Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
SC Telstar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction	Draw	235	34%
AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction	Casa Pia	178	25%
Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction	Under 2.25	-102	23%

Combined Odds: +1744 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $368.87

Match Analysis: Ajax vs SC Telstar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:30 PM UTC
• Location: Johan Cruijff ArenA

Game Overview

Ajax, a historically dominant Eredivisie club playing at home, is heavily favored against newly promoted SC Telstar, who have struggled in top-tier Dutch football. This season opener sees Ajax aiming to start strong for their league title ambitions, while Telstar aims at survival.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ajax demonstrated strong form finishing second last season with a potent attack and solid defense; Telstar has a weaker squad and less competitive record, especially away.
• Ajax won all previous encounters decisively, including a recent 7-0 Eredivisie victory and multiple clean sheets. The last three meetings featured high-scoring games largely dominated by Ajax.
• No significant injuries reported impacting either team's expected starting lineup, allowing Ajax to field their strongest squad.
• Home advantage at the iconic Johan Cruijff ArenA favors Ajax, combined with crowd support and familiar conditions.
• Ajax is highly motivated to claim the league title after recent setback seasons, while Telstar’s motivation is survival but with lower expectations overall.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	ajax: -700, telstar: 1300, draw: 750	Ajax	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	ajax: -2.25 -105, telstar: 2.25 -115	Ajax -2.25	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: 3.5 -115, under: 3.5 -105	Under 3.5 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ajax -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax to win outright, cover the -2.25 spread, and the game to have under 3.5 goals

Predicted Score: 3-0