A key MLB matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays that has playoff implications. Seattle leads the series overall and comes in with a better run average, but Tampa Bay is riding strong recent form at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Tampa Bay Rays have won 8 of their last 10 games, averaging 6 runs scored and 2.8 runs allowed during this stretch. Seattle Mariners have a solid overall record but lost the last meeting 6-5 to the Rays.
Seattle Mariners hold a historical advantage with 42 wins against Tampa Bay's 27, including 19 road wins. The Rays won the last game 6-5, showing competitive balance recently.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
Game played on artificial turf at Steinbrenner Field, a hitter-friendly park, favoring offense. Both starters have shown mixed results against each other historically.
Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning late in the season. Rays aim to capitalize on home advantage and recent form to extend winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -138, Tampa Bay Rays +118
Seattle Mariners
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Seattle Mariners -1.5 +118, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -142
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 8 -132, Under 8 +108
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners moneyline win, Tampa Bay Rays to cover +1.5 run spread, game total goes over 8 runs
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – 4 Tampa Bay Rays
The Cleveland Guardians host the Seattle Mariners in the final game of a three-game series. Mariners hold a slight edge in season performance and offensive metrics, while both teams field average-to-below-average starting pitching, with Mariners pitching struggling more this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Mariners have a 72-64 record with a potent offense ranked 12th in MLB and 3rd in home runs, while Cleveland Guardians are 68-66 with a notably weak offense ranked 30th. Mariners pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with bullpen ranked 10th in MLB. Guarding starter Tanner Bibee (4.73 ERA) has been inconsistent but decent at home; Mariners starter Bryce Miller has a high 5.98 ERA and more control issues.
In this series, Guardians won the first two games at home and aim to sweep, but Mariners are slight favorites given stronger lineup and season form. Mariners have a mixed record when Miller starts (3-4 as moneyline favorite); Guardians are 15-10 ATS in Bibee starts but only 4-7 as underdogs.
No major injury concerns explicitly reported for either team impacting key players or starters.
Game played at Progressive Field favors Guardians slightly for home advantage. Weather and other conditions unspecified but no dominant impact reported.
Guardians motivated to sweep the series and solidify playoff standing, Mariners motivated to avoid series loss and maintain position in AL West playoff race.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -104, away: -112
Cleveland Guardians
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
home: +1.5 -176, away: -1.5 +146
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over: -105, under: -115
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take the Guardians on the Moneyline and Under 8.5 total runs. Guardians have momentum from previous wins and superior pitching matchup potential despite weaker offense; the game projects low scoring given pitching struggles and defensive dynamics.
The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres face off in the final game of their interleague series at T-Mobile Park, with both teams fighting for playoff positioning in tight division races.
Key Factors to Consider
San Diego Padres enter with a 75-58 record, averaging 4.22 runs/game overall and 4.04 on the road, but have allowed 4.21 runs/game away. Seattle Mariners hold a 71-62 record, stronger at home, and recent forms indicate Mariners have dominated Padres at home and in recent matchups.
Seattle Mariners won 12 of last 13 games against San Diego Padres overall and 6 of last 7 home games, with a strong +1.5 run line record in those contests demonstrating clear historical dominance.
No key injury updates significantly impacting starting lineups or pitching staffs are noted from the latest reports.
Playing at home provides Seattle an advantage. Weather and travel effects appear neutral with no reported adverse conditions.
Both teams remain highly motivated—Padres trailing Dodgers by 1 game in NL West and Mariners 1.5 games behind Astros in AL West—making this a crucial game to close playoff gaps.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mariners -136, Padres +116
Mariners
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres +1.5 (-176), Mariners -1.5 (146)
Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115)
Over 8
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 4 San Diego Padres
The Seattle Mariners, with a 69-61 record, host the Oakland Athletics (60-71) in a late-season MLB matchup. Mariners have home-field advantage and strong pitching from Logan Gilbert, while Athletics enter playing competitive baseball and have won the recent game in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
Mariners have struggled recently losing 4 of 5 games but hold a better overall record and have been generally stronger at home. Athletics continue playing well given their playoff elimination, with a solid recent away form and 7 wins in last 10 games overall.
In recent meetings, the Athletics took a close extra-innings victory in this series. Logan Gilbert has a good record against Athletics with a 2.14 ERA in last 5 starts versus them.
Seattle’s Logan Evans is on the 15-day IL with elbow pain, and right fielder Dominic Conzone is day-to-day, impacting Mariners’ lineup depth. Athletics lineup appears healthy.
Game played at Mariners’ home, a pitcher-friendly park with Gilbert’s strong home performance (2.0 ERA at home). No significant weather or travel concerns for either team.
Mariners push to hold a wild-card playoff position and are motivated despite recent losses. Athletics out of playoff race but continue to build for future, playing aggressively as underdogs.
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Seattle Mariners in an MLB regular season game. Phillies enter with a 73-53 record and Mariners with a 68-59 record. Starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies and Luis Castillo for the Mariners.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies have been strong recently and hold a better overall record. Mariners are struggling, currently on a 4-game losing streak and 6 losses in their last 7 games.
Phillies won the previous matchup 6-4 at home. Castillo has a career 2.75 ERA vs. Phillies but Luzardo's career ERA against Mariners is 6.14 with mixed results.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting players or pitching staffs that would drastically influence game outcome.
Game played outdoors at Citizens Bank Park, a hitter-friendly ballpark. Mariners are still on the road and likely less acclimated.
Phillies motivated to extend lead in standings and continue playoff push. Mariners are looking to break losing streak but are under pressure playing away.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Phillies -142, Mariners +120
Phillies
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Phillies -1.5 +146, Mariners +1.5 -178
Phillies -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win outright (-142 moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread (+146), and game total to go over 8.5 runs (-110).
Location: BB&T Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field, Williamsport, PA
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners (68-56) face the New York Mets (65-58) in a closely matched contest featuring starting pitchers George Kirby for Seattle and Clay Holmes for New York. Both teams have comparable season records, but recent form and pitching quality suggest subtle edges.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle has a slightly better overall record and a pitching staff ERA of 3.82 with a 1.23 WHIP; offensively they average 4.5 runs/game, batting .243 with a .320 OBP. The Mets are struggling with consistency, lacking back-to-back wins since late July, with Holmes showing signs of decline in recent outings.
Kirby is 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA in his career versus the Mets, but recent Mariners victories and overall pitching form favor Seattle. The teams have split the current series 1-1 with high-scoring games.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key bats for either side.
Game played at neutral site BB&T Ballpark in Williamsport, removing true home field advantage; weather expected to be neutral for pitching and hitting.
Seattle’s push to maintain strong playoff positioning in the AL West provides higher motivation than the Mets, who have struggled recently and face multiple upcoming challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Mets: +100, Seattle Mariners: -118
Seattle Mariners
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
New York Mets +1.5: -176, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +142
Seattle Mariners -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8: -115, Under 8: -105
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners moneyline win
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – New York Mets 4