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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, Manitoba

Game Overview

The 112th Grey Cup features the Saskatchewan Roughriders (13-6, #1 seed West) hosting the Montreal Alouettes (12-8, #2 seed East) in the CFL championship. Saskatchewan earned a dramatic late-game victory over BC in the West Final, while Montreal secured a walk-off field goal win against Hamilton in the East Final. The Roughriders boast the league's second-best defense (342 yards allowed/game) and second-best offense (383.8 yards/game), while Montreal faces significant quarterback uncertainty entering the championship with Davis Alexander dealing with a reaggravated hamstring injury.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan finished the regular season with the best record in the CFL and demonstrated championship poise by rallying late against BC. The Roughriders' defense is elite, and their balanced offensive attack gives them multiple paths to victory. Montreal has been hot down the stretch but showed vulnerability late in the season due to QB injuries. The Alouettes' three-game winning streak masks underlying concerns about quarterback durability and depth.
  • The teams split their two regular-season meetings (1-1), with Montreal winning both matchups played without Davis Alexander due to hamstring injury. This factor is criticalβ€”Alexander's injury status entering the Grey Cup creates significant uncertainty for Montreal's offensive execution at the most important game of the season.
  • Davis Alexander (Montreal QB) reaggravated his hamstring injury late in the East Final victory and is a serious concern entering Sunday. His presence or absence dramatically affects Montreal's offensive ceiling. Saskatchewan appears relatively healthy with no significant injury concerns reported.
  • Weather in Winnipeg forecasts a high of 2 degrees Celsius with mixed sun and cloudβ€”cold conditions that typically favor defensive teams and ground-oriented offenses. Saskatchewan's elite defense is well-suited to capitalize on these conditions. The game is played at a neutral site (Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg), eliminating home-field advantage despite Saskatchewan being the higher seed.
  • Saskatchewan seeks its first Grey Cup since 2013 after establishing the league's best regular-season record. Montreal aims for a second championship in three years and carries momentum from late-season success. However, Saskatchewan's superior regular-season performance and healthier roster provide stronger motivational positioning heading into the championship game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saskatchewan -184, Montreal +152 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Saskatchewan -3.5 (-106), Montreal +3.5 (-114) Saskatchewan -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-110), Under 48.5 (-110) Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Saskatchewan Roughriders at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders will defeat the Montreal Alouettes in a defensive-heavy championship game. The Roughriders' elite defense, balanced offense, superior regular-season credentials, and Montreal's quarterback injury concerns create a favorable risk-reward profile at current odds.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 24, Montreal Alouettes 18


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, Saskatchewan

Game Overview

West Division final with Saskatchewan favored at home by about a field goal against BC Lions led by dynamic QB Nathan Rourke. Weather could be cold impacting the passing game and favoring stronger defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan has benefited from first-round bye to heal injuries and reinforce secondary and receiving corps. BC Lions rely heavily on Nathan Rourke's playmaking but have injury concerns at offensive line and limited rushing attack recently.
  • Recent meetings show competitive balance but Saskatchewan's depth and defense have an edge in limiting BC’s explosive plays.
  • BC's Justin McInnis and James Butler limited in practice; Dejon Allen out. Saskatchewan trending towards full health with receivers Meyers, Johnson, Emilus, plus secondary reinforcements Milligan Jr. and Sayles expected to play.
  • Cold weather in Regina likely to hamper high-flying BC passing attack, benefiting Roughriders’ stout defense and home crowd advantage.
  • Playoff elimination game with both teams motivated; Saskatchewan’s home crowd and healthier roster give them psychological and practical edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: 160, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -194 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread BC Lions: +3.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3.5 -110 Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 53.5 -105, Under: 53.5 -115 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up and cover the 3.5 spread with a game total going under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 27 – BC Lions 20


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Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Winnipeg

Game Overview

The CFL matchup between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the Saskatchewan Roughriders features a home team with an average season performance of 8-8, currently sitting 4th in the standings, against a strong Saskatchewan team favored for the Grey Cup. Winnipeg has shown solid home form recently with a 3-1 record in their last four home games, averaging 30.75 points scored and 20.5 points conceded. Saskatchewan has been impressive overall this season, holding a 12-4 record and leading as Grey Cup favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg's recent home performance is solid with relatively strong offense and defense averages, while Saskatchewan has been consistent with a 12-4 record overall, indicating a high-performing squad that is currently leading the season standings.
  • Historically, the two teams are well matched, but Winnipeg tends to leverage home advantage effectively. Recent matches suggest competitive games with moderate scoring totals around the 50-point mark.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting key players from either side for this match, preserving both teams' typical strength and depth.
  • The match will be played at Winnipeg's home venue, which gives the Blue Bombers a home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions for mid-October in Winnipeg are expected to be typical for CFL late-season games, not heavily impacting gameplay.
  • Winnipeg needs a home win to improve their playoff positioning, while Saskatchewan is motivated to maintain momentum as Grey Cup favorites, making their motivation levels high on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Winnipeg: -375, Saskatchewan: +290 Winnipeg Blue Bombers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Winnipeg -7.5: -112, Saskatchewan +7.5: -108 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the spread of -7.5, and the game to go under the total of 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 28 – Saskatchewan Roughriders 17


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Toronto Argonauts in a pivotal CFL matchup. The Roughriders are currently favored to win the Grey Cup and have a strong recent form, while the Argonauts are looking to bounce back from a challenging season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan Roughriders are on a strong run, having recently become the Grey Cup favorites. Toronto Argonauts have struggled, being mathematically eliminated from postseason contention.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not detailed in the available information, but the Roughriders' current form suggests an advantage.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • The Roughriders are motivated to maintain their lead in the league and secure a strong playoff position.
  • The Argonauts, while eliminated, may still play with pride and to spoil the Roughriders' momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders: -650, Toronto Argonauts: 460 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Saskatchewan Roughriders: -10.5 -115, Toronto Argonauts: +10.5 -105 Saskatchewan Roughriders -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 49.5 -110, Under: 49.5 -110 Over 49.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders have a significant advantage in this matchup due to their strong recent form and overall team performance.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28, Toronto Argonauts 18


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – October 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction Saskatchewan Roughriders -10.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction Fresno State Bulldogs Win -240 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction South Florida Bulls Win -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +395

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $99.03

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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-4) visit the Ottawa Redblacks (4-10) with Saskatchewan favored by 3.5 points. The Roughriders are aiming to rebound after a narrow loss while Ottawa struggles with inconsistency offensively and defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan holds a strong 10-4 record, demonstrating solid offensive yardage and a positive net yard differential. Ottawa is 4-10 with defensive struggles and inconsistent quarterback play.
  • Recent matchups favor Saskatchewan, showcasing better execution and more balanced play on both sides of the ball. Ottawa has struggled historically at home against playoff-contending teams like Saskatchewan.
  • No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan impacting key positions. Ottawa’s roster shows minor concerns but nothing severely impacting starting lineup.
  • The game is at Ottawa’s home stadium, but Saskatchewan’s experience and form offset any home field edge. Weather is expected to be neutral and not a significant factor.
  • Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain playoff positioning in the competitive West Division, while Ottawa’s motivation is lower given their weaker playoff odds and current form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 162 / -196 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Ottawa +3.5 -105 / Saskatchewan -3.5 -115 Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110 / Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up (moneyline) and cover the -3.5 spread; game likely to finish under 53.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 20


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Edmonton Elks vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (5-9) at Commonwealth Stadium. Saskatchewan is the clear favorite with strong recent form and a playoff berth secured, while Edmonton is struggling and fighting for postseason hope.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan holds a commanding 10-3 record with dominant offensive displays, despite a recent 48-31 loss. Edmonton has a disappointing 5-9 record with inconsistent play and weaker defense.
  • Recent H2H favors Saskatchewan, who have covered spreads and outperformed Edmonton in prior matchups this season, demonstrating a tactical edge.
  • No critical injuries reported for Saskatchewan; Edmonton's depth and injury reports suggest potential vulnerability on defense.
  • Game at Edmonton’s home field but Saskatchewan's motivation and form overshadow home field advantage. Weather expected to be neutral, no significant environmental impacts.
  • Saskatchewan locked into playoffs and competing for top West positionβ€”strong motivation. Edmonton fighting to stay alive for postseason, but morale and form comparatively weaker.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +158, away: -192 Away (Saskatchewan Roughriders) to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread home: -106, away: -114 Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 to cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 54.5 total points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win moneyline and cover the spread; game total to stay under 54.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Edmonton Elks 17


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-2) host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-4) in a critical West Division clash. Saskatchewan opens as a favorite by about 4.5-5.5 points with an over/under near 51.5 points. Both teams have strong offenses and top-ranked defenses, making it a competitive and strategically important game late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan has the edge with an 8-2 record and is strong defensively at home, ranking 1st in overall home defense. Winnipeg is solid but less dominant at 6-4, with balanced offense and defense statistics mostly ranked between 3rd and 6th. Saskatchewan scores slightly more at home, while Winnipeg's offense is effective on the road.
  • Recent H2H data shows Saskatchewan slightly ahead, often covering spreads around 5.5 points. Both teams have competitive games historically, but Saskatchewan's home advantage at Mosaic Stadium is significant.
  • No major injury alerts reported for either team. Both starting quarterbacks expected to play: Zach Collaros for Saskatchewan and Trevor Harris for Winnipeg.
  • Home crowd at Mosaic Stadium boosts Saskatchewan; late August weather in Regina is typically mild, unlikely to hamper offensive play. No travel fatigue concerns.
  • Saskatchewan is motivated to maintain West Division lead and home-field advantage. Winnipeg aims to close the gap and secure a playoff spot, adding intensity but possibly underdog pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -225, away: 184 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: -115, away: -105 Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Saskatchewan Roughriders to win; Spread: Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5; Over/Under: Under 51.5

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 27 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 21


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction Saskatchewan Roughriders Win -225 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction Notre Dame Fighting Irish Win -134 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68% (68%)
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction Under 52.5 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62% (62%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +377

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $95.49

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Calgary Stampeders vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-1) visit the Calgary Stampeders (6-3) in a tightly matched CFL West Division clash, both teams showing strong recent form and top-tier talent at QB. The line is essentially pick'em, reflecting the high competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan is in excellent form at 8-1 with a convincing 29-9 win last game where Trevor Harris threw for over 300 yards and 3 TDs. Calgary is solid at 6-3 and undefeated against West Division teams (4-0) away. Both offenses are productive and defenses reasonably stout.
  • Recent head-to-head results are competitive; each team holds home-field advantages in prior meetings. The matchup is well balanced with no clear historical dominance.
  • No major injury reports have surfaced for either team affecting key starters such as QBs Trevor Harris (Saskatchewan) and Vernon Adams Jr. (Calgary).
  • Game played at Calgary’s McMahon Stadium with typical late August weather, no significant external weather or field concerns.
  • Saskatchewan is motivated to maintain their league-best record and improve on a strong season, while Calgary aims to assert home dominance against top West rival and improve playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders -110 Saskatchewan Roughriders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Calgary Stampeders +1.5 -122, Saskatchewan Roughriders -1.5 +100 Saskatchewan Roughriders -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 50.5 -110, Under 50.5 -110 Over 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win outright (moneyline)

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Calgary Stampeders 24


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