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Sao Paulo vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Bragantino-SP in a Brazilian Serie A match with Sao Paulo as the clear favorite based on form and odds. Sao Paulo shows stronger recent performance and motivation, while Bragantino is underdog with limited injury concerns but less consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has been in better recent form with multiple wins and higher consistency in attack and defense. Bragantino's form is weaker and more erratic, impacting their away performance negatively.
  • Recent H2H matches favor Sao Paulo with multiple wins and few draws. Bragantino has struggled to secure points historically in this matchup.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either squad, enabling both teams to field strong lineups.
  • The match takes place at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, giving Sao Paulo a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral with no external disruptions.
  • Sao Paulo is motivated by position in the league to secure maximum points to maintain their ranking, while Bragantino has less at stake and may play more conservatively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo -133, Draw +259, Bragantino +400 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sao Paulo -0.75 (-105), Bragantino +75 (-115) Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-111), Under 2.25 (-109) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, Sao Paulo -0.75 on the spread, and under 2.25 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-06
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS)

Game Overview

São Paulo hosts Flamengo in a high-stakes Brasileirão Serie A clash. Both teams are in strong form, but Flamengo holds a slight edge in recent results and league position. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides favoring defensive organization and midfield control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo is second in the league and coming off a dominant 3-0 win, boasting strong attacking numbers and solid defense. São Paulo has won two in a row, including a 2-0 victory, but their overall season stats show lower scoring and higher defensive vulnerability compared to Flamengo.
  • Flamengo won the last H2H 2-0, and in the last 43 meetings, Flamengo has 15 wins to São Paulo's 16, with 12 draws. Recent H2H favors Flamengo, especially in away games.
  • No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are fielding their strongest available lineups.
  • The match is played at São Paulo's home stadium, but Flamengo has shown strong away form this season. Weather and pitch conditions are neutral.
  • Flamengo is fighting for the title and has a clear edge in motivation. São Paulo is mid-table and less pressured, but will want to challenge a top team at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -105, Sao Paulo: 315, Draw: 220 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Flamengo: -0.5, Sao Paulo: 50 Flamengo -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.25 110, Under: 2.25 -130 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win and under 2.5 goals in the match.

Predicted Score: São Paulo 0-1 Flamengo


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Vasco da Gama vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama hosts São Paulo in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A clash. Vasco is in strong home form, while São Paulo has struggled away and is inconsistent overall. The match is expected to be tight, with both teams having motivation to secure points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has won 6, lost 1, and drawn 3 in their last 10 matches, with a strong home record (7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses in 15 home games). São Paulo has won 3, lost 7, and drawn 0 in their last 10, with poor away form (only 3 wins in 10 away matches). Vasco averages 3.1 goals per game at home, while São Paulo averages 2.0 goals per game overall.
  • In the last 10 meetings, São Paulo has won 5, Vasco 3, and 2 ended in draws. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 80% of these matches, and over 2.5 goals in 50%. São Paulo has kept a clean sheet in 40% of these games, Vasco in 20%.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Vasco da Gama is playing at home, where they have a strong record. The match is being played at Estádio São Januário, which is known for its passionate atmosphere. São Paulo is traveling from São Paulo to Rio de Janeiro, which could have a minor impact on their performance.
  • Vasco da Gama is fighting to secure a top-half finish and is motivated to win at home. São Paulo is in a mid-table position and may be less motivated, but they will want to avoid a loss to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 118, away: 255, draw: 212 Vasco da Gama ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -0.25 -115, away: 25 -105 Vasco da Gama -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2 -130, under: 2 110 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vasco da Gama is the clear favorite to win this match, given their strong home form and São Paulo's poor away record. The match is expected to be tight, but Vasco's home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Serie A match between mid-table rivals with São Paulo seeking to improve their inconsistent season and Bahia aiming to climb higher into the upper half. Both sides have shown attacking intent but have struggled for consistency at the back.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo have won 6 of their last 10 home matches (60% win rate), while Bahia have only 2 wins in their last 10 away (20% win rate). Both teams have scored in a majority of their recent games, though São Paulo struggle for clean sheets and Bahia score regularly on the road. Neither team is in peak form, but São Paulo’s home edge is notable[2].
  • Head-to-head stats show São Paulo with a slight psychological edge, especially at home. Recent meetings have seen a mix of results, but nothing overwhelming in favor of either side. Neither team has dominated this fixture in the past year.
  • No major injuries reported in the latest starting lineups; both teams are expected to field close to full-strength XIs with minimal absences[3].
  • No significant external factors (weather, travel, suspensions, etc.) are reported that would impact the match.
  • Bahia are higher in the table but need points to challenge for a Copa Libertadores spot; São Paulo have more to play for in mid-table, with both teams desperate for a win to improve their final positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo -109, Draw +235, Bahia +310 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bahia +50 (-112), São Paulo -0.5 (-108) São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 +110, Under 2.25 -130 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 93%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo are slight favorites at home (best odds 2.07 vs Bahia 3.85), but the match is likely to be close, with both teams scoring and the Over 2.25 goals market as a value play given the league context and recent scoring trends[1][2].

Predicted Score: São Paulo 2-1 Bahia


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 25, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Brest vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Paris Saint Germain -275 422%
Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prediction Sao Paulo -109 93%
Napoli vs. Inter Milan Prediction Napoli 205 68%

Combined Odds: +697 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $159.5

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Mirassol vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified (Mirassol at home)

Game Overview

Mirassol, currently 4th in Serie A, hosts 8th-placed Sao Paulo in a tightly contested match with strong home side momentum and contrasting recent head-to-head results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol is in excellent form (13W-10D-5L, +17 GD), while Sao Paulo (10W-8D-9L, +3 GD) is inconsistent, especially away. Mirassol's home record is notably impressive.
  • Last meeting on May 24, 2025, Mirassol shocked Sao Paulo 2-0 at Morumbi, despite Sao Paulo being favored. This suggests a shift in the competitive balance between the clubs.
  • No recent injury news provided in available sources — fitness is assumed to be near full for both sides pending further updates.
  • No external disruptions reported (e.g., weather, crowd); home-field advantage likely a factor for Mirassol.
  • Mirassol is chasing a top-4 finish and qualification for Copa Libertadores. Sao Paulo is mid-table, likely already focused on next season, which could affect intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: +134, Sao Paulo: +225, Draw: +200 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mirassol -0.25 (+100), Sao Paulo +25 (-120) Mirassol -0.25 (pick 'em, half-win on draw) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 (-118), Under 2 (-102) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol maintains home superiority, leveraging form and motivation to secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Mirassol


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Grêmio vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 16, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio

Game Overview

Grêmio vs Sao Paulo is a critical matchup in the Brazilian Serie A, with both teams jostling for improved positions in the standings. Grêmio, currently 13th, faces Sao Paulo, who are 8th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has been inconsistent, while Sao Paulo has shown more stability but with fluctuations in form. Grêmio's home advantage is crucial.
  • Past matches between the two have seen close contests, with both teams capable of winning. However, Sao Paulo's recent form might give them an edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would heavily sway the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but no specific factors are set to significantly favor one team over the other.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Sao Paulo's need to stay higher in the table might give them an extra push.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: +195, Sao Paulo: +153, Draw: +215 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Grêmio: 0 +109, Sao Paulo: 0 -129 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -110, Under: 2 -110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight match with Grêmio likely to push for a home win, but Sao Paulo's recent form and standings position might make them competitively strong.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Grêmio


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Fortaleza vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Castelão, Fortaleza

Game Overview

Mid-table São Paulo travels to relegation-threatened Fortaleza in a Brasileirão Serie A clash with strong implications for both teams. Fortaleza is fighting for survival, while São Paulo seeks to consolidate a top-half position. Recent form favors São Paulo, but historical H2H and home-stand advantage suggest tight margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo sits 7th with 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses from their 24 games, while Fortaleza is 19th with just 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses from the same number of matches[1]. In their last 7 league meetings, Fortaleza has shown surprising resilience, winning 3, drawing 2, and losing just 2 (one by a single goal)[2]. Both teams are inconsistent, but Fortaleza’s poor league form places the pressure on them as hosts.
  • The recent H2H record is remarkably even and unpredictable: in the last 5 league encounters, Fortaleza won 3, São Paulo just 1, and 1 draw[2]. This trend of upsetting the odds at home gives Fortaleza a psychological edge.
  • No specific injury or suspension news is available, which is a critical factor for both teams’ motivation and tactical flexibility.
  • The match is being played in Fortaleza’s home stadium, historically a fortress, adding to the underdog’s potential to perform above form.
  • Fortaleza is fighting relegation, amplifying the urgency, while São Paulo’s motivation is higher-table consolidation. The drop-zone pressure could make Fortaleza’s squad over-perform, especially at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: +165 | Sao Paulo: +180 | Draw: +200 Fortaleza ML ★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread Fortaleza 0 (-118), Sao Paulo 0 (-102) Fortaleza PK ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 (-128), Under 2 (+108) Under 2.5 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tense, low-scoring match favoring the home underdog, with Fortaleza’s desperation and H2H history as key differentiators in a league where motivation often trumps form. Clear expected value in backing Fortaleza double chance (1X) or outright, on a draw or scrappy home win, rather than betting the spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Fortaleza


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Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Ceara in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A clash. Sao Paulo are the favorites with a slight edge in recent form and home advantage, while Ceara show resilience but have struggled away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo have a 9-8-7 record recently; form is mixed but includes key wins. Ceara stand at 7-7-9 with more draws and losses, especially struggling offensively on the road.
  • Their 2025 meeting ended in a 1-1 draw at Ceara’s home. Historically, Sao Paulo hold the upper hand with more wins and better performances at home.
  • No critical injuries reported for Sao Paulo; Ceará have a few minor absences but nothing that severely impacts starting XI.
  • Home crowd support strongly favors Sao Paulo; weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal; no significant travel fatigue for either side.
  • Sao Paulo are fighting for a higher league position and possible Libertadores qualification, giving strong motivation. Ceara aim to avoid relegation but are under pressure with less to play for.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -159, Draw: +267, Ceara: +514 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sao Paulo (-0.75): -123, Ceara (+75): 103 Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -122, Under 2 goals: 102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $201.13

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