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Santos vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Santos hosting Grêmio at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. Santos enter as slight favorites despite a recent inconsistent form, while Grêmio have struggled away but remain competitive. Both teams have shown capability to score, suggesting a moderately open game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos have a 7-5-11 record with recent mixed results including defeats and draws, showing some home advantage but inconsistency. Grêmio hold a similar 7-8-9 record with recent draws and losses but are battling to gain points away from home.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, with tight contests and occasional draws. Neither team dominates decisively, indicating potential for a close match outcome.
  • No major injuries reported for either squad that would significantly weaken starting lineups, allowing both teams to field strong squads.
  • Playing at home gives Santos a venue advantage, but weather or pitch conditions are assumed normal with no reported disruptions or external impacts.
  • Both teams are motivated to earn points to improve or maintain mid-table standings toward season end, with Santos possibly more driven due to home support and pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos: +104, Grêmio: +255, Draw: +245 Santos ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Santos -0.5: +105, Grêmio +50: -125 Santos -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Santos to win outright given home advantage and current odds. For spread, taking Santos -0.5 is optimal reflecting their slight edge. Over/Under is predicted under 2.25 goals considering both teams' recent low-scoring patterns and cautious approach expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Palmeiras Win -260 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Santos vs. Grêmio Prediction Santos Win 104 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)
Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense Win 153 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +615

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $142.93

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Bragantino-SP vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP, playing at home, face Santos in a tightly contested Brasileirão Serie A matchup. Bragantino is slight favorite per bookmakers, with both teams showing mixed recent form but Bragantino holding a slight edge due to home advantage and recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has had a mixed run with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses recently, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Santos has a 6-5-11 record with some struggles in away encounters and recent losses.
  • In their last meeting on 27/04/2025, Bragantino won 2-1 away at Santos, indicating competitive balance but a recent Bragantino edge.
  • No major injury reports for key starters on either side, thus both squads should field close to full strength.
  • Bragantino playing at home benefits from familiar conditions and crowd support. No unusual weather or travel concerns expected.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points; Bragantino pushing to consolidate mid-table and Santos to escape lower rankings, but home advantage favors Bragantino's motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +131 Bragantino-SP ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -0.25 -102 Bragantino-SP -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino-SP Moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC Prediction FC Cincinnati 129 26%
Corinthians vs. Flamengo Prediction Under 2 -112 23%
Bragantino-SP vs. Santos Prediction Bragantino-SP 131 22%

Combined Odds: +901 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $200.26

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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025 – Archive 2025-09-28 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC Prediction FC Cincinnati 129 26%
Corinthians vs. Flamengo Prediction Under 2 -112 23%
Bragantino-SP vs. Santos Prediction Bragantino-SP 131 22%

Combined Odds: +901 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $200.26

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Santos vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Game Overview

Santos hosts Sao Paulo in a Brazilian Serie A clash featuring two teams with contrasting recent form and strong motivation to climb the league table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos has a mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches, struggling for consistency at home. Sao Paulo is in better shape with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in last 5, showing improved attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
  • The last five meetings have been balanced with Santos winning 1, Sao Paulo 2, and 2 draws. Matches typically have competitive scorelines with slight edge to away team momentum.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side, both squads expected to field strong line-ups.
  • Playing at home gives Santos some advantage, though Sao Paulo’s consistent form and potentially fresher squad reduce home edge impact.
  • Both teams are motivated for points, with Sao Paulo pushing for a higher table finish and Santos aiming to stabilize mid-table and avoid slipping.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 116 Santos ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread -0.25 -118 Santos -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Under 2 -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santos to win on the moneyline, with cautious expectations on a close match and low goal volume favoring the under bet.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão match where Atletico Mineiro is slight favorite but both teams have mixed recent form and influence from home/away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro currently ranks 14th and has struggled for consistency, with some recent losses and draws. Santos ranks slightly lower at 16th but has been undefeated in their last 6 home matches (noting the venue will favor Atletico Mineiro this time). Atletico Mineiro has a stronger recent defensive record, including three clean sheets in a row.
  • Atletico Mineiro has not lost to Santos in the last 5 encounters and typically scores around 1.6 goals per game against them. Average goals in meetings tend to be low in the first half (0.4). The most common home result between Santos and Atletico Mineiro has been 3-1, usually when Santos is home, but this match is at Atletico Mineiro's stadium which historically gives them an advantage.
  • No prominent injuries reported from data; both teams appear to have their core squads available for this match.
  • The match is hosted at Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte, giving Atletico Mineiro home advantage. No adverse weather or other external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams sit near the relegation zone; Atletico Mineiro has slightly stronger motivation to secure home points to improve their league standing, while Santos aims to build on their good away resistance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: -125, Santos: 355, Draw: 245 Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -0.5: -122, Santos +50: 102 Atletico Mineiro -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline with under 2.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Santos home stadium

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Serie A match features a mid-to-lower table Santos (15th place, 21 points) hosting Fluminense, who are mid-table (9th place, 27 points). Both teams have to push for points as Fluminense aims to climb further up the standings while Santos tries to avoid the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has a slightly better recent form and position with 8 wins in 19 matches versus Santos' 6 wins in 20 matches. Santos has struggled with a -11 goal difference compared to Fluminense's -3.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Fluminense with a higher probability to win (46.86%) compared to Santos (34.94%) and a lower draw chance (18.2%).
  • No significant absentees reported for either side that would drastically affect starting lineups.
  • No notable external conditions (weather, travel issues) affect the match. Home advantage slightly favors Santos.
  • Fluminense motivated to improve their standing; Santos fighting relegation, adding competitive tension.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: 212, Santos: 131, Draw: 220 Fluminense ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Fluminense: -0.25 -120, Santos: +25 100 Santos -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 +105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline; Santos to cover the -0.25 spread; Over 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense 212 47%
1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg Prediction 1. FC Köln 161 44%
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction Aston Villa -114 40%

Combined Odds: +1429 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $305.73

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Bahia vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Santos in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A match with Bahia positioned 4th and Santos struggling at 15th in the table. Bahia shows stronger recent form and better goal difference, playing at home where they traditionally perform well.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia holds a solid record with 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses in 18 matches this season, boasting a positive goal difference of +8. Santos has struggled with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, and a negative goal difference of -9 after 19 matches.
  • Recent encounters favor Bahia, who have consistently secured better results against Santos, enhanced by strong home form at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • No significant injury reports indicate major absences for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at home gives Bahia a notable advantage considering fan support and familiarity with pitch conditions. The match timing and venue do not impose unusual challenges.
  • Bahia, pushing for a top-table finish, have high motivation to secure three points. Santos, battling relegation threats, may play conservatively but need points to climb out of the drop zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -162, Draw: 285, Santos: 435 Bahia ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bahia -0.75: -122, Santos +75: 102 Bahia -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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