Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-13
• Time: 5:05 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

Montreal Alouettes (8-7) face Ottawa Redblacks (4-11) in Week 19 of the 2025 CFL season. Montreal has secured a playoff spot and looks to build momentum, while Ottawa is eliminated and likely not fielding their strongest lineup. Montreal is a heavy favorite at home, with the spread set at -13.5 and total points line at 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal is on a strong trajectory with QB Davis Alexander (9-0 as CFL starter) returning from injury and delivering high yardage and efficiency. Ottawa struggles with inconsistency and a poor record, recently losing 20-13 to Saskatchewan with turnovers hurting their offense.
• Recent performances show Montreal dominating Ottawa, with Montreal winning the last meetings comfortably. Ottawa has not contested Montreal well, especially with Montreal's solid home advantage.
• Montreal’s QB Davis Alexander returned from hamstring injury effectively. Ottawa’s key offensive players have underperformed or been turnover-prone. No major injury news strongly impacts Montreal, while Ottawa’s depth is questionable given their season status.
• Game played on Thanksgiving Monday, potentially impacting short week dynamics, but Montreal’s motivation to prepare for playoffs is higher. Weather and stadium conditions favor home team consistency.
• Montreal aims to solidify playoff momentum; Ottawa appears to be in 'rebuilding mode' with no postseason stakes, possibly leading to a less motivated or younger roster.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win outright and cover the -13.5 spread with total points expected to finish over 51.5

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 34 – Ottawa Redblacks 17

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-4) visit the Ottawa Redblacks (4-10) with Saskatchewan favored by 3.5 points. The Roughriders are aiming to rebound after a narrow loss while Ottawa struggles with inconsistency offensively and defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan holds a strong 10-4 record, demonstrating solid offensive yardage and a positive net yard differential. Ottawa is 4-10 with defensive struggles and inconsistent quarterback play.
• Recent matchups favor Saskatchewan, showcasing better execution and more balanced play on both sides of the ball. Ottawa has struggled historically at home against playoff-contending teams like Saskatchewan.
• No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan impacting key positions. Ottawa’s roster shows minor concerns but nothing severely impacting starting lineup.
• The game is at Ottawa’s home stadium, but Saskatchewan’s experience and form offset any home field edge. Weather is expected to be neutral and not a significant factor.
• Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain playoff positioning in the competitive West Division, while Ottawa’s motivation is lower given their weaker playoff odds and current form.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up (moneyline) and cover the -3.5 spread; game likely to finish under 53.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 20

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON

Game Overview

The Ottawa Redblacks (4-9) host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-7) with Ottawa favored by 2.5 points and a total around 51.5. Both teams have notable struggles: Winnipeg with turnovers and defensive issues and Ottawa showing recent offensive improvements under QB Dru Brown.

Key Factors to Consider

• Winnipeg has a 6-7 record but is underperforming recently with 4 losses in last 5 games and high turnovers (26), while Ottawa (4-9) has won back-to-back games with improved offensive output led by Dru Brown.
• Recent matchups have been competitive; Ottawa is slight favorite at home. Winnipeg has struggled to maintain leads and close out games lately.
• No major injury reports impacting starting QBs Chris Streveler (Winnipeg) and Dru Brown (Ottawa), so key offensive leaders are expected to play.
• Game played at Ottawa's TD Place, giving a homefield edge to Redblacks. Weather and travel factors are neutral given relatively short travel distance.
• Ottawa seeks to build on momentum from back-to-back wins late in the season, improving morale. Winnipeg needs to avoid slip further out of playoff contention, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Redblacks moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 24

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (5-7) host the Ottawa Redblacks (4-8) in a CFL matchup where BC enters as a strong favorite. Both teams are struggling but BC’s home advantage and superior stats position them as likely winners.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have a slightly better performance offensively and defensively, averaging 27.9 points scored and allowing 29.5 points, while Ottawa averages 24.7 points scored and concedes 28.7 points. BC also outpasses Ottawa significantly (319.3 vs 252.7 yards per game).
• Recent meetings favor BC Lions considering stronger offensive production and home field advantage. Ottawa's recent loss with a backup QB lowered confidence.
• Ottawa will be without starting QB Dru Brown (knee – out), a crucial loss impacting their offense. BC Lions have questionable status for key defensive players Garry Peters and Christian Covington but no confirmed outs.
• Playing at BC Place favors the Lions with home crowd and field familiarity. Ottawa’s travel and backup QB disadvantage reduce their competitiveness. Both teams face playoff pressure but BC is more motivated to improve standing.
• BC Lions motivated to control divisional standings and return to winning ways after recent inconsistent form. Ottawa has slim playoff chances and a major QB injury but will still compete hard to keep hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions to win comfortably straight up and cover the -9.5 spread with a moderately high scoring game expected.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 34 – 21 Ottawa Redblacks

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-05
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

Ottawa Redblacks (3-8) host BC Lions (5-6) in a critical CFL matchup with both teams fighting for playoff contention after a bye week. Both teams have struggled defensively but have offensive weapons capable of high scoring. BC Lions have the edge offensively, especially on passing and rushing, while Ottawa will rely on a motivated home performance to stay competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC leads overall scoring and offensive yardage—ranked 3rd in scoring and top 2 in road passing and rushing offense. Ottawa ranks lower offensively and defensively but benefits from playing at home.
• Recent encounters show BC with a higher offensive output and a more balanced attack. Ottawa’s defense ranks lower, making it challenging to contain BC’s offensive threats.
• Ottawa’s QB Dru Brown is a limited participant in practice due to a knee issue, adding uncertainty to their offensive capability. BC appears healthier after their bye week.
• Weather forecast calls for a mild 21°C with cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, unlikely to heavily impact gameplay.
• Both teams need wins badly to stay in playoff contention, but Ottawa faces a tougher remaining schedule which may increase urgency to secure a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on BC Lions moneyline (-218) for the highest expected value given their offensive advantage, relative health, and motivation after the bye week.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 31 – Ottawa Redblacks 21

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

A crucial CFL matchup sees the Edmonton Elks visiting the Ottawa Redblacks. Both teams have struggled this season, with Ottawa at 3-7 and Edmonton slightly better but still under .500. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high scoring projection.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ottawa Redblacks are 3-7 with recent form showing marginal improvement but remain inconsistent. Edmonton Elks are 3-6, showing slightly better performance and more balanced offense and defense metrics.
• Recent H2H matchups favor Edmonton slightly; they often manage narrow wins and have edged Ottawa in scoring margins recently.
• No critical injuries reported for either side likely to impact key starters; both teams appear close to full strength maintaining typical roster consistency.
• Game played at Ottawa's home venue TD Place Stadium, which tends to provide Ottawa a moderate home-field advantage but Edmonton has previously performed decently in away games here.
• Ottawa is motivated to improve their standings and capitalize on home ground; Edmonton seeks to maintain momentum to climb standings, adding competitive edge from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Edmonton Elks to win outright due to better recent form, slightly stronger H2H, and more balanced team performance.

Predicted Score: Edmonton Elks 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 23