Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil
Game Overview
Bragantino-SP, playing at home, face Santos in a tightly contested Brasileirão Serie A matchup. Bragantino is slight favorite per bookmakers, with both teams showing mixed recent form but Bragantino holding a slight edge due to home advantage and recent results.
Key Factors to Consider
Bragantino has had a mixed run with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses recently, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Santos has a 6-5-11 record with some struggles in away encounters and recent losses.
In their last meeting on 27/04/2025, Bragantino won 2-1 away at Santos, indicating competitive balance but a recent Bragantino edge.
No major injury reports for key starters on either side, thus both squads should field close to full strength.
Bragantino playing at home benefits from familiar conditions and crowd support. No unusual weather or travel concerns expected.
Both teams are motivated to gain points; Bragantino pushing to consolidate mid-table and Santos to escape lower rankings, but home advantage favors Bragantino's motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
+131
Bragantino-SP
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
-0.25 -102
Bragantino-SP -0.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
-110
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bragantino-SP 22%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Santos hosts Sao Paulo in a Brazilian Serie A clash featuring two teams with contrasting recent form and strong motivation to climb the league table.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos has a mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches, struggling for consistency at home. Sao Paulo is in better shape with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in last 5, showing improved attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
The last five meetings have been balanced with Santos winning 1, Sao Paulo 2, and 2 draws. Matches typically have competitive scorelines with slight edge to away team momentum.
No major injury concerns reported for either side, both squads expected to field strong line-ups.
Playing at home gives Santos some advantage, though Sao Paulo’s consistent form and potentially fresher squad reduce home edge impact.
Both teams are motivated for points, with Sao Paulo pushing for a higher table finish and Santos aiming to stabilize mid-table and avoid slipping.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
116
Santos
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
-0.25 -118
Santos -0.25
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Under 2 -115
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Santos 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santos to win on the moneyline, with cautious expectations on a close match and low goal volume favoring the under bet.
Atletico Mineiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão match where Atletico Mineiro is slight favorite but both teams have mixed recent form and influence from home/away performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Atletico Mineiro currently ranks 14th and has struggled for consistency, with some recent losses and draws. Santos ranks slightly lower at 16th but has been undefeated in their last 6 home matches (noting the venue will favor Atletico Mineiro this time). Atletico Mineiro has a stronger recent defensive record, including three clean sheets in a row.
Atletico Mineiro has not lost to Santos in the last 5 encounters and typically scores around 1.6 goals per game against them. Average goals in meetings tend to be low in the first half (0.4). The most common home result between Santos and Atletico Mineiro has been 3-1, usually when Santos is home, but this match is at Atletico Mineiro's stadium which historically gives them an advantage.
No prominent injuries reported from data; both teams appear to have their core squads available for this match.
The match is hosted at Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte, giving Atletico Mineiro home advantage. No adverse weather or other external disruptions reported.
Both teams sit near the relegation zone; Atletico Mineiro has slightly stronger motivation to secure home points to improve their league standing, while Santos aims to build on their good away resistance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atletico Mineiro: -125, Santos: 355, Draw: 245
Atletico Mineiro
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Atletico Mineiro -0.5: -122, Santos +50: 102
Atletico Mineiro -0.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atletico Mineiro -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline with under 2.5 goals scored in the match.
This Brasileirão Serie A match features a mid-to-lower table Santos (15th place, 21 points) hosting Fluminense, who are mid-table (9th place, 27 points). Both teams have to push for points as Fluminense aims to climb further up the standings while Santos tries to avoid the relegation zone.
Key Factors to Consider
Fluminense has a slightly better recent form and position with 8 wins in 19 matches versus Santos' 6 wins in 20 matches. Santos has struggled with a -11 goal difference compared to Fluminense's -3.
Recent head-to-head favors Fluminense with a higher probability to win (46.86%) compared to Santos (34.94%) and a lower draw chance (18.2%).
No significant absentees reported for either side that would drastically affect starting lineups.
No notable external conditions (weather, travel issues) affect the match. Home advantage slightly favors Santos.
Fluminense motivated to improve their standing; Santos fighting relegation, adding competitive tension.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Fluminense: 212, Santos: 131, Draw: 220
Fluminense
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Fluminense: -0.25 -120, Santos: +25 100
Santos -0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 +105
Over 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Fluminense 47%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fluminense to win on the moneyline; Santos to cover the -0.25 spread; Over 2 goals.
Bahia hosts Santos in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A match with Bahia positioned 4th and Santos struggling at 15th in the table. Bahia shows stronger recent form and better goal difference, playing at home where they traditionally perform well.
Key Factors to Consider
Bahia holds a solid record with 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses in 18 matches this season, boasting a positive goal difference of +8. Santos has struggled with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, and a negative goal difference of -9 after 19 matches.
Recent encounters favor Bahia, who have consistently secured better results against Santos, enhanced by strong home form at Arena Fonte Nova.
No significant injury reports indicate major absences for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
Playing at home gives Bahia a notable advantage considering fan support and familiarity with pitch conditions. The match timing and venue do not impose unusual challenges.
Bahia, pushing for a top-table finish, have high motivation to secure three points. Santos, battling relegation threats, may play conservatively but need points to climb out of the drop zone.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bahia: -162, Draw: 285, Santos: 435
Bahia
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Bahia -0.75: -122, Santos +75: 102
Bahia -0.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bahia 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Santos and Vasco da Gama are closely matched in the Brazil Campeonato with Santos slightly favored as the home team. Both teams have struggled in recent form but Santos hold a minor edge in recent head-to-head and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos currently ranks 15th with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, showing inconsistency, while Vasco da Gama is 17th with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses. Santos has a slightly better goal difference (-4 vs -5). Recent matches show both teams underperforming, but Santos have home advantage.
In their last 10 meetings, Santos has won 5 times, Vasco 3, and 2 ended in draws. Historically, 70% of their encounters see over 1.5 goals, with 50% going over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring tendencies.
No significant injury reports available indicating major absences for either side, suggesting lineups will be close to full strength.
No notable external factors such as weather or travel issues affecting the match; venue is Santos's home ground which benefits them.
Both teams are entrenched in the bottom half of the table, fighting to avoid relegation. Santos may have slightly more motivation playing at home and aiming for points to improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Santos -107, Draw 245, Vasco 290
Santos
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Santos -0.5 -105, Vasco +50 -115
Santos -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Santos 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Santos to win; Spread: Santos -0.5; Over/Under: Over 2.25 goals