Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies face the New York Mets at home, with Phillies favored in moneyline and spread betting. The Phillies have better recent form and a strong home advantage, especially with pitcher Jesus Luzardo starting against Mets' David Peterson.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies hold an 86-60 record, winning 4 of last 5 games; Mets are 76-70, with 0 wins in last 5. Phillies flag strong home performance while Mets look to rebound from recent heavy loss to Phillies.
Luzardo has a 3-1 record with 2.12 ERA versus the Mets, while Peterson is 0-2 with a 5.84 ERA against Phillies in their recent matchups. Phillies have overall edge in recent H2H.
No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact lineup or starting pitching for this matchup.
Game played outdoors at Citizens Bank Park, Phillies’ home ballpark known for hitter-friendly conditions, which could aid scoring. No adverse weather expected.
Phillies aim to consolidate playoff positioning with a win at home; Mets seek redemption and improvement after recent slump and heavy loss against same opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -136, New York Mets +116
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +140, New York Mets +1.5 -170
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -108, Under 8.5 -112
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – New York Mets 3
The Philadelphia Phillies (83-59) visit the Miami Marlins (65-77) at loanDepot Park in a late-season MLB matchup. Phillies are a strong team seeking to maintain pace with a record above .500, while the Marlins have struggled recently with multiple losing streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 5.3 runs per game in away matches, while Marlins have lost their last 5 overall and last 4 at home. Phillies maintain higher offensive production with a solid pitching staff led by Taijuan Walker (4-7, 3.92 ERA). Marlins have not announced a starter, adding uncertainty.
Phillies are 7-2 against the Marlins this season and generally outperform them, particularly in away games. Marlins have led after early innings in recent Sunday home games but have struggled to sustain leads.
No major injury reports available; starting pitcher for Marlins is TBD which may negatively impact their consistency.
Game played at Marlins’ home stadium; weather and other external factors appear neutral with no reported issues. The Phillies have been historically less effective as road favorites following wins, but recent form suggests stabilization.
Phillies motivated to maintain strong playoff positioning; Marlins play spoiler role with less incentive given current record but have covered recent run lines as underdogs which may influence aggressive early play.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-126
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
+130
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-105 (Over), -115 (Under)
Under 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies moneyline
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Miami Marlins 3
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers (86-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (80-59) in an important late-season matchup. Both teams have strong playoff aspirations with the Brewers leading the NL Central and the Phillies atop the NL East. Starting pitching features Brewers' Freddy Peralta against Phillies' Ranger Suarez. Recent series shows split results, with the Phillies having won some key recent games but the Brewers holding a home advantage and better overall record.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee boasts an 86-54 record with strong home performance (46-25), a high win percentage as favorites (65.8%), and good recent form. Philadelphia is 80-59, with a solid offense led by Kyle Schwarber and a pitching staff with 3.85 ERA. Phillies are slightly disadvantaged on the road and have been inconsistent against top teams recently.
The season series is competitive; Phillies won 3 of 4 prior to this game, but Brewers won the last two matchups. Ranger Suarez (Phillies) has a 0-1 record with a 3.04 ERA vs. Brewers, while Freddy Peralta’s stats indicate a reliable home presence.
No major injuries reported that would impact starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
Game played at Brewers’ home field favors them due to strong home record and fan support. Weather conditions expected to be stable, no rain delays forecasted.
Milwaukee seeks to solidify their playoff positioning with an NL Central lead, while Philadelphia fights to maintain NL East supremacy. Both teams are highly motivated, but Brewers’ recent better form and home advantage tilt motivation slightly in their favor.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
milwaukee: -122, philadelphia: +104
Milwaukee Brewers
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
milwaukee_-1.5: +158, philadelphia_+1.5: -194
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_7.5: -118, under_7.5: -104
Under 7.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win outright on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – 3 Philadelphia Phillies