Match Analysis: Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 9:05 PM UTC
- Location: State Farm Stadium
Game Overview
The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-4) travel to face the Arizona Cardinals (3-7) in a Week 12 matchup at State Farm Stadium. The Jaguars are surging after a strong win over the Raiders, while the Cardinals have struggled this season, currently sitting near the bottom of the NFC West. The Cardinals will be led by veteran QB Jacoby Brissett, who has shown flashes of competence but has not been able to lift the team consistently. The Jaguars, meanwhile, have been more balanced and are fighting for playoff positioning in the AFC South.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville has a 6-4 record, with a balanced offense and defense, averaging 240 points scored and 226 allowed. Arizona is 3-7, with a weaker offense (224 points scored) and defense (256 points allowed). The Jaguars have shown resilience, winning close games, while the Cardinals have struggled to finish, especially at home (1-4).
- The Cardinals lead the all-time series 4-2, but recent matchups have been competitive. The Jaguars have won the last two meetings, including a close game in 2023. The Cardinals' home advantage is minimal this season, and the Jaguars have shown they can win on the road.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to have their starting lineups available, which is crucial for the Jaguars' offensive consistency and the Cardinals' defensive efforts.
- The game will be played at State Farm Stadium with a retractable roof, which is likely to be closed due to weather. The Cardinals' home field advantage is limited this season, and the Jaguars are well-prepared for indoor conditions. The Cardinals' fan support is strong, but the team's recent performance has dampened enthusiasm.
- The Jaguars are motivated to secure a playoff spot and improve their standing in the AFC South. The Cardinals, while out of playoff contention, are looking to build momentum for the future and avoid a losing season. The Jaguars have more to play for, which could be a decisive factor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Cardinals: 130, Jacksonville Jaguars: -155 | Jacksonville Jaguars | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Arizona Cardinals: 3 -118, Jacksonville Jaguars: -3 -102 | Jacksonville Jaguars -3 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 47.5 -108, Under: 47.5 -112 | Over 47.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville Jaguars -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 47.5 6% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Jaguars are favored to win this game due to their superior record, recent form, and motivation. The Cardinals are likely to put up a fight, especially with Brissett at quarterback, but their defensive struggles and lack of consistency make it difficult to see them pulling off an upset. The game is expected to be competitive, but the Jaguars should come out on top.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 27, Arizona Cardinals 24