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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:35 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (89-60) host the Kansas City Royals (74-75) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have a strong winning streak and home advantage while the Royals are struggling below .500 with inconsistency this season. Starting pitchers are Aaron Nola (PHI) with a 4-8 record and 6.24 ERA vs. Noah Cameron (KC) with a 7-7 record and 3.00 ERA, favoring the Royals' starter performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies hold a superior overall and recent form record (89-60 overall, 9-1 last 10 games) compared to the Royals (74-75 overall, 4-6 last 10). Phillies have lost 6 of their last 10 home games but currently hold a 6-game winning streak. Royals have struggled away with a 34-40 record on the road.
  • Recent head-to-head data unavailable, but Phillies have been dominant in season form and momentum with a recent 8-6 win over Royals on September 13.
  • Key Phillies injuries: Alec Bohm, Dylan Robert, T. Turner, Zack Wheeler, E. Sosa. Royals injuries: C. Ragans, K. Bubic, M. Wacha. Injury impact likely favors Phillies depth despite some missing players.
  • Game played at Phillies' home park, Citizens Bank Park, which generally favors the home team. Weather and other external conditions not stated but likely typical for mid-September in Philadelphia.
  • Phillies are competing for the NL East title with playoff aspirations at stake, adding high motivation. Royals are out of playoff contention with less urgency, likely impacting competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kansas City Royals: +136, Philadelphia Phillies: -150 Philadelphia Phillies to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-153), Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+133) Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 9 runs (-110), Under: 9 runs (-110) Over 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win due to home advantage, superior recent form, and stronger motivation. Pitching matchup slightly favors Royals starter but overall team strength and momentum tilt towards Phillies.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – 4 Kansas City Royals


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction Detroit Tigers -1.5 110 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers Prediction New York Mets Win -160 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 133 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +695

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $159.02

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, leading the NL East with an 86-60 record, host the New York Mets, who are second in the division at 76-70. The Phillies are aiming for a four-game sweep after an emphatic 11-3 victory over the Mets in their previous meeting. Starting pitchers are Jesús Luzardo (Phillies, 13-6, 4.01 ERA) and David Peterson (Mets, 9-5, 3.72 ERA).

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies have been dominant at home with a 48-23 record and possess the fourth-ranked NL slugging percentage (.428). The Mets have struggled on the road with a 31-43 record and are in a five-game losing skid, though they have a strong slugging percentage (.429) ranking sixth in MLB.
  • This game is the 13th matchup this season between these division rivals. The Mets hold a narrow 7-5 edge in the season series but have lost the last five games. The Phillies lead the recent momentum decisively.
  • No major injuries reported affecting key players for either side as of current information.
  • Playing at Phillies' home park provides them an added advantage; weather or other external factors were not noted as significant.
  • Phillies aim to clinch the NL East soon and maintain their division lead, motivated to keep the momentum against a Mets squad trying to halt a losing streak and stay in wild card contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Mets: +116, Philadelphia Phillies: -136 Philadelphia Phillies to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread New York Mets: +1.5 -170, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 140 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 8.5 -108, Under: 8.5 -112 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies win with a strong likelihood, leveraging home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and more consistent pitching performance.

Predicted Score: Phillies 7 – Mets 4


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 11, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction Under 8.5 -104 18%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction Over 8.5 -108 16%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Under 8 -114 13%

Combined Odds: +609 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $141.83

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction New York Yankees Win -168 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -172 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros Prediction Toronto Blue Jays Win -132 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +343

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $88.68

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Miami Marlins -134 22%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 9 101 21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction Philadelphia Phillies 106 17%

Combined Odds: +623 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $144.61

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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 5:41 PM UTC
  • Location: loanDepot park, Miami, FL

Game Overview

This MLB match features the Miami Marlins hosting the Philadelphia Phillies in the final game of a three-game series. The Phillies lead the NL East standings by seven games and aim to maintain their division lead. The starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker (4-7, 3.92 ERA), while Miami's starter remains undecided, adding uncertainty to their pitching strength. Phillies have the upper hand in pitching and recent consistency, playing away from home against a Marlins team still settling their rotation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Phillies have demonstrated strong performance this season and currently hold a commanding lead in the NL East. Miami Marlins have struggled to finalize their starting pitcher situation for this game, possibly affecting their competitiveness.
  • The Phillies have generally been favored in recent matchups in this series, given their stronger starting pitching and standings advantage. The current series is concluding with this game at Miami's home field.
  • No significant injuries were reported for either team that could critically affect the match outcome.
  • Home field advantage is with the Miami Marlins, but the pitching uncertainty for Miami and Phillies’ strong form reduce the impact of venue advantage. Weather and other external factors have not been indicated to affect gameplay.
  • Philadelphia is motivated to secure the division by avoiding any late-season slip-ups. Miami may be playing with less pressure but needs to capitalize on home advantage and unsettle Philadelphia.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Marlins: +108, Philadelphia Phillies: -126 Philadelphia Phillies to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Miami Marlins: -1.5 -164, Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 136 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 9 -105, Under: 9 -115 Estimate close to Over 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win considering superior pitching stability and overall season performance. Miami’s undecided starting pitcher lowers their chances.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Miami Marlins 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 5, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 5, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8 -105 17%
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 8 -110 15%
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Under 10.5 -122 13%

Combined Odds: +578 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $135.65

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 5, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Chicago Cubs Win -230 ★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Boston Red Sox Win -126 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -164 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +314

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $82.85

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-04
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Philadelphia Phillies in a decisive game 3 of their three-game MLB series. Both teams are highly competitive, with playoff stakes significant for their respective divisions. Milwaukee is favored at home with strong overall season performance but recent mixed results. Philadelphia aims to maintain momentum after splitting the series so far, boasting solid pitching and notable offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee Brewers hold an 86-54 record with a 5-run average per game and experience some bullpen inconsistency; the Phillies are 80-59 with a 3.85 ERA pitching staff and strong batting averages led by Kyle Schwarber's 49 HRs and 119 RBIs. Milwaukee has a 65.8% win rate as moneyline favorites this season while Philadelphia is 39.1% winning as underdogs.
  • Milwaukee has 35 wins historically against Philadelphia's 33. At home, Brewers have 15 wins compared to Phillies' 18 wins on the road. The home team averages 4.84 runs per game vs. Philadelphia's 4.33 runs per game.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting either team’s starting lineups or pitching staffs for this game.
  • Home field advantage for Milwaukee at American Family Field, with a strong home record (46-25). Weather and venue conditions presumed neutral and typical for early September in Milwaukee.
  • Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning late in the season. The Brewers seek to solidify their standing, while the Phillies aim to gain ground in their division, making this a high-stakes, closely contested matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers: -122, Philadelphia Phillies: 104 Milwaukee Brewers win ★★★☆☆ 54%
Spread Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 158, Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -194 Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 runline cover ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 7.5: -118, Under 7.5: -104 Under 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers are predicted to win this match based on home advantage, stronger recent performance as favorites, and historical edge in scoring and head-to-head at home.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Philadelphia Phillies 3


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