Match Analysis: Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-05
• Time: 12:21 AM UTC
• Location: Lincoln Financial Field

Game Overview

Season opener featuring the Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Dallas Cowboys, who recently traded away their top defensive player Micah Parsons, significantly impacting their defense and overall team strength.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Eagles enter as strong favorites with dominant defense and balanced offense, whereas the Cowboys' offense may struggle due to loss of key players and potentially rusty QB play; Eagles defense excelled last season allowing only 16.6 points per game at home.
• Recent matchups heavily favor the Eagles; Cowboys scored just 13 points combined in last two games against Eagles without their starting QB Dak Prescott.
• Cowboys severely impacted by Micah Parsons trade, weakening their defense; no major injury concerns reported for Eagles at this time.
• Game played at Eagles' home stadium with favorable weather (75°F, no rain), supporting the home team's advantage.
• Eagles motivated as defending champions to start season strong; Cowboys face challenge of integrating roster changes impacting morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -425, away: +330	Philadelphia Eagles	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	home: -105, away: -115, line: 8.5	Philadelphia Eagles -8.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110, line: 47.5	Under 47.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Philadelphia Eagles -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Eagles to win both moneyline and cover the spread; total points expected to go under 47.5 due to Cowboys' compromised offense against elite Eagles defense.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Eagles 27 – Dallas Cowboys 14