Match Analysis: Porto vs Nice – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between FC Porto and OGC Nice will take place at Estádio do Dragão. Porto currently rank 14th in UEFA club rankings and have collected 7 points in the group stage (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Nice hold 35th position and are still without a point after 4 defeats in the competition. Porto, under coach Francesco Farioli (formerly of Nice), are in good domestic form and have recently beaten Sintrense 4-0. Nice, however, are struggling, having suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to Olympique de Marseille, with a generally limited squad and internal issues concerning ownership group INEOS.

Key Factors to Consider

• Porto's form is strong in both domestic and Europa League play, showing offensive potency and defensive stability. Nice, in contrast, are in poor form, lacking points in Europa League group stage and suffering heavy recent defeats.
• Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but Porto's home advantage and form edge suggest a dominance over Nice. No direct recent results indicate close matches, reinforcing Porto as favorites.
• Current detailed injury data for both teams is not explicitly available in the search results, but no major injury warnings have been flagged which could drastically alter team strength.
• Motivation is notably on Porto's side, with Farioli facing his previous club Nice and aiming top the group. Venue is the Estádio do Dragão, giving Porto home advantage. Nice's squad limitations and off-field distractions may impact performance.
• Porto, leading the group with 7 points, have strong motivation to consolidate their position. Nice, winless so far, must secure points to stay in contention but face an uphill task against Porto’s strong side.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Porto: -247, Nice: 598, Draw: 390	Porto to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Porto -1.25: -109, Nice +1.25: -111	Porto -1.25	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.75: 100, Under 2.75: -120	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is strongly favored to win this match at home against Nice, with an expectation of control over the game and limited goals conceded. The prediction is a Porto win with under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Porto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, Netherlands

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts FC Porto in the UEFA Europa League group stage round 4. FC Utrecht stands 35th in club rankings and has struggled in this Europa League campaign, losing all three matches so far without scoring, conceding four goals. Porto, ranked 15th, is unbeaten in their domestic league with strong form and aims to maintain momentum in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utrecht has lost all Europa League group matches and scored zero goals, although recently ended a two-game losing run in their domestic league with a 1-0 win. Porto is in excellent form domestically with nine wins and one draw in ten games. Porto's consistency and goal-scoring contrast Utrecht's offensive struggles.
• Limited relevant historical data available, no detailed record of recent direct confrontations, but overall Porto’s higher ranking and league form provide an edge.
• No specific injury reports found for either team; lineups and detailed updates pending closer to match day.
• Match played at Utrecht's home ground Stadion Galgenwaard, which could provide home advantage. Yet Porto's superior form and team strength may offset this factor.
• Utrecht motivated to salvage points and avoid elimination from the Europa League, especially after recent win in domestic play. Porto motivated to maintain unbeaten streaks and secure qualification momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Utrecht: 315, Porto: -134, Draw: 300	Porto win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	FC Utrecht +75: -122, Porto -0.75: -108	Porto -0.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -125	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto to win the match, likely by a narrow margin given Utrecht's home advantage yet poor current form and Porto’s consistency.

Predicted Score: 0-2

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Porto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Nottingham Forest and FC Porto will take place at Nottingham's City Ground. Nottingham Forest currently ranks 25th in UEFA club standings, while Porto ranks significantly higher at 6th, reflecting a stronger European competition pedigree. Nottingham Forest is under new management with Sean Dyche, aiming to improve their recent challenging performances. Porto enters as favorites but will face a motivated home side in a crucial group stage match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nottingham Forest have struggled recently, showing inconsistency in performance and sitting lower in their domestic and European form. Porto has maintained stronger form domestically and in Europe, reflected in their higher ranking and consistent results.
• Historical head-to-head data between Nottingham Forest and Porto is limited, with no prominent recent competitive meetings. This adds unpredictability to the matchup as both teams have different playing styles and tactical approaches.
• No specific injury updates are publicly confirmed for either team close to the match date, suggesting both squads could be near full strength. However, minor fitness concerns typical for this point in the season might affect final lineups.
• The match is played in Nottingham, giving the home team a potential advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with the playing conditions. Additionally, tactical adjustments by managers, especially from Sean Dyche, could influence the match dynamics.
• Nottingham Forest will be highly motivated to secure points at home to bolster their standing in the Europa League group stage, especially under a recently appointed manager aiming to establish his influence. Porto, as the higher-ranked side, seeks to assert dominance and maintain top group position, driving a competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nottingham Forest: 157, Porto: 170, Draw: 230	Draw	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Nottingham Forest: 0 -120, Porto: 0 -110	Draw on spread (no clear winner)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nottingham Forest 25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nottingham Forest at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is narrowly favored to win given their stronger form and higher ranking, but Nottingham Forest's home advantage and motivation to avoid defeat suggest a closely contested match likely to end in a draw or a narrow Porto victory.

Predicted Score: 1-1

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Game	Pick	Odds	EV
LDU Quito vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction	Palmeiras-SP	146	40%
Nottingham Forest vs. Porto Prediction	Nottingham Forest	157	25%
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland Prediction	FC Midtjylland	114	18%

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Match Analysis: Porto vs Red Star Belgrade – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Do Dragão, Porto

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Red Star Belgrade in a UEFA Europa League group stage match at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto enters as the clear favorite at home against a traditionally strong but underdog visiting team from Serbia.

Key Factors to Consider

• Porto has a strong home record and solid performances in domestic and European competitions this season, while Red Star Belgrade is competitive but less consistent in away UEFA matches.
• Historically, matches between Porto and Red Star Belgrade have been limited in recent years. Available data shows no significant prior Europa League meetings, making direct head-to-head less predictable.
• No significant injury reports or squad restrictions have been reported for either team as of current data.
• The match will be refereed by Harm Osmers from Germany, with VAR available. No unusual external conditions, such as weather or fan restrictions, have been noted.
• Porto aims to assert dominance on home turf to secure early group stage points, while Red Star is motivated to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent to improve their European standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Porto: -300, Red_Star_Belgrade: 675, Draw: 435	Porto Win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Porto_-1.5: -110, Red_Star_Belgrade_+1.5: -120	Porto -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over_3: -120, Under_3: -110	Over 3 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is predicted to win the match, leveraging their home advantage and stronger recent form. The game is expected to be moderately high-scoring but controlled, with Porto likely to maintain a lead.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Salzburg vs Porto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-25
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg, Austria

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Salzburg and Porto is set for September 25, 2025, at the Red Bull Arena in Salzburg. Salzburg is ranked 28th, while Porto holds a higher position at 7th. Both teams enter the match with strong recent domestic performances and a competitive history.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salzburg have mixed recent form with a couple of draws and losses in the Austrian Bundesliga but showed strong attacking ability, e.g., 3-1 and 3-0 wins recently. Porto have been in excellent form in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, securing multiple wins including 3-0 and 4-0 scorelines, suggesting robust offensive and defensive performances.
• Previous head-to-head data between Salzburg and Porto is available but not extensive. Both teams are competitively matched with Porto historically being the stronger side, reflected in their higher UEFA ranking and status as two-time Europa League winners, whereas Salzburg was knocked out during Champions League qualification.
• No specific injury reports or absences were highlighted in the available data, implying both lineups could be near full strength for this fixture.
• The game is played at Salzburg's home venue, potentially giving them a home advantage. Porto's historical success in UEFA competitions and recent domestic dominance add to their confidence levels. There is no indication of adverse weather or other external disruptions.
• Salzburg aims to improve on their recent European performances, having been eliminated early from the Champions League. Porto, with a higher UEFA ranking and a history of Europa League success, will be motivated to assert dominance and continue their strong campaign started in the domestic league.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Porto: 103, Salzburg: 240, Draw: 255	Porto Win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Porto: -0.5 -106, Salzburg: +50 -124	Porto -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: +107	Over 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto 18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Porto at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is predicted to win narrowly due to their superior recent form, UEFA ranking, and historical success in European competitions, but Salzburg's home advantage and attacking potential suggest a competitive match likely decided by one goal.

Predicted Score: 1-2

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Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
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Match Analysis: Roma vs Porto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-20
• Time: 17:45:00Z
• Location: Stadio Olimpico

Game Overview

AS Roma hosts FC Porto in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League knockout round playoff. Roma will look to capitalize on their home advantage after a 1-1 draw in the first leg.

Key Factors to Consider

• Roma has shown strong form at home, while Porto has been inconsistent away from their stadium. Roma's ability to control the game and create scoring opportunities will be crucial.
• The teams drew 1-1 in the first leg, with Roma playing much of the game with ten men. This suggests that Roma can match Porto's intensity.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team, which means both will likely field their strongest lineups.
• Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no significant impact on the game.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the competition, but Roma's home advantage could give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Roma: -122, Porto: 380, Draw: 240	Roma	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Roma: -0.5 -120, Porto: 0.5 100	Roma -0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: 106, Under 2.5: -132	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Roma is likely to win due to their home advantage and strong recent form.

Predicted Score: Roma 1, Porto 0