Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Game Overview

This Serie A matchup features Hellas Verona hosting Sassuolo. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sassuolo slightly better on points and away performance. The match is poised to be competitive with moderate goal-scoring expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hellas Verona has a home record of 0-2-0 but has struggled overall (0-3-2). Sassuolo has a stronger away record (2-0-1) and has secured 6 points compared to Verona's 3, indicating marginally better form[6].
• Past meetings reflect a competitive balance with no dominant side. Both teams have low but similar probabilities to win by multiple goals. The predicted winning margins are narrow, underlining expected tight contests[2].
• No specific injury data available, suggesting no major absences affecting lineups significantly.
• Home advantage slightly favors Hellas Verona but Sassuolo's recent away form and motivation counterbalance this effect. Weather and pitch conditions not noted as significant factors.
• Sassuolo has shown stronger motivation recently with more points and away wins, while Hellas Verona aims to leverage home advantage to regain form[6].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	hellas_verona: +160, sassuolo: +180, draw: +220	Sassuolo	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	hellas_verona: -118, sassuolo: -102	Sassuolo 0 spread (draw no bet)	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: -105, under: -115	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sassuolo 18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sassuolo at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sassuolo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Udinese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-28
• Time: 10:30 AM UTC
• Location: Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Italy

Game Overview

Sassuolo hosts Udinese in a Serie A matchup with Sassuolo struggling early in the season while Udinese has shown better away form and sits higher in the standings. The game is poised to be competitive with modest scoring chances expected.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sassuolo has a poor recent record (1-0-3), including a 1-0-1 home record with only 1 point from home matches. Udinese has been stronger away (2-0-0) with 6 points on the road, showing better form and efficiency.
• Historically mixed but Sassuolo has not dominated Udinese recently. The home team has 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses overall in recent encounters, suggesting Udinese's resilience.
• No specific key injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect starting lineups or strength.
• No weather or venue-related concerns; match played at Sassuolo's home ground with typical conditions.
• Udinese has more incentive to maintain strong early season form and climb higher in the table, whereas Sassuolo is under pressure after poor results, possibly increasing desperation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	+126	Sassuolo	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-105	Sassuolo -0.25	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	-120	Under 2.25	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sassuolo 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sassuolo win; Spread: Sassuolo -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

Game Overview

Inter Milan hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash featuring two historically close opponents. Inter, currently 4th in the league, aims to stabilize after two early losses. Sassuolo, 8th, come off a morale-boosting win over Lazio looking to continue their momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Inter have struggled recently with a 1-0-2 record in their last 3 Serie A matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game in recent outings. Sassuolo show inconsistent form but are buoyed by a crucial recent 1-0 win and average 1 goal per match, conceding fewer recently.
• Historically tight H2H with 23 matches: Inter 11 wins, Sassuolo 10 wins, 2 draws; Inter scoring more on average (1.83 to 1.26). Sassuolo notably beat Inter twice last season including once away at Milan.
• No specific injury updates available in provided data. Assume key players are available for both sides.
• Match is at Inter’s home ground, Giuseppe Meazza, which slightly favors Inter. No major disruptions or extraordinary external conditions noted.
• Inter under pressure to avoid falling behind league leaders and needing to recover form. Sassuolo motivated to build on recent win and prove competitiveness against a top side.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Inter Milan: -345, Sassuolo: 900, Draw: 460	Inter Milan	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Inter Milan -1.75: 100, Sassuolo +1.75: -120	Inter Milan -1.75	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 3: -112, Under 3: -108	Over 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Inter Milan -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Inter Milan win; Spread: Inter Milan -1.75; Over/Under: Over 3 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Sassuolo

Game Overview

This Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and Lazio features a Lazio squad slightly favored by odds and recent performance but facing an improving Sassuolo side at home. Lazio holds an edge in recent encounters and league form, while Sassuolo seeks to rebound after two opening draws.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lazio comes in with a 1-0-1 record and 3 points, showing a slightly stronger start than Sassuolo who is 0-0-2 with 2 draws, scoring fewer goals. Lazio's form suggests better recent effectiveness in offense and defense.
• Lazio has dominated recent meetings with Sassuolo, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last 5 clashes and the total goals going under 2.5 in all these matches, indicating low-scoring, tight contests.
• No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both squads will be close to full strength for the match.
• The match is at Sassuolo's home ground, which could be a slight advantage, but Lazio's historical dominance and stronger squad depth mitigate home advantage.
• Lazio's slight points lead and recent victories provide extra motivation to maintain momentum, while Sassuolo must overcome early season struggles and capitalize on home support to get points.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lazio: 107, Sassuolo: 260, Draw: 240	Lazio	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Lazio -0.5: 108, Sassuolo +50: -128	Lazio -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110	Under 2.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lazio 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio to win on the moneyline, covering the spread -0.5, with the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Cremonese vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini

Game Overview

Cremonese hosts Sassuolo in this Serie A clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini. The match is expected to be tightly contested with defensive emphasis but balanced by both teams' tendency to score.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cremonese shows moderate home form with a tendency for BTTS (both teams to score) in recent matches; Sassuolo displays inconsistent away form but has scored in their last several away games.
• Recent H2H encounters have often featured goals from both sides with BTTS outcomes in the last 3 matches between these teams.
• No major injury news detracting heavily from either side's lineup reported.
• Match played at Cremonese's home ground, which provides slight advantage; weather and pitch conditions unknown but no known adverse factors expected.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the Serie A season to establish their standings; Cremonese as home side slightly more eager to impress.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 133, away: 215, draw: 225	Cremonese	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	home: -102, away: -118	Cremonese -0.25	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	over: -105, under: -115	Under 2.5 Goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cremonese 23%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cremonese at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cremonese Win; Spread: Cremonese -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli enters this Serie A clash as strong favorites against Sassuolo, who have home advantage but are considered significant underdogs. Early season form alludes to Napoli's attacking potency and consistent point accumulation, while Sassuolo tends to produce high-scoring and open games at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli’s recent form features multiple wins and draws, indicating solidity and offensive efficiency (WWDDW). Sassuolo has a more inconsistent form with some losses and a win (LWLLD). Napoli is expected to maintain dominance despite being away.
• In the last 14 meetings, Napoli leads with 9 wins against Sassuolo's 1, with 4 draws, showing a clear upper hand historically.
• No notable injury updates that impact starting lineups for either team have been confirmed 24 hours ahead, suggesting near-full squads available.
• Napoli’s motivation to maintain early season momentum combined with Sassuolo's home support adds intensity but Napoli's superior quality is paramount.
• Napoli aims to extend their strong start and consolidate Serie A leadership, while Sassuolo seeks to avoid early-season setbacks on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli -175, Sassuolo +525, Draw +296	Napoli	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Napoli -1 (-102), Sassuolo +1 (-118)	Sassuolo +1	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-103), Under 2.5 (-117)	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Napoli 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli to win on the moneyline, Sassuolo +1 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2