Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ivor Wynne Stadium

Game Overview

This CFL Week 6 matchup between the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Ottawa Redblacks pits two teams with contrasting recent performances. Hamilton, led by Bo Levi Mitchell, has shown potent offense, while Ottawa struggles with consistency. The head-to-head history is mixed, with each team winning once in the past two seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton is 2-2 and has a strong offense, while Ottawa is 1-3 and struggling defensively.
• The teams split the series last year, with Hamilton winning at home and Ottawa winning on the road.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for this matchup.
• Hamilton's home advantage and fan support could influence the game.
• Both teams are motivated, but Hamilton's recent form suggests higher momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton: -220, Ottawa: 180	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Hamilton: -5.5 -105, Ottawa: 5.5 -115	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5.5	★★★★☆ 71%
Over/under	over: 55.5 -114, under: 55.5 -106	Over 55.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win, Hamilton to cover the spread, and over total points.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 32, Ottawa Redblacks 24

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-06
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Play Alberta Field at Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 5 CFL matchup, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC). Both teams are struggling this season; Edmonton is 0-3 seeking their first win, while Ottawa holds a 1-3 record. This game features two last-place division teams facing off in Edmonton, with high stakes to break early losing streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edmonton Elks have lost all three games this season, including a 36-23 defeat in Winnipeg last week. Ottawa Redblacks have a 1-3 record, coming off a 29-16 loss at home to Toronto. Both teams have poor recent performance against the spread with Ottawa 2-9 ATS in last 11 games and Edmonton 1-7 ATS in last eight, showing inconsistency and low confidence levels for bettors.
• Ottawa won both head-to-head meetings against Edmonton last season, including a win as a four-point underdog and covering as a one-point favorite. Edmonton has lost 15 of their last 20 home games, while Ottawa is 1-7 SU in their last eight road games, indicating a generally even but slightly negative historical matchup for both.
• No specific injury updates available from the latest reports for either team, indicating key players likely to be available.
• The game day will include the Elks' themed Hard Hat Huddle event, potentially boosting home crowd energy. Weather and field conditions are not reported to be adverse. Broadcast will be on TSN/RDS2 in Canada and CBS Sports in the U.S. with international streaming on CFL+, ensuring wide viewership.
• Both teams are motivated to break losing streaks; Edmonton seeks their first win of the season at home, while Ottawa aims to improve their 1-3 record. The Elks' home fans and special event could provide an emotional boost, but Ottawa’s status as slight favorites reflects their perceived edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton Elks: +108, Ottawa Redblacks: -134	Ottawa Redblacks	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Edmonton Elks: +1.5 -112, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 -112	Ottawa Redblacks -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 -112, Under: 52.5 -112	Under 52.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win narrowly based on recent form, historical head-to-head advantage, and betting market odds. However, Edmonton’s home advantage and motivation to avoid a 0-4 start suggest a close game.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 27 – Edmonton Elks 24

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-29
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

The Week 4 CFL match-up features the Toronto Argonauts visiting the Ottawa Redblacks. This game is pivotal for both teams as they look to build momentum early in the 2025 season. Ottawa has shown competitive form in their home games while Toronto is aiming to recover from recent inconsistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ottawa Redblacks have demonstrated a solid home record and improved defensive efforts in recent weeks, while the Toronto Argonauts have had mixed performances with some struggles on the road. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, but Ottawa’s balanced play on both sides gives them a slight edge.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Ottawa Redblacks slightly, especially at home where they have managed to contain Toronto’s offensive threats effectively. Last seasons' meetings showed competitive games with close scores, but Ottawa finished with a better record overall.
• Current injury reports have not highlighted any major absences for either team, though minor injuries could affect depth particularly in defensive backfields and special teams.
• The game being at Ottawa’s home stadium, TD Place, with its supportive crowd and familiar conditions, provides a home-field advantage. Weather is expected to be clear and cool, which should not adversely affect play style for either team.
• Ottawa is motivated to maintain home dominance and assert themselves in the early season standings. Toronto is motivated to prove resilience on the road and seeks to avoid an early-season losing streak, increasing their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks: -154, Toronto Argonauts: 128	Ottawa Redblacks win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Ottawa Redblacks: -2.5 -122, Toronto Argonauts: +2.5 100	Ottawa Redblacks to cover -2.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 51.5: -118, Under 51.5: -104	Over 51.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering home advantage, recent form, and squad health, Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win this game. The spread suggests Ottawa is expected to win by a field goal margin, and the total points line indicates a moderately high-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – 21 Toronto Argonauts

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 3 CFL matchup. Calgary has started the season strong with a 2-0 record both straight up and against the spread, showcasing balanced offensive and opportunistic defensive play. Ottawa enters the game winless at 0-2 and has struggled against the spread as well. Ottawa's normal starting quarterback is expected to play, but there are concerns about his physical condition. The game is anticipated to be controlled by Calgary, with a modest scoring pace around 45 points total.

Key Factors to Consider

• Calgary Stampeders have a perfect start, 2-0 straight up and ATS, showing both strong offense and defense. Ottawa Redblacks are 0-2 straight up and against the spread, with their games tending to go over the total points line.
• Recent data implies Calgary has the upper hand, reflected in their strong start and favored status in betting markets. Ottawa has yet to secure a win in 2025 and has struggled in previous encounters.
• Ottawa's starting quarterback is expected to start but may not be at full physical capacity, potentially limiting offensive effectiveness. No major injuries reported for Calgary.
• The game is played in Calgary's home stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Broadcast coverage is widely available on TSN and other networks, ensuring high visibility. Weather or other external adverse conditions are not mentioned.
• Calgary aims to continue its undefeated start and maintain momentum. Ottawa is motivated to get their first win but faces challenges due to recent form and injury concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders: -110, Ottawa Redblacks: -110	Calgary Stampeders to win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 -122, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 100	Calgary Stampeders to cover +1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115	Under 51.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders 30%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders are predicted to win with a clear advantage, likely covering the spread. The total points are expected to stay just under the 51.5 line due to Calgary's balanced and controlled approach and Ottawa's injury concerns.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 17

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-13
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, coming off a strong 28-10 win over the Toronto Argonauts, look to continue their winning streak against the Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa, following a 31-26 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders, aims to bounce back with a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal dominated Toronto with 354 yards of offense and held them to 276 yards. Ottawa had 398 yards of offense but struggled with turnovers against Saskatchewan.
• Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Montreal's opening win suggests a strong performance.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home advantage could be crucial for Ottawa, but Montreal's initial win momentum might offset this.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with Montreal seeking a second win and Ottawa looking to redeem themselves after a tough loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-255 / 205	Montreal Alouettes	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-5.5 (-122) / 5.5 (100)	Montreal Alouettes	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	46.5 (-106 / -114)	Under	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Montreal Alouettes -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win based on their strong opening performance and consistent play.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 24, Ottawa Redblacks 17

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-06
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, Saskatchewan

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a critical early-season CFL matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating performances this season, with Saskatchewan leveraging a home-field advantage. The game is expected to be competitive given close historical matchups and the balanced offensive and defensive capabilities of both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan Roughriders have been slightly stronger at home, with a more consistent offensive output and a defense that has performed well against the run and pass. Ottawa Redblacks have struggled to win on the road but bring a dynamic passing game and opportunistic defense that can exploit turnovers.
• Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with Saskatchewan holding a slight edge in wins. The games have often been decided by small margins and featured strong defensive plays and special teams impact.
• No significant injuries reported for either side leading into the game, maintaining a full-strength roster which should contribute to a high-quality competitive game.
• Weather conditions in Regina are projected to be mild and favorable for football. The crowd support for Saskatchewan is expected to be strong, positively influencing the home team’s performance.
• Saskatchewan aims to assert dominance early in the season and capitalize on home advantage. Ottawa seeks to prove resilience on the road and gain momentum, making motivation levels for both teams high.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks: +146, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -178	Saskatchewan Roughriders	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Ottawa Redblacks: +3.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3.5 -110	Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 49.5 -110, Under: 49.5 -110	Over 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win based on home advantage, team form, and betting odds. The Roughriders are expected to cover the spread with a moderately high scoring game around the projected total points line.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 21

Top EV Parlay for American Football – May 30, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Ottawa Redblacks vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction	Ottawa Redblacks	-134	23%
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction	Over 44.5	-105	21%
Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions Prediction	Under 45.5	-105	17%

Combined Odds: +566 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $133.13