Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction	Over 8	105	23%
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction	Under 10.5	100	20%
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction	Under 8	-105	17%

Combined Odds: +700 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160.1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Botafogo vs. Mirassol Prediction	Botafogo Win	-150	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Feyenoord vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction	Feyenoord -1.5	-119	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction	Los Angeles FC Win	125	★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +590

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $138.03

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Prediction	New York Yankees Win	-167	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers Win	-190	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction	Boston Red Sox Win	-170	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +288

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $77.51

Match Analysis: Mackson Lee vs Enrique Hecher Sosa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 1:55 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

This Bantamweight main card bout features undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) facing off against seasoned Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1) at Dana White's Contender Series, with both fighters on recent winning streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mackson Lee is undefeated with 9 wins, showing strong finishing ability (1 KO, 3 submissions), while Enrique Hecher Sosa holds an impressive 13-1 record with 6 knockouts and 3 submissions. Both fighters are 5-0 in their last five bouts, indicating excellent recent form.
• No previous fights between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa have occurred, making this a first-time matchup.
• No notable injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The fight takes place on a high-profile Dana White's Contender Series event, providing significant motivation for both fighters to perform impressively for potential UFC contracts. Mackson Lee fights out of Brazil, but the contest is on neutral ground.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Lee's undefeated streak combined with a younger age (26 vs. 30) gives him a slight edge psychologically.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mackson Lee: -140, Enrique Hecher Sosa: 120	Mackson Lee	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds: +130, Enrique Hecher Sosa +1.5 rounds: -150	Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -155, Under 1.5 rounds: +135	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mackson Lee 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mackson Lee to win; Spread: Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Mackson Lee wins by submission in Round 2

Match Analysis: Iwo Baraniewski vs Mahamed Aly – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-16
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Contender Series 2025 Week 6

Game Overview

This light heavyweight matchup features undefeated Iwo Baraniewski (5-0) facing the also undefeated Mahamed Aly (4-0). Both fighters show strong potential but come from different backgrounds — Baraniewski with a judo base and high finish rate, Aly with elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and versatility in striking and grappling. Aly is a slight favorite on the moneyline given his more diverse skillset and slight physical advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baraniewski boasts a 100% finish rate in his 5 wins, with a mix of knockouts and submissions, reflecting aggressive fight style and strong finishing ability. Aly has demonstrated both striking power (noted by head-kick KOs) and high-level grappling, showing multiple paths to victory but against less proven opponents overall.
• This will be the first contest between Baraniewski and Aly, with no direct head-to-head history to draw on but comparable undefeated records and fighting styles that suggest a competitive but cautious bout.
• No significant injury reports have been disclosed for either fighter heading into this fight, indicating both should be at full strength.
• The fight takes place in a high-pressure Dana White's Contender Series environment, where a UFC contract is often on the line, likely increasing motivation for both fighters to perform decisively.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Aly’s experience facing tougher opponents recently may give him an edge in fight IQ and composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Iwo Baraniewski: +170, Mahamed Aly: -200	Mahamed Aly	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Mahamed Aly -1.5: -140, Iwo Baraniewski +1.5: +120	Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5: +105, Under 1.5: -125	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mahamed Aly -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mahamed Aly to win. Spread: Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Mahamed Aly wins by decision or late round finish

Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry on Dana White's Contender Series main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters are making their professional debuts (0-0 records). No professional fight history limits direct performance comparison. Training camps and amateur records indicate McCorry has slightly more wrestling and grappling experience, while Hwang's style is more striking-oriented.
• No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters; this is their first matchup.
• No reported injuries to either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully fit and prepared.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are competing on Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for a UFC contract.
• High motivation on both sides due to opportunity to secure UFC contract. McCorry's slightly more versatile skill set may provide an edge in securing a finish, increasing confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +155, away: -180	Paddy McCorry	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	+1.5 rounds (Hwang) -120 / -1.5 rounds (McCorry) +100	Paddy McCorry to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -160, under: +140	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paddy Mccorry -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 68%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry to win via moneyline, fight to finish under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by TKO in round 1

Match Analysis: Cody Chovancek vs Raphael Uchegbu – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout featuring undefeated Cody Chovancek against experienced Raphael Uchegbu in the Contender Series at UFC Apex.

Key Factors to Consider

• Uchegbu comes off strong form (4-1 last 5 fights) with 9 finishes in 11 fights, mixing striking and submissions effectively. Chovancek is undefeated (8-0) showing aggressive wrestling and finishing ability but has shown vulnerabilities to reach and striking.
• No prior direct matchups between these fighters; styles contrast with Chovancek favoring wrestling aggression and Uchegbu relying on reach, striking volume, and evolving grappling defense.
• No explicit injury reports for either fighter, both apparently in full training health.
• Fight held at UFC Apex with no apparent external motivators affecting either fighter; both motivated for Contender Series success and potential UFC contracts.
• Chovancek highly motivated for finish as he openly aims to impress for UFC promotion; Uchegbu motivated by leveraging experience and technical advantage with more diverse finishing skill set.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Chovancek: 155, Raphael Uchegbu: -180	Raphael Uchegbu	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Raphael Uchegbu -1.5: -120, Cody Chovancek +1.5: 100	Raphael Uchegbu -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: 115	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Raphael Uchegbu -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raphael Uchegbu to win by decision or late stoppage

Predicted Score: Raphael Uchegbu wins by unanimous decision or TKO round 3/4

Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series Week 6 featuring Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston, both undefeated with strong KO records and notable grappling and striking attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thomas Gantt holds a 4-0 record with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability and a winning streak, while Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs, boasting a short winning streak and powerful striking.
• No previous head-to-head matchup exists; however, statistical predictions favor Livingston slightly for the win (58%) over Gantt (42%).
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue; no travel or acclimation concerns for either fighter who are both US-based.
• Both fighters highly motivated to secure a contract or advancement in Dana White's Contender Series; Gantt’s wrestling credentials suggest extra drive to control and dominate.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Thomas Gantt: -176, Adam Livingston: +142	Thomas Gantt	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Thomas Gantt -1.5: -110, Adam Livingston +1.5: -110	Thomas Gantt -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -120, Under 1.5: +100	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Thomas Gantt -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Gantt to win via ground and pound TKO

Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO round 2