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Sao Paulo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeo de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Sao Paulo, having won just 1 of their last 6 matches, hosts Vasco da Gama, who are winless in 7 of their last 8. Both teams are struggling for form and points in the league, with Sao Paulo favored at home but not dominant, while Vasco da Gama’s poor run puts them at a disadvantage[1][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has struggled recently, with only one win in six. Vasco da Gama is in worse form, winless in seven of eight. Both teams are below expectations but Sao Paulo is marginally better positioned at home.
  • Recent head-to-head results are not specified in available data, but traditional encounters have often been competitive. Neither side is dominant in this matchup historically.
  • No specific injury news provided in current sources.
  • The match is at a major stadium, Morumbi, likely with home support but both teams are underperforming, which could dampen momentum.
  • Both teams are in need of a turnaround, but Vasco da Gama’s more desperate situation may add pressure or galvanize effort.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -108, Vasco da Gama: 328, Draw: 237 Sao Paulo win medium (55%)
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.5 -108, Vasco da Gama: +50 -112 Sao Paulo -0.5 medium (50%)
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo is favored at home, but their recent poor form tempers expectations. Vasco da Gama’s struggles suggest they are unlikely to win, but a draw is possible given both teams’ lack of confidence. Expect a low-scoring, tight game.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bahia vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Série A fixture between Bahia (home) and São Paulo (away) promises a balanced but slightly home-favored contest. Bahia shows stronger goalscoring at home, while São Paulo has not won away this season and is struggling for form on the road. The head-to-head is close over the last 30+ meetings, but recent trends show a lack of goals and BTTS.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia averages 1.56 goals per match at home, with 71.43% of home games seeing over 1.5 goals. São Paulo averages 1.21 goals per match and is less prolific on the road, with 56.25% of away games over 1.5 goals and just 31.25% over 2.5. São Paulo has not won an away game this season in Serie A[1][2][3].
  • Bahia has won 10 of the last 30 direct matches, São Paulo 13, with 7 draws. Average goals per match between them is 2.10. Recent meetings have seen both teams fail to score, with no BTTS in the last 2 matches[1][3].
  • No significant injury news available from current sources.
  • Home advantage for Bahia is notable, but no specific external disruptions such as weather or travel issues are reported.
  • Bahia is motivated to solidify their home form, while São Paulo aims to turn around their poor away record. Neither team is in crisis, but both will be eager for points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 111 | São Paulo: 280 | Draw: 218 Bahia or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: -0.25 -125 | São Paulo: 25 105 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -120 | Under: 2 100 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored at home, given their superior home scoring and São Paulo's poor away form. However, recent head-to-head data suggests a tight game, possibly low-scoring. Expect a narrow Bahia win or a draw, with a slight preference for under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 1-1 (most likely 1-0 to Bahia)


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Sao Paulo vs. Club Atletico Talleres Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Club Atletico Talleres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Club Atletico Talleres in the final group stage match of the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D. Sao Paulo is currently unbeaten in the competition and leads the group, while Talleres cannot qualify for the Libertadores knockout rounds but aims to secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana playoffs. Sao Paulo's recent form includes a 1-1 draw against Libertad and a rare home defeat in domestic play, while Talleres is on a modest unbeaten streak in two games, returning recently to winning ways with a 2-0 home victory. Their previous meetings have been closely contested and low scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has maintained an unbeaten run in the Libertadores so far and sits atop Group D, demonstrating solid defense with three clean sheets in five matches. However, their recent home form in domestic league saw a 2-0 defeat, potentially impacting confidence. Talleres has been inconsistent but has stabilized with back-to-back unbeaten matches, including a convincing 2-0 win in their latest game. Historically, their encounters tend to produce under 2.5 goals, reflecting balanced competition.
  • The two teams have faced each other seven times in all competitions with an even split of two wins each. Six of these meetings have gone under 2.5 goals, suggesting tight contests with limited scoring.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the latest data, indicating both teams are expected to field near full-strength squads.
  • The match is played at Sao Paulo's home ground, Estádio do Morumbi, which provides home advantage. Talleres travels from Argentina, possibly facing travel fatigue but motivated to salvage group ambitions through the Copa Sudamericana.
  • Sao Paulo aims to consolidate their top spot and maintain unbeaten status in the group stage, likely focusing on a strong defensive display. Talleres, having no knockout Libertadores qualification available, is motivated to win for placement in the Copa Sudamericana knockout playoff, ensuring continued continental competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -105, Club Atletico Talleres: 350, Draw: 198 Sao Paulo win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.5 -105, Club Atletico Talleres: +50 -115 Sao Paulo -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo is favored to edge out a narrow victory given their unbeaten form, home advantage, and defensive solidity. A low-scoring contest under 2.5 goals is likely, with São Paulo managing a 2-1 win in a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Sao Paulo vs. Club Atletico Talleres Prediction Sao Paulo -0.5 -105 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Botafogo vs. Universidad de Chile Prediction Botafogo -1 -108 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)
River Plate vs. Club Universitario de Deportes Prediction Over 2.75 -105 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +634

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $146.82

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Sao Paulo vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)

Game Overview

Sao Paulo, a dominant force in recent head-to-heads, faces Mirassol, who are in strong form and currently higher in recent league standings. Recent stats suggest Sao Paulo typically controls play at home, while Mirassol shows resilience and improvement in away fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo is in good home form with recent wins at Morumbi. Mirassol has won their last five matches in Paulista A1, including two away. Both teams show solid but fluctuating form, with Sao Paulo generally stronger at home.
  • Sao Paulo holds a clear advantage historically, with 9–10 wins, 1 loss, and 4 draws out of 14–15 matches. Average goals per match tend to be high (around 3.07), with Sao Paulo scoring more and conceding fewer.
  • No significant injury news reported for either team at this time.
  • Sao Paulo playing at home (Morumbi) with home crowd support. Weather is expected to be normal for the season.
  • Both teams have solid league positions, with potential motivation to secure higher spots for tournament seeding or pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Sao Paulo: -152, Draw: 258, Mirassol: 495} Sao Paulo Moneyline ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread {Sao Paulo -0.75: -117, Mirassol +75: -103} Sao Paulo -0.75 (win by at least 1 goal) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under {Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120} Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo is favored due to home advantage and historical head-to-head dominance. However, Mirassol’s recent strong form suggests they could present a challenge. Expect a tight match with a likely home win, but Mirassol could keep it close.

Predicted Score: Sao Paulo 2-1 Mirassol


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Sao Paulo vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 18, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Grêmio in the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Grêmio has won only one of their last seven matches, indicating a tough period for the team. São Paulo, being the home team, has a strong advantage with odds favoring them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has been performing better than Grêmio recently, with Grêmio struggling to find consistency in their last few matches.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows São Paulo has an edge, especially given Grêmio's recent performance.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but Grêmio's form suggests they may be struggling with lineup consistency.
  • The match is being played at São Paulo's home stadium, which adds to their advantage.
  • São Paulo will be highly motivated to secure a home win, especially against a struggling opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo: -120, Grêmio: 360, Draw: 245 São Paulo win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread São Paulo: -0.5 -115, Grêmio: 50 -115 São Paulo to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 -113, Under: 2 -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 176%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 176% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to win due to their home advantage and Grêmio's recent form.

Predicted Score: São Paulo 1, Grêmio 0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Atalanta BC -150 200%
Sao Paulo vs. Grêmio Prediction Sao Paulo -120 176%
SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction SC Freiburg 135 67%

Combined Odds: +618 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $143.61

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Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Morumbí, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D clash features São Paulo hosting Libertad Asunción at the Estádio do Morumbí. São Paulo currently leads the group, with Libertad trailing closely in second place. The match carries significant weight for group standings and qualification prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has demonstrated solid form, holding the top position in Group D with a strong home record. Libertad, while competitive, have shown less consistency on the road but remain a threat given their attacking capabilities.
  • The teams have met once this season with São Paulo currently ahead in the standings. Historical direct encounters indicate São Paulo's slight advantage, especially when playing at home.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the current data; thus, both teams are presumed to have their key players available.
  • Playing at the iconic Morumbí stadium provides São Paulo with home advantage including fan support and familiar conditions. Weather or travel complications for Libertad are not reported.
  • São Paulo's motivation is high to maintain top group position and capitalize on home advantage. Libertad seeks to challenge strongly to close the gap and improve their qualification chances, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 510, Sao Paulo: -163, Draw: 250 São Paulo win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Libertad Asuncion +75: 101, Sao Paulo -0.75: -121 São Paulo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -114, Under 2 goals: -106 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 254%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 254% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given São Paulo's superior group standing, home advantage, and current form, the prediction favors a São Paulo victory, though Libertad can potentially challenge for a draw or narrow result.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Velez Sarsfield vs. C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction Velez Sarsfield -625 1020%
Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Sao Paulo -163 254%
FC Twente Enschede vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction FC Twente Enschede 135 53%

Combined Odds: +340 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $87.97

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Palmeiras vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Palmeiras and Sao Paulo are set to clash in a thrilling Brazilian Campeonato match. Palmeiras, with a strong home record, are favored to win, while Sao Paulo looks to upset their opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras have been performing well at home, with a historical advantage over Sao Paulo when hosting them. Sao Paulo has struggled in away games, which could impact their chances.
  • In their past encounters, Palmeiras have a slight edge over Sao Paulo, winning 28 out of 81 matches. However, recent performances show Sao Paulo gaining some ground.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team, which could affect their lineups.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could influence the match, with Palmeiras potentially benefiting from playing at home.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in the Campeonato, with Palmeiras seeking to maintain their position and Sao Paulo looking to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -150, Sao Paulo: 490, Draw: 255 Palmeiras to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Palmeiras: -0.75 -112, Sao Paulo: 75 -108 Palmeiras to cover ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 -114, Under: 2 -106 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are likely to win, given their home advantage and historical performance against Sao Paulo.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Palmeiras


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