Palmeiras hosting Ceará in Serie A Round 19 with Palmeiras historically dominant at home and having won the last 3 encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras sits 3rd with 33 points from 16 matches (10W-3D-3L), scoring 21 goals and conceding 14. They are in decent form (ldwwwd). Ceará is 11th with 22 points from 17 matches (6W-4D-7L), more inconsistent with a 3W-2L recent split.
Palmeiras leads the H2H with 11 wins to Ceará's 4, and 5 draws out of 20 meetings. Palmeiras have won the last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ceará's 1.1.
No specific major injuries reported for either side ahead of the clash, lineups expected close to full strength.
The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground Allianz Parque, giving them a home advantage backed by strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
Palmeiras motivated to maintain top table position and push for title; Ceará fighting to climb away from the mid-table logjam.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras -205, Draw 320, Ceará 600
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Palmeiras -1 -115, Ceará +1 -105
Palmeiras -1
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline and cover the -1 spread; match to stay under 2.25 total goals.
Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas (source typical for Vitoria's home matches)
Game Overview
Palmeiras is the strong favorite against Vitoria, currently positioned 3rd in the league with 32 points from 15 matches, whereas Vitoria struggles at 15th with 17 points from 17 matches. Palmeiras has a clear edge in form, quality, and recent head to head, while Vitoria has shown resilience with draws but struggles to win.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras has won 10 of 15 matches with a +7 goal difference; Vitoria has only 3 wins with a -4 goal difference and more losses. Recent form favors Palmeiras who have beaten Vitoria in most recent meetings decisively.
Palmeiras has dominated recent H2H with multiple wins including 3-1 and 1-0 victories; Vitoria has no recent wins over Palmeiras in the last several encounters.
No significant injuries reported for Palmeiras; Vitoria has no major absences noted and fields usual starters.
Match is at Vitoria’s home ground, but Palmeiras has demonstrated strong away form. No unusual external conditions noted.
Palmeiras motivated to continue top 3 position and gain points, Vitoria fights to avoid relegation zone but historically struggles to get points versus top teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras -110, Vitoria 350, Draw 235
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Palmeiras -0.5 -110, Vitoria +50 -110
Palmeiras -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras win on moneyline, Palmeiras -0.5 on spread, Under 2 goals on over/under
Palmeiras hosts Grêmio in a Brazilian Campeonato match where Palmeiras demonstrates recent strong home form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups, while Grêmio struggles with away performance and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring consistently with an average of 1.67 goals per game. Grêmio is in weaker form with only 1 win in their last 6 matches and lower scoring at 1.0 goal per game.
Palmeiras leads in direct encounters with 20 wins to Grêmio's 11 out of 46 matches, with 15 draws. Historically, matches average 2.35 goals with Palmeiras winning the majority at home.
No significant injury information is available from the data, so both teams likely field close to full-strength squads.
Playing at Allianz Parque home grounds gives Palmeiras a strong advantage. No other external factors such as weather or travel appear to strongly influence the match.
Palmeiras has strong motivation to capitalize on home advantage to improve standings, while Grêmio is seeking to address poor recent form and defensive issues including conceding the most penalties this season.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras -280, Draw 390, Grêmio 800
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Palmeiras -1.25 (-118), Grêmio +1.25 (-102)
Palmeiras -1.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118)
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.
Top-tier Brazilian Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Palmeiras, two of the league's historic clubs. Both teams are competitive this season, with Palmeiras showing slightly better recent form and higher expected win probability according to available data. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a modest scoring record in recent head-to-heads.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras has a higher win rate over their last 10 matches (40.4% probability to win this match, with 2.6 goals scored on average per game, 0.9 conceded), while Fluminense is less consistent (40% win probability, 2.2 goals scored per game, 1.5 conceded). Palmeiras also boasts a stronger away record[2]. Fluminense’s home advantage is partially offset by their defensive lapses.
In the last 10 meetings, Palmeiras edges Fluminense with 6 wins to Fluminense's 4, and 2 draws. Both teams have scored in 30% of these games, pointing to a tendency for lower-scoring, closely fought encounters[2].
No major injury updates found in available data. Assume both teams are at full strength unless late news breaks.
No major external disruptions reported. Maracanã typically offers a neutral pitch. Weather conditions are expected to be mild.
Both teams are competing for top positions in Serie A. Expect high motivation, but Palmeiras, as title contenders, may have a slight edge in urgency based on league aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Fluminense 175, Palmeiras 170, Draw 220
PALMEIRAS TO WIN
★★☆☆☆ 47%
Spread
Fluminense 0 -108, Palmeiras 0 -112
PALMEIRAS 0
★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over/under
Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102
UNDER 2 GOALS
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 23%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on form, head-to-head, and league standings, Palmeiras is the more balanced side and holds marginal statistical and motivational advantages, despite Fluminense's home field. Expect a low-scoring, tight affair with Palmeiras more likely to edge the contest.
The upcoming match between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro is a highly competitive Brasileirão clash featuring two top-level Brazilian teams with a closely contested head-to-head history. Palmeiras enter as the home favorite due to strong recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras currently sit 2nd in the league with a strong recent run including multiple consecutive wins at home. Atletico Mineiro is positioned 9th with mixed results and variable away form.
Historically close, with Atletico Mineiro having a slight edge in wins (16 to 15) over the last 48 meetings, and 17 draws. Average goals per match is about 2.4, reflecting a balanced, competitive fixture.
No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would markedly affect starting lineups or tactics.
The game is hosted at Palmeiras’ home ground, amplifying their motivation and tactical confidence given a 71% home win rate this season.
Palmeiras are motivated by their pursuit of the title race and maintaining high league standing, whereas Atletico Mineiro aims to climb from mid-table, which may limit their attacking risk.
The match features Palmeiras, a top-rated team with a strong historical record against Mirassol, hosting Mirassol in the Campeonato Brasileiro 2025. Palmeiras has been the dominant side in head-to-head matchups and holds a higher overall team rating.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras holds a higher win rate overall (56% vs. 45%) and has a better recent form with fewer losses (1 loss in last 9 matches) compared to Mirassol's mixed results. Both teams average about 1.6 goals per match, but Palmeiras' defense is slightly more solid.
Palmeiras leads the H2H record with 9 wins, Mirassol 3, and 2 draws in 14 matches. In recent direct meetings, Palmeiras won 2-0 and 3-1. Average goals per match in these encounters are around 3.14, with a high BTTS (both teams score) rate of 70.83%.
No significant injury reports available that would undermine Palmeiras' starting lineup; Mirassol has no notable absences announced.
The match being played at Palmeiras' home ground provides a strong home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed standard for the region and time.
Palmeiras is motivated to maintain strong championship positioning, while Mirassol may aim for an upset but has less incentive given the form differential.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras: -235, Mirassol: 675, Draw: 350
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Palmeiras: 102, Mirassol: -122
Palmeiras -1.25
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105
Over 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to go over 2.25 goals.