Match Analysis: Oumar Sy vs Brendson Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight UFC Fight Night contest between Oumar Sy (11-1) and Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0). Sy is a taller, longer-reach orthodox fighter with superior striking accuracy and defense, while Ribeiro has durability issues and less efficient striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oumar Sy shows dominant recent form with 11 wins and 1 loss, landing 50% of significant strikes and absorbing only 1.81 per minute. Ribeiro, with a record of 17-8, has durability concerns, having been stopped recently by TKO and absorbing over 4.04 significant strikes per minute.
• No available historical head-to-head fights between Oumar Sy and Brendson Ribeiro, making direct matchup inference rely on style and statistics.
• Brendson Ribeiro has notable durability issues especially after a recent TKO loss, which impacts his potential to withstand Sy’s pressure. No significant injury reports on Oumar Sy.
• Fight occurs in Paris, Sy is slightly younger and taller, with a reach advantage. Motivation likely high for Sy to rebound from his only loss and maintain top prospect status.
• Oumar Sy aims to validate his status as a top light heavyweight prospect with a convincing win. Ribeiro looks to overcome recent setbacks but faces a tough stylistic matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oumar Sy: -455, Brendson Ribeiro: +350	Oumar Sy	★★★★☆ 79%
Spread	Oumar Sy -3.5: -245, Brendson Ribeiro +3.5: +175	Oumar Sy -3.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: +110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oumar Sy -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oumar Sy to win via Knockout

Predicted Score: Oumar Sy wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction	Oumar Sy Win	-455	★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction	Sam Hughes Win	-340	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction	Modestas Bukauskas Win	-355	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +102

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $40.46

Match Analysis: Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Game Overview

Alonzo Menifield and Oumar Sy face off in a light heavyweight bout at UFC on ESPN 69. Menifield, known for his knockout power, enters with a record of 16-5-1, while the undefeated Sy boasts a 11-0-0 record and is favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Menifield has a mix of recent wins and losses, while Sy remains undefeated with strong recent performances.
• No prior head-to-head fight between the two.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Menifield's experience might counter Sy's strategic approach.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, with Sy looking to maintain his undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alonzo Menifield +500, Oumar Sy -700	Oumar Sy	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Alonzo Menifield +3.5 +225, Oumar Sy -3.5 -320	Oumar Sy to cover	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -160, Under 1.5 +124	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oumar Sy -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Oumar Sy is likely to win due to his undefeated record and strong recent form.

Predicted Score: Not applicable in MMA fights.