Match Analysis: Richard Mahan vs Patrick Cornett – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-02
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome
Game Overview
Welterweight Division bout between Richard Mahan (2-1-0) and Patrick Cornett (2-2-0) in the United Fight League 6 event. Mahan represents Team Scottsdale as the home fighter, while Cornett fights for Team Orange County. The match occurs at a neutral venue despite Team affiliations.
Key Factors to Consider
- Team Scottsdale and Orange County's recent performances are unspecified, but both fighters enter with similar experience levels in professional MMA.
- No prior head-to-head record found between Mahan and Cornett.
- No injury reports disclosed. Cornett's Instagram post ('may be my last fight') suggests potential retirement considerations but no physical limitations.
- Event occurs at Westworld Scottsdale, which may provide a slight crowd advantage for Mahan as the designated 'home' fighter.
- Cornett's social media hints at this potentially being his final fight, which could drive an aggressive approach. Mahan seeks to defend home-region credibility.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mahan -450 | Cornett +275 | Mahan by decision | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Mahan -3.5 | Cornett +3.5 (estimated) | Mahan covers spread via decision | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 Rounds (-150) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+120) (hypothetical based on trends) | Over 1.5 Rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richard Mahan 193% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Mahan at 193% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 70% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Richard Mahan wins by decision (confidence: 70%) due to slight record advantage and home-region support. Cornett's higher risk-taking could lead to a submission upset.
Predicted Score: Mahan via unanimous decision (29-28 across all scorecards)