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Sao Paulo vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 18, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Grêmio in the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Grêmio has won only one of their last seven matches, indicating a tough period for the team. São Paulo, being the home team, has a strong advantage with odds favoring them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has been performing better than Grêmio recently, with Grêmio struggling to find consistency in their last few matches.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows São Paulo has an edge, especially given Grêmio's recent performance.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but Grêmio's form suggests they may be struggling with lineup consistency.
  • The match is being played at São Paulo's home stadium, which adds to their advantage.
  • São Paulo will be highly motivated to secure a home win, especially against a struggling opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo: -120, Grêmio: 360, Draw: 245 São Paulo win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread São Paulo: -0.5 -115, Grêmio: 50 -115 São Paulo to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 -113, Under: 2 -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 176%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 176% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to win due to their home advantage and Grêmio's recent form.

Predicted Score: São Paulo 1, Grêmio 0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Atalanta BC -150 200%
Sao Paulo vs. Grêmio Prediction Sao Paulo -120 176%
SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction SC Freiburg 135 67%

Combined Odds: +618 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $143.61

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Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbí, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D clash features São Paulo hosting Libertad Asunción at the Estádio do Morumbí. São Paulo currently leads the group, with Libertad trailing closely in second place. The match carries significant weight for group standings and qualification prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has demonstrated solid form, holding the top position in Group D with a strong home record. Libertad, while competitive, have shown less consistency on the road but remain a threat given their attacking capabilities.
  • The teams have met once this season with São Paulo currently ahead in the standings. Historical direct encounters indicate São Paulo's slight advantage, especially when playing at home.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the current data; thus, both teams are presumed to have their key players available.
  • Playing at the iconic Morumbí stadium provides São Paulo with home advantage including fan support and familiar conditions. Weather or travel complications for Libertad are not reported.
  • São Paulo's motivation is high to maintain top group position and capitalize on home advantage. Libertad seeks to challenge strongly to close the gap and improve their qualification chances, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 510, Sao Paulo: -163, Draw: 250 São Paulo win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Libertad Asuncion +75: 101, Sao Paulo -0.75: -121 São Paulo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -114, Under 2 goals: -106 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 254%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 254% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given São Paulo's superior group standing, home advantage, and current form, the prediction favors a São Paulo victory, though Libertad can potentially challenge for a draw or narrow result.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Velez Sarsfield vs. C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction Velez Sarsfield -625 1020%
Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Sao Paulo -163 254%
FC Twente Enschede vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction FC Twente Enschede 135 53%

Combined Odds: +340 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $87.97

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Palmeiras vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Palmeiras and Sao Paulo are set to clash in a thrilling Brazilian Campeonato match. Palmeiras, with a strong home record, are favored to win, while Sao Paulo looks to upset their opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras have been performing well at home, with a historical advantage over Sao Paulo when hosting them. Sao Paulo has struggled in away games, which could impact their chances.
  • In their past encounters, Palmeiras have a slight edge over Sao Paulo, winning 28 out of 81 matches. However, recent performances show Sao Paulo gaining some ground.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team, which could affect their lineups.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could influence the match, with Palmeiras potentially benefiting from playing at home.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in the Campeonato, with Palmeiras seeking to maintain their position and Sao Paulo looking to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -150, Sao Paulo: 490, Draw: 255 Palmeiras to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Palmeiras: -0.75 -112, Sao Paulo: 75 -108 Palmeiras to cover ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 -114, Under: 2 -106 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are likely to win, given their home advantage and historical performance against Sao Paulo.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Palmeiras


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Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 06, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima, PER

Game Overview

CONMEBOL Libertadores Group D clash between Alianza Lima (Peru) and São Paulo (Brazil), with São Paulo holding a slight edge in attacking quality based on recent performances. Their previous encounter ended 2-2 on April 10, 2025[2][3], showcasing tightly contested gameplay.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams scored 5 goals in the group stage (as of April 10), but São Paulo’s superior squad depth and Ferreira’s scoring form (2 goals) make them favorites[1][3]. Alianza Lima’s Guerrero (2 goals) remains their primary threat[1].
  • 1-0-1 (last two matches, including April 10 draw), demonstrating competitive parity[2][3].
  • No specific injury reports available in search results, but São Paulo’s substitutes like Jandrei and Matheus Alves provide bench depth[3].
  • Home advantage for Alianza Lima at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, known for intense atmospheres[1][4].
  • Crucial group stage match where goal difference could determine knockout qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza Lima: 235 | São Paulo: 130 | Draw: 210 São Paulo (ML) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread São Paulo -0.5 (est.) São Paulo cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5: -200 | Under 1.5: 155 Over 1.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 51%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo to edge a narrow victory (1-2) due to superior individual quality, though Alianza’s home pressure may force a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Fortaleza-EC 105 85%
Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Sao Paulo 130 51%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Racing Club Prediction Racing Club 130 37%

Combined Odds: +984 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $216.89

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Sao Paulo vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Fortaleza in the Brazilian Serie A Campeonato, with São Paulo currently ranked 10th and Fortaleza holding the 8th position. This match offers a competitive matchup with São Paulo favored at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has struggled in recent home matches, while Fortaleza has shown mixed results on the road. São Paulo ranks lower than Fortaleza in Serie A at the time of this match, but they have better standings in other competitions.
  • Historically, Fortaleza has a slight edge over São Paulo, winning 8 matches out of 22, with 7 draws. However, São Paulo has shown resilience in head-to-head matchups.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this match.
  • The home advantage could play a significant role for São Paulo. Weather conditions are not expected to affect the match significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -125, Fortaleza: 390, Draw: 245 São Paulo or Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.5 -122, Fortaleza: 50 -108 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -122, Under: 2 -108 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 123%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 123% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and historical performance, São Paulo is likely to win or draw this match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 2, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 2, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC Prediction FC Porto -325 640%
Sao Paulo vs. Fortaleza Prediction Sao Paulo -125 123%
1. FC Heidenheim vs. VfL Bochum Prediction 1. FC Heidenheim 130 62%

Combined Odds: +441 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $108.28

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Ceará vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (Castelão), Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Ceará, currently ranked 5th in the Brasileirão, will host Sao Paulo, ranked 10th. Ceará has a strong recent performance with a 2-1 win over Vasco, while Sao Paulo also recently won 2-1 against Santos. The match promises to be competitive given both teams' forms.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará has shown consistent form in their recent matches. Sao Paulo has also been performing well, especially with their win over Santos.
  • Historical data on head-to-head matches is not provided, but both teams have experienced varied results against each other in the past.
  • Current injury reports are not detailed. However, any significant injuries could impact team performance.
  • The home advantage for Ceará could play a crucial role, but Sao Paulo's diverse experience in different competitions might help them adapt.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points and improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 134, Sao Paulo: 263, Draw: 187 Ceará to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Ceará: -0.25 -101, Sao Paulo: 25 -119 Ceará to win by more than 0.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2: -111, Under 2: -109 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the form and rankings, Ceará might have a slight edge at home, but Sao Paulo's recent success makes them competitive.

Predicted Score: Ceará 2, Sao Paulo 1


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