Match Analysis: James Madison Dukes vs Omaha Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 26, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Ocean Bank Convocation Center, Miami, FL
Game Overview
The James Madison Dukes host the Omaha Mavericks in a neutral-site matchup as part of the FIU Multiple-Team Event in Miami. James Madison enters with a 3-3 record and a current winning streak, while Omaha arrives with a 2-4 record and a losing streak. This represents a competitive mid-season test for both programs in a tournament setting.
Key Factors to Consider
- James Madison has demonstrated stronger recent form with a 1-game winning streak compared to Omaha's 1-game losing streak. The Dukes' 3-3 record outpaces Omaha's 2-4 record, suggesting better overall consistency this season. Omaha has struggled on the road, while James Madison has shown resilience at home. Omaha is averaging 78.1 PPG with 32.8 RPG and 13.4 APG, while James Madison averages 73.9 PPG with 32.5 RPG and 11.7 APG, indicating Omaha has slight statistical advantages in scoring and pace.
- No previous matchup history is available between these programs, making this a first-time meeting. Both teams are relatively unfamiliar with each other's systems and tendencies, which could impact early-game execution and adjustments.
- No injury information is available from the provided data. Both teams appear to be at full roster availability based on available reports, though specific injury status should be verified closer to game time.
- Both teams are competing in a neutral-site tournament environment away from their home arenas. This neutral setting eliminates home-court advantage for James Madison despite being listed as the 'home' team. The Ocean Bank Convocation Center in Miami provides a fresh environment for both squads. Travel fatigue may affect both teams, though Omaha is arriving from LSU (Baton Rouge) while James Madison traveled from the East Coast.
- James Madison enters with positive momentum and is favored by the oddsmakers, providing confidence and motivation. Omaha faces pressure to reverse a losing streak and prove competitiveness against a higher-ranked opponent. The tournament setting adds importance to establishing tournament credentials early in the season for both programs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | JMU -150 | Omaha +122 | James Madison Dukes | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | JMU -2.5 (-110) | Omaha +2.5 (-110) | James Madison Dukes -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
| Over/under | Over 160.5 (-112) | Under 160.5 (-112) | Under 160.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Madison Dukes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Madison Dukes are favored to win this matchup based on their superior record, recent winning streak, and oddsmaker consensus. However, Omaha possesses statistical advantages in scoring efficiency and pace that could keep the game competitive. The neutral-site format reduces James Madison's traditional home-court advantage. Expect James Madison to control the game in the first half, but Omaha may mount a second-half comeback given their offensive capabilities. The tight spread (-2.5) reflects the competitive nature of this matchup despite the moneyline favoring James Madison.
Predicted Score: James Madison 72, Omaha 70