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Tye Ruotolo vs. Dante Leon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tye Ruotolo vs Dante Leon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

This is a submission grappling world title trilogy match between reigning ONE welterweight champion Tye Ruotolo (7-0 in ONE) and challenger Dante Leon, with their head-to-head record tied 1-1. The bout serves as the co-main event of ONE Fight Night 31, marking their first meeting under ONE Championship rules.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ruotolo is undefeated in ONE Championship (7-0) with multiple submission wins. Leon is a two-time IBJJF world champion, though less tested under ONE's unique submission-only ruleset.
  • Split 1-1 (Leon won their first meeting pre-ONE, Ruotolo won the second). This rubber match occurs under ONE's distinct rule set favoring aggressive submission hunting.
  • Ruotolo recently recovered from a 2024 knee injury but has had 9 months to rehab. No recent injury reports for Leon.
  • Ruotolo's imminent MMA debut plans (vs. Adrian Lee) could either motivate exceptional performance or create distraction, though he claims full focus on Leon.
  • Leon explicitly states this represents 'the best era of submission grappling' and seeks to cement his legacy. Ruotolo aims to maintain his unbeaten ONE streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ruotolo -350 / Leon +225 Ruotolo moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tye Ruotolo 128%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tye Ruotolo at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ruotolo by submission (confidence: 75%) due to superior ONE-specific experience and rule set mastery. Leon's +225 odds represent value for an upset given his world-class pedigree.

Predicted Score: Submission victory for Ruotolo via choke/leg lock within regulation time (10 min).


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Tye Ruotolo vs. Dante Leon Prediction

Match Analysis: Tye Ruotolo vs Dante Leon – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-02 Time: 11:00 PM UTC Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand Game Overview This is a submission grappling world title trilogy match between reigning ONE welterweight champion Tye Ruotolo (7-0 in ONE) and challenger Dante Leon, with their head-to-head record tied 1-1. The bout […]

Dante Leon May 2, 2025 MMA/Boxing Tye Ruotolo

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Ben Jacobsen vs. Rodney Hinton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ben Jacobsen vs Rodney Hinton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 02, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated fighters Ben Jacobsen and Rodney Hinton, both making their professional bare-knuckle debuts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • No prior professional records available for either fighter (listed as 0-0-0 for both participants).
  • No historical matchup data exists between these fighters.
  • No injury reports available for either competitor.
  • Event occurs in standard BKFC ring environment at a dedicated combat sports venue. Fight scheduled for 5 rounds under standard bare-knuckle rules.
  • Both fighters aim to establish themselves in BKFC's welterweight division through debut performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jacobsen +140 / Hinton -180 Rodney Hinton moneyline ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodney Hinton 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodney Hinton at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodney Hinton via decision (confidence tempered by lack of professional records)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (No official scorecards – BKFC uses judges' decision)


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Ali Saldoev vs. Jordan Estupinan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ali Saldoev vs Jordan Estupinan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok

Game Overview

Flyweight Muay Thai clash between undefeated Colombian Jordan Estupinan (recent decision win over Freddie Haggerty) and Russian KO artist Ali Saldoev (notable debut KO at ONE 166). Estupinan aims to build momentum; Saldoev seeks redemption after recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estupinan: Undefeated record, tactical striking versatility. Saldoev: Explosive power, Fight Club Archangel Michael training.
  • First meeting between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Event held at Lumpinee Stadium (neutral venue), U.S. primetime broadcast pressure.
  • Estupinan seeks top-tier ranking path; Saldoev aims to reassert himself as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saldoev +150 | Estupinan -200 Estupinan (favored) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-150) | Under 2.5 rounds (+120) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Estupinan 55%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Estupinan at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estupinan by decision (60% confidence) due to superior technical striking and proven composure in high-paced fights.

Predicted Score: Estupinan via unanimous decision (3 rounds)


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Christian Avalos vs. Jose Estrada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Avalos vs Jose Estrada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento, California

Game Overview

Christian 'Land Shark' Avalos, the reigning A1 Combat Lightweight Champion, is set to defend his title against Jose 'Froggy' Estrada on May 2, 2025. This bout marks a significant challenge for both fighters as they face off in the main event of A1 Combat 27. Given Avalos's strong reputation and title defense, he enters the match as a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Christian Avalos has a dominant performance record, and his status as the reigning champion suggests a strong skillset. Jose Estrada, although less renowned, may still pose a threat with potential upset strategies.
  • There is no reported prior bout between the two fighters, which means this will be their first encounter.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The home crowd might slightly favor Avalos due to his higher profile, but Estrada may have some local support in Sacramento.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Avalos to retain his title and Estrada for the title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1400 (Avalos), 800 (Estrada) Christian Avalos to win ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Avalos -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christian Avalos at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Avalos is predicted to win this bout due to his strong title defense record and current form.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Christian Avalos


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Nathan Rivera vs. Alex Castro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan Rivera vs Alex Castro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Nathan Rivera, with a 4-0 record in BKFC, is set to face Alex Castro, who is transitioning from MMA to BKFC, in a featherweight bout. The stakes are high given Rivera's undefeated BKFC record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rivera has shown consistency in his BKFC career, while Castro's recent transition from MMA to BKFC presents uncertainty in performance.
  • There is no prior head-to-head record between the two fighters.
  • No current information on injuries for either fighter.
  • The transition from MMA to BKFC could impact Castro's adaptability.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, especially Castro seeking to prove himself in a new discipline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nathan Rivera: -400, Alex Castro: 250 Nathan Rivera to win ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nathan Rivera 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Rivera at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Rivera is the favored winner due to his undefeated BKFC record.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for this sport; a win for Nathan Rivera is predicted.


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Crystal Pittman vs. Claudia Zamora Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Crystal Pittman vs Claudia Zamora – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout between undefeated Crystal Pittman (3-0) and Claudia Zamora. Pittman trains at Shift MMA alongside BKFC standouts, while Zamora appears motivated after a year-long fight cancellation. Pittman's aggressive style and gym switch to Shift MMA could be pivotal factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pittman: Undefeated (3-0) with wins over quality opposition. Zamora: Limited public fight records available.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Pittman's recent gym switch to Shift MMA (home to BKFC champions) suggests technical improvements. Zamora's year-long fight cancellation adds emotional motivation.
  • Pittman seeks to maintain undefeated status. Zamora aims to capitalize on rescheduled opportunity after 2024 cancellation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Crystal Pittman -165 | Claudia Zamora +125 Crystal Pittman ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Crystal Pittman 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Crystal Pittman at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pittman by decision (higher probability) or late stoppage. Zamora's path to victory requires early aggression to counter Pittman's technical evolution.

Predicted Score: Cannot predict scores in MMA – Pittman favored via judges' decision or late-round stoppage.


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Chachi Versace vs. Anthony Yost Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chachi Versace vs Anthony Yost – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BKFC event (specific venue not stated)

Game Overview

Flyweight BKFC professional debut for Chachi Versace vs Anthony Yost's 32nd combat sports appearance. Yost has significantly more experience (16+ years), while Versace is newer (fighting since 2022) but active as an amateur.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yost's veteran status (32 fights since 2009) vs Versace's raw activity (multiple amateur fights condensed since 2022)
  • No prior meetings
  • No injury reports available
  • Yost references 'enemy territory' (possible crowd disadvantage), Versace's professional debut nerves
  • Yost aims to 'put a local's dream on hold' (underdog mentality), Versace seeks successful pro debut

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yost +140 / Versace -180 Versace (bookmaker favorite) ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chachi Versace 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chachi Versace at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Yost via veteran savvy (confidence lower due to unknown BKFC transition factors)

Predicted Score: Yost via TKO (Round 2) – confidence 45% / Versace via decision (confidence 55% aligning with odds)


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Royal Ryan Reber vs. Matt Guymon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Royal Ryan Reber vs Matt Guymon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 02, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Bantamweight co-main event between Ryan 'Royal' Reber (6-1-1) and Matt Guymon (2-0) at BKFC Fight Night Clearwater 2025. Reber seeks redemption after a recent championship bid loss, while Guymon aims to extend his two-fight BKFC win streak against ranked opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reber: 2-2-1 in last 5 (KO loss to Alberto Blas in title fight). Guymon: 2-0 BKFC record (third-round TKO in last fight).
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Reber fights in hometown Clearwater with crowd support advantage.
  • Reber needs win to rebuild title contention. Guymon seeks career-defining victory over ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Reber -650 / Guymon +375 Royal Ryan Reber ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Royal Ryan Reber -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Royal Ryan Reber at -19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Reber by KO/TKO in mid-to-late rounds. His superior BKFC experience (9 fights) and technical striking outweigh Guymon's momentum.

Predicted Score: Reber via TKO at 1:45 of Round 4


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Mirali Huseynov vs. Shimon Smotritsky Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mirali Huseynov vs Shimon Smotritsky – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento

Game Overview

Welterweight Championship bout between defending champion Mirali Huseynov (9-3) and challenger Shimon Smotritsky. Representing AKA and Extreme Couture respectively, both fighters are high-level prospects with aggressive styles. The event is A1 Combat 27.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Huseynov (champion) enters with a 9-3 record and championship experience. Smotritsky’s record isn’t specified, but Extreme Couture’s striking-focused training suggests technical prowess.
  • No prior fights between these competitors.
  • No injury reports mentioned in pre-fight materials.
  • AKA’s wrestling-heavy approach vs. Extreme Couture’s striking emphasis creates a classic grappler vs. striker dynamic.
  • Huseynov aims to defend his title, while Smotritsky seeks his first championship in a major promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Huseynov -135 / Smotritsky -105 Huseynov via decision ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirali Huseynov 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirali Huseynov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Close fight with Huseynov’s championship experience and AKA’s grappling edge giving him a slight advantage. However, Smotritsky’s technical striking could counter effectively if he maintains distance.

Predicted Score: Huseynov via split decision (48-47)


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Samuel Samples vs. Michael Larrimore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Samuel Samples vs Michael Larrimore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

This BKFC featherweight bout features Samuel Samples (balanced power striker) against Michael Larrimore (quick starter with grappling pedigree). Samples relies on fight-ending power despite lower output, while Larrimore thrives in early knockouts but remains untested in deeper rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Samples: 2 wins (low volume/high power). Larrimore: Undefeated BKFC streak with early KOs[1][2]
  • First meeting between fighters[3][4]
  • No reported injuries[1][2]
  • Larrimore's local Florida advantage[2][5]
  • Both fighters aiming for title contention[1][2]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Larrimore -245 | Samples +170 Larrimore ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Larrimore -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Larrimore at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Larrimore by KO/TKO within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Larrimore via KO/TKO (Round 2)


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