds

Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston is part of Dana White's Contender Series Week 6. Gantt holds a 4-0 undefeated record with a perfect KO rate and is favored on the moneyline. Livingston, meanwhile, is undefeated 3-0 with a diverse finishing ability, noted for his power and knockout threat. Both fighters have never faced each other before, with contrasting fighting styles and respective strengths in wrestling/grappling (Gantt) and explosive striking power (Livingston).

Key Factors to Consider

• Thomas Gantt has a 4-0 record, all wins by KO, demonstrating strong finishing ability primarily by ground and pound. Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs and 1 decision, showing a mix of striking and endurance. Gantt's wrestling background gives him an edge in grappling control and takedown success, though Livingston's power makes him dangerous standing.
• This is their first meeting; no previous head-to-head data is available.
• No injury information available for either fighter prior to the match.
• Venue is UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which is neutral ground for both fighters. No reported external factors such as travel stress or recent fights impacting performance.
• Both fighters are looking to advance their careers on Dana White's Contender Series, with strong motivation to win for UFC contract consideration. Gantt appears confident with his grappling and finishing style while Livingston aims to capitalize on his knockout power.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam_Livingston: 142, Thomas_Gantt: -176	Thomas Gantt	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Thomas_Gantt_-1.5: -120, Adam_Livingston_+1.5: 100	Thomas Gantt -1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	over_1.5_rounds: 110, under_1.5_rounds: -130	Over 1.5 Rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Thomas Gantt 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Gantt is predicted to win by a ground and pound TKO or KO, leveraging his wrestling credentials and ability to handle Livingston's power early before taking momentum on the ground.

Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO in Round 2