Match Analysis: Portland Pilots vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: Portland, Oregon
Game Overview
The Portland Pilots (1-0) host the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (0-1) in an early season NCAAB matchup. Portland is coming off a strong 120-83 home victory led by Cameron Williams' 25 points, showcasing offensive strength and solid home performance. Arkansas-Pine Bluff struggled in their first game, being outscored 94-50 and seeking to rebound on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland started the season 1-0 with a dominant 120-83 win, averaging high assists and scoring efficiency (25.2 made field goals, 15.5 assists per game last season). Arkansas-Pine Bluff began 0-1 with a heavy loss (50 points scored vs. 94 conceded), reflecting offensive and defensive challenges including a high foul rate (19.1 fouls per game allowed last season).
- Portland won the last encounter between these teams 86-74. Historically, Portland demonstrates superiority with a stronger home record (9-7 last season) versus Arkansas-Pine Bluff's poor away form (2-17 last season).
- No reported significant injuries impacting either team for this game.
- Portland benefits from home court advantage in Portland, Oregon. Arkansas-Pine Bluff faces a tough travel schedule and historically poor road performance which could further hamper their competitiveness.
- Portland aims to continue momentum after a high-scoring win, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff seeks to improve from a poor season start and avoid a second straight defeat.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Pilots: -2000, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 920 | Portland Pilots | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Portland Pilots: -15.5 -115, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: +15.5 -105 | Portland Pilots -15.5 | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | Over: 161.5 -114, Under: 161.5 -110 | Under 161.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Pilots -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland Pilots are strongly favored to win comfortably due to superior offensive output, home advantage, and recent form. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is likely to struggle offensively and defensively against Portland's robust team.
Predicted Score: Portland Pilots 92 – Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 73