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Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 06, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima, PER

Game Overview

CONMEBOL Libertadores Group D clash between Alianza Lima (Peru) and São Paulo (Brazil), with São Paulo holding a slight edge in attacking quality based on recent performances. Their previous encounter ended 2-2 on April 10, 2025[2][3], showcasing tightly contested gameplay.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams scored 5 goals in the group stage (as of April 10), but São Paulo’s superior squad depth and Ferreira’s scoring form (2 goals) make them favorites[1][3]. Alianza Lima’s Guerrero (2 goals) remains their primary threat[1].
  • 1-0-1 (last two matches, including April 10 draw), demonstrating competitive parity[2][3].
  • No specific injury reports available in search results, but São Paulo’s substitutes like Jandrei and Matheus Alves provide bench depth[3].
  • Home advantage for Alianza Lima at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, known for intense atmospheres[1][4].
  • Crucial group stage match where goal difference could determine knockout qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza Lima: 235 | São Paulo: 130 | Draw: 210 São Paulo (ML) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread São Paulo -0.5 (est.) São Paulo cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5: -200 | Under 1.5: 155 Over 1.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 51%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo to edge a narrow victory (1-2) due to superior individual quality, though Alianza’s home pressure may force a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Fortaleza-EC 105 85%
Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Sao Paulo 130 51%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Racing Club Prediction Racing Club 130 37%

Combined Odds: +984 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $216.89

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Sao Paulo vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Fortaleza in the Brazilian Serie A Campeonato, with São Paulo currently ranked 10th and Fortaleza holding the 8th position. This match offers a competitive matchup with São Paulo favored at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has struggled in recent home matches, while Fortaleza has shown mixed results on the road. São Paulo ranks lower than Fortaleza in Serie A at the time of this match, but they have better standings in other competitions.
  • Historically, Fortaleza has a slight edge over São Paulo, winning 8 matches out of 22, with 7 draws. However, São Paulo has shown resilience in head-to-head matchups.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this match.
  • The home advantage could play a significant role for São Paulo. Weather conditions are not expected to affect the match significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -125, Fortaleza: 390, Draw: 245 São Paulo or Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.5 -122, Fortaleza: 50 -108 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -122, Under: 2 -108 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 123%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 123% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and historical performance, São Paulo is likely to win or draw this match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 2, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 2, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC Prediction FC Porto -325 640%
Sao Paulo vs. Fortaleza Prediction Sao Paulo -125 123%
1. FC Heidenheim vs. VfL Bochum Prediction 1. FC Heidenheim 130 62%

Combined Odds: +441 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $108.28

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Ceará vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (Castelão), Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Ceará, currently ranked 5th in the Brasileirão, will host Sao Paulo, ranked 10th. Ceará has a strong recent performance with a 2-1 win over Vasco, while Sao Paulo also recently won 2-1 against Santos. The match promises to be competitive given both teams' forms.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará has shown consistent form in their recent matches. Sao Paulo has also been performing well, especially with their win over Santos.
  • Historical data on head-to-head matches is not provided, but both teams have experienced varied results against each other in the past.
  • Current injury reports are not detailed. However, any significant injuries could impact team performance.
  • The home advantage for Ceará could play a crucial role, but Sao Paulo's diverse experience in different competitions might help them adapt.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points and improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 134, Sao Paulo: 263, Draw: 187 Ceará to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Ceará: -0.25 -101, Sao Paulo: 25 -119 Ceará to win by more than 0.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2: -111, Under 2: -109 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the form and rankings, Ceará might have a slight edge at home, but Sao Paulo's recent success makes them competitive.

Predicted Score: Ceará 2, Sao Paulo 1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz, Asunción

Game Overview

Libertad Asuncion is set to face São Paulo in a pivotal Copa Libertadores Group D match. Libertad, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue to secure a crucial victory. São Paulo, known for their resilient performances, will aim to upset the hosts away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has shown strong home performances historically, while São Paulo has had mixed results on the road. Recent form suggests both teams are capable of creating scoring chances, though Libertad may have an edge in defense.
  • Historically, Libertad and São Paulo have a relatively even head-to-head record, though recent encounters have favored Libertad slightly.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team leading up to this match.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could favor Libertad, while São Paulo might feel additional pressure playing away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek points to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 205, São Paulo: 159, Draw: 182 Libertad Asuncion or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Libertad Asuncion: 0 110, São Paulo: 0 -130 Libertad Asuncion +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.75: -130, Under 1.75: 110 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Libertad's home advantage and defensive solidity, they are slightly favored to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Libertad Asuncion or a 1-1 draw


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Sao Paulo vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Morumbi

Game Overview

The upcoming match between São Paulo and Santos promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams having different forms and motivations. São Paulo has generally performed well in recent matches, while Santos is seeking to continue their momentum after securing their first league win in 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has been relatively more consistent, but Santos recently achieved a crucial league victory against Atlético Mineiro. This win could boost their confidence.
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams usually favors São Paulo, but Santos has had moments of brilliance in recent years.
  • Santos faces a significant challenge with Neymar's recurring injury, which might impact their attacking strategy.
  • External pressures, such as crowd expectations and media scrutiny, can influence team performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Santos may feel additional pressure following Neymar’s injury and their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo: -105, Santos: +285, Draw: +230 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread São Paulo: -0.5 (+105), Santos: +50 (-125) São Paulo to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -125, Under 2 goals: +105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 112%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 112% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to dominate the match given their overall performance and home advantage, though Santos will push for an upset.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of São Paulo


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Botafogo vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 16, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Nilton Santos Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

This match between Botafogo and São Paulo will be a crucial encounter in the Brazilian Serie A. Botafogo is currently performing well, while São Paulo is struggling to find consistency. Recent performances indicate that Botafogo has an edge over São Paulo, but the head-to-head statistics show a competitive history between the two teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has shown solid form in recent games, with a couple of convincing wins. São Paulo, however, has struggled, with only draws and a win in their last few matches.
  • The head-to-head record indicates that Botafogo and São Paulo have a history of tight contests, including recent draws and a win for Botafogo.
  • There is no specific information available regarding significant injuries for either team.
  • The home advantage could favor Botafogo, especially with the support of their fans and familiarity with the Nilton Santos Stadium.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Botafogo aiming to maintain their good form and São Paulo seeking to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -112, São Paulo: 350, Draw: 231 Botafogo win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Botafogo: -0.5 -111, São Paulo: 50 -115 Botafogo to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo is likely to win this match based on recent performances and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Botafogo


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Sao Paulo vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbí, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between São Paulo and Cruzeiro is part of the Brasileirão Betano. São Paulo ranks 14th, while Cruzeiro is 12th in the standings. Historically, São Paulo has been more successful, winning 26 times in their last 46 meetings, with 10 draws and 10 wins for Cruzeiro.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo typically performs better against Cruzeiro, but both teams face challenges in the current season.
  • São Paulo has dominated historically with 26 wins to Cruzeiro's 10 in their last 46 matches.
  • There is no specific information available about significant injuries affecting the teams' current lineups.
  • Home advantage may favor São Paulo, but their recent form has been inconsistent.
  • Both teams are motivated to win and improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo: -102, Cruzeiro: +312, Draw: +219 São Paulo to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread São Paulo: -0.5 +102, Cruzeiro: 50 -122 São Paulo to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: -116, Under: -104 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 107%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 107% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is favored to win, considering their historical advantage and home ground.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to São Paulo


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Sao Paulo vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Alianza Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Alianza Lima in a CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D match. Both teams are looking to gain crucial points in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has shown solid defensive performances, while Alianza Lima faces challenges in away matches.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but São Paulo generally has a stronger record in home games.
  • No major injuries reported from either side.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for São Paulo.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline -293 (Sao Paulo), 800 (Alianza Lima), 370 (Draw) São Paulo to win ★★★★☆ 80% São Paulo to win -73%
Spread -1.25 (Sao Paulo) -115, 1.25 (Alianza Lima) -105 São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread ★★★★☆ 75% São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread -100%
Over_under Over 2.5: -104, Under 2.5: -116 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60% Under 2.5 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 530%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 530% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to secure a victory given their home advantage and stronger form compared to Alianza Lima.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of São Paulo


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